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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro drifts near 1.1100 as bearish momentum builds
The EUR/USD pair traded near the 1.1100 zone on Monday, reflecting a sharp drop after the European session as sellers gained control. The pair remains within the middle of its daily range, suggesting that while bearish pressure is dominant, the market lacks a clear breakout signal.
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Fed's Kugler: Still expect increase in prices and slowdown in the economy
Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said that if tariffs prove to be long-lasting, she would focus on how global supply chains are rearranged in response, while she acknowledged that the recent reduction in US-China tariffs was clearly an improvement in bilateral trade relations, though tariff l
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Tariff uncertainty will be a drag on competitive dynamics
Who is going to truly compete
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GBP/USD crashes on US-China trade truce boosting US Dollar
The Pound Sterling (GBP) collapsed by over 0.71% or 90 pips on Monday, following developments over the weekend that boosted the US Dollar (USD). News of the US-China de-escalation of the trade war weighed on the Sterling, which plummeted from around 1.3298.
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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Sees more downside below 200-day EMA
The NZD/USD pair tumbles to near 0.5870 during North American trading hours on Monday. The Kiwi pair falls sharply as the demand for the US Dollar (USD) has increased after the comments from Washington signaled that the trade war between the United States (US) and China has been averted.
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Trump with more on China: I think we will have a deal
More from the President
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Fed’s Kugler: Progress on disinflation has slowed
Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said on Monday that Fed officials were finding it difficult to assess the underlying strength of the economy, citing rapid shifts in trade policy and the resulting impact on households and businesses that had rushed to purchase imported goods earlier in the ye
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Trade thaw undermines ley Gold drivers – TDS
Developments on trade over the weekend were as close to an about-face as one could have hoped for, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
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XAUUSD
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President Trump: We achieved total reset with China
United States (US) President Donald Trump said on Monday that he may speak with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week, as negotiations between the two economic powers show signs of progress toward a potential trade agreement.
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AUD/USD turns upside down to near 0.6400 after US-China trade truce
The AUD/USD pair gives back initial gains and turns negative during North American trading hours on Monday.
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Trump: We achieved a total reset with China
Comments from Trump in today's press conference
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Trump set to speak on pharma
Talk might turn to tariffs and China
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Gold is being put to the test today
So far the May 1 low has held
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EUR tumbles 1.5% on the day – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is weak, down 1.5% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and seeing its largest one day decline since early November, around the time of the US election, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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CAD is down ‘only’ 0.3% vs. USD and a relative outperformer – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is weak, down 0.3% vs. the US Dollar (USD) but a relative outperformer against all of the G10 currencies with the CAD’s peer currencies showing much greater declines in response to the US/China trade détente, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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USD surges on US/China détente as markets reprice Fed cuts – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is up broadly with meaningful gains against all of the G10 currencies as markets respond to the de-escalation in trade tensions between the US and China.
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USD/JPY 12-month forecast remains at 140.00 despite surge from US-China trade deal – Rabobank
News that the US and China have reached an agreement that substantially lowers trade tariffs between them for 90 days has sparked a wave of optimism that has supported risky assets and weighed on safe havens.
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US-China breakthrough leads to a breakout
Huge moves greet Monday markets as the US and China reverse tariffs
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Gold drops as US-China tariff reduction weighs on safe-haven demand
Gold prices are under significant pressure in Monday’s session, weighed down by improving global risk sentiment and a strengthening US Dollar (USD).
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: US, China strike deal to lower tariffs after talks
Forex news from the European morning session on May 12, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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Mexican Peso dips as firm US outlook and rate divergence lift the Dollar
The Mexican Peso is trading lower against the US Dollar on Monday, as renewed US growth optimism and ongoing policy divergence continue to weigh on emerging market currencies.
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Bessent: I could see a Trump-Xi call happening in the coming weeks, months
Further remarks by US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent
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GBP: The strongest story in G10? – ING
This will be a busy week in the UK data calendar, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
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Bessent: It is implausible that tariffs on China go below 10%
Bessent adds that the ceiling for China tariffs will be the 2 April level i.e. 54%
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USD/CNH struggles below 50-DMA resistance near 7.28 – Société Générale
USD/CNH remains under pressure after failing to reclaim the 50-DMA, with downside risks intensifying should the 7.18 support give way, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Technical Analysis
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How is the China camp painting the trade deal situation back home?
It's mostly positive but like any war, there has to be a winner and a loser in some sense
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EUR/GBP extends losing streak on sluggish US-EU trade talks
The EUR/GBP pair extends its losing streak for the sixth trading day on Monday. The pair slides to near 0.8415 during European trading hours as the Euro (EUR) weakens after the announcement of a 90-day tariff pause by the United States (US) and China earlier in the day.
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US Dollar sees over 1% intraday gain on US-China deal
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, exceeds a more than 1% rally on Monday after China and the United States (US) agreed to a 90-day pause in their trade war by slashing tariffs on both sides.
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Copper jumps on trade optimism – ING
Copper and other industrial metals rose this morning, with easing trade tensions giving metals markets a boost. At a briefing following the talks, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said neither nation wanted their economies to decouple.
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Copper
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USD: DXY support Ssen near 100.0 ahead of key US inflation data – ING
US President Donald Trump described this weekend's US-China meetings in Switzerland as 'very good' and said a 'total reset' is being negotiated. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent led the negotiations and said 'substantial progress' has been made.
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Bessent: We want a decoupling with China for strategic necessities
Bessent comments to CNBC in an interview
Politics
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How have interest rates expectations changed after the US-China news?
The hawkish repricing across the board continues...
market overview
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US Nat Gas opens lower on storage surplus – ING
US natural gas prices fell early Thursday as rising inventories outweighed modest weather-driven demand expectations, with the supply surplus building faster than anticipated, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
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US-China deal reportedly does not cover de minimis exemption for e-commerce shipments
Reuters reports, citing a source brief on the talks
Politics
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More from BoE's Greene: Disinflation process in underway
Further remarks from BoE's policymaker, Megan Greene
GBP
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Equities, dollar hold gains ahead of US trading
No let up in the optimism in European trading thus far
Stocks
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USD/JPY rallies above 148.00 as USD soars on US-China trade truce
The USD/JPY pair soars above 148.20 during European trading hours on Monday, the highest level seen in a month. The asset strengthens as the United States (US) and China have agreed to a 90-day truce after a two-day meeting in Switzerland over the weekend.
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Trump: Drug prices to be cut by 59%, plus!
Trump posting on his Truth Social
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EUR/USD dives deep as US and China lower tariffs substantially
EUR/USD is down over 1% near 1.1100 during North American trading hours on Monday.
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