During Friday’s session following the European close, the EUR/USD pair slipped back toward the 1.1000 area, surrendering part of its early-week strength.
The Pound Sterling tumbles sharply against the US Dollar, falling more than 1% on Friday as risk appetite deteriorates after China imposed tariffs on US goods, which triggered a reaction from US President Donald Trump.
Euro (EUR) is soft, down 0.4% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and trading back around the 1.10 level with a modest fade of Thursday’s impressive rally, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The impact of this week’s US tariff announcement continues to reverberate around global markets. Stocks continue to weaken, havens – bonds – remain strongly bid.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a 145.20/147.50 range vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, too early to expect weakness to stabilise, but USD must break and hold below 145.00 before further decline is likely, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a range between 0.5720 and 0.5850 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, for further sustained rise, NZD must close above 0.5850, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Instead of continuing to rise, AUD is more likely to trade in a 0.6260/0.6360 range. In the longer run, AUD must break and hold above the significant resistance at 0.6410 before further advances can be expected, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Over recent months, EUR/GBP has tended to sell off on tariff-related headlines, given that the eurozone is far more exposed to US trade than the UK. Yet EUR/GBP surprised yesterday and spiked higher, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
Outsized rally seems excessive; instead of continuing to rise, Euro (EUR) is more likely to pause and trade in a 1.0950/1.1150 range vs US Dollar (USD).
The Pound Sterling (GBP) surges to near 1.3200 against the US Dollar (USD) during the North American trading hours on Thursday, the highest level seen in almost six months.
US Dollar (USD) could continue to weaken vs Japanese Yen (JPY); oversold conditions suggest any decline is unlikely to reach 146.50 today. In the longer run, increase in momentum indicates further USD weakness; the level to watch is 146.50, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/USD seesawed on yesterday's tariff announcement, initially rallying above 1.09 on the relatively benign 10% flat tariff applied to all US trading partners, declining on the more aggressive reciprocal tariff measures, and then moving back above 1.09 again, Danske Bank's FX analyst Stefan Mellin r
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