The Swiss franc has emerged as a clear winner amidst the recent market turbulence following Donald Trump's tariff announcement, appreciating significantly against major currencies.
As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.5% this morning. After the RBNZ had recently cut interest rates in large steps of 50 basis points each, the pace has been slowed down, as expected.
Downward momentum is building; New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to decline vs US Dollar (USD), but it is unclear whether it can break the major support at 0.5450.
Just when the dollar seemed to be regaining some confidence, the US decision to go ahead with a tariff hike of 104% on China led to a rotation away from the greenback.
In China, the PBoC set the USD/CNY fixing at 7.2066 this morning. This marks the fifth consecutive adjustment higher, reinforcing the view that a controlled weakening of the yuan (albeit not a devaluation) is part of China’s policy response to tariffs, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes
EUR/USD has rallied back above 1.10, banking on idiosyncratic USD weakness. The Atlantic spreads can have inverse correlations with FX if there are signs that markets are losing confidence in a broader spectrum of USD-denominated assets, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
The NZD/USD pair stages a modest recovery from levels below the 0.5500 psychological mark, or the lowest since March 2020 touched earlier this Thursday after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced its policy decision.
Gold price snaps three days of losses, consolidates below the $3,000 figure as US Treasury yields rise, making the non-yielding metal less appealing for investors. Even though there are hopes of trade deals between partners, the “trade war” between the US and China makes investors uneasy.
The AUD/JPY pair extended its losses on Tuesday, trading near the 87.00 area ahead of the Asian session. The cross has dropped significantly on the day, falling near the bottom of its daily range, reflecting persistent downside pressure.
The NZD/USD pair registered neutral movements during Tuesday’s session, with the pair seen moving around the 0.5530 region but cleared gains which took it to highs above 0.5600.
The Mexican Peso prolonged its losses for the third straight day against the Greenback as market sentiment improved, spurred by revelations of US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent that deals could be made with major trading partners. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN trades at 20.83, up 0.75%.
The EUR/USD pair traded with a slight bearish bias on Tuesday after the European session, slipping mildly toward the 1.0900 region strugguling to hold earlier gains.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is recovering some ground against the Greenback on Tuesday, edging up 0.34% amid renewed hopes that tariffs are indeed used as negotiation tools, as United States (US) President Donald Trump said that “many, many, countries are coming to negotiate deals with us.” At the time
Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft, down a modest 0.2% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and a mid-performer among the G10 currencies, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating in a tight range in the 1.09s, eking out a marginal gain against the US Dollar (USD) while underperforming all the G10 currencies in an environment of broad-based USD weakness.
The Gold price was unable to escape the sell-off on the commodity and financial markets and also fell significantly, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a 0.5500/0.5600 range vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, it is too early to expect the weakness to stabilise, but it remains to be seen if NZD can decline to the next support at 0.5450, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/CNH has rebounded after defending the 200-DMA at 7.22. Daily MACD has entered positive territory highlighting regain of upward momentum, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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