Provided that 7.2950 is not breached, there is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to drop below 7.2685 against CNH (Chinese Yuan). The next support at 7.2500 is unlikely to come into view.
The Dollar Index (DXY) failed to cross above January high of 110.15 in recent attempt and has gradually pulled back below the 50-DMA, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
USD/JPY fell sharply as reciprocal tariff delay led to a turnaround in UST yields. The pair was last seen at 152.60 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a higher range of 0.5650/0.5700 against the US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, for the time being, NZD is likely to trade in a range between 0.5595 and 0.5720, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
As long as Australian Dollar (AUD) remains above 0.6270 vs US Dollar (USD), there is a chance for it to rise above 0.6330. The major resistance at 0.6355 is likely out of reach for now.
The US Dollar (USD) is a little weaker in Europe today on the back of slightly lower US interest rates, ongoing optimism about an end to the war in Ukraine, and a US reciprocal tariff package which was hard to decipher.
There appears to be enough momentum for Pound Sterling (GBP) vs US Dollar (USD) to rise further, but any advance is likely part of a higher 1.2480/1.2600 range.
The components of yesterday's US January PPI release which read over to the core PCE deflator came in quite benign yesterday, ING’s FX analysts Chris Turner notes.
Euro (EUR) vs US Dollar (USD) continued to trade higher on news that reciprocal tariffs does not comes into effect immediately but sometime in 1 Apr. The 6weeks+ push suggests that Trump may want to leverage on the threats to open up negotiations with some trade partners.
Outlook for Euro (EUR) vs US Dollar (USD) is positive, with a technical target of 1.0530. In the longer run, scope for EUR to test 1.0495; the major resistance at 1.0530 is unlikely to come under threat, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Mexican Peso (MXN) gained modestly against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday as further inflation data shows that prices in the United States (US) remain above the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target.
The CHF CPI inflation fell -0.1% and +0.4% YoY. The US PPI rose 0.4% MoM and 3.5% YoY. However, the USDCHF moved lower. Buyers sticking a toe in the water.
While yesterday’s release of stronger than expected US CPI inflation pushed back on Fed rate cut hopes and initially boosted the value of the USD, those gains proved to be short-lived, Rabobank's FX analyst Jane Foley notes.
EUR/CHF forms a series of higher peaks and troughs after defending the crucial graphical support of 0.9250/0.9210, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
The oil market edged lower with ICE Brent trading below $75/bbl this morning following the reports that US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to start negotiations to end the war in Ukraine.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to consolidate between 153.30 and 154.85. USD could continue to rise; overbought conditions suggest that any advance may not reach 155.80, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Outlook is unclear; New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a 0.5605/0.5675 range. In the longer run, for the time being, NZD is likely to trade in a range between 0.5595 and 0.5720, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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