The Pound Sterling begins the week positively set to end April strong, is up 0.65% as the Greenback continues to weaken and risk appetite improves. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades near 1.3400 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.3279.
After the European session on Monday, EUR/USD was seen trading near the mid-1.13/1.14 area, maintaining a positive tone on the day with a modest gain. Despite the RSI holding a neutral stance and the MACD flashing a sell signal, the broader technical setup remains tilted to the upside.
The optimism that US trade policies may lead to lower global tariffs is misplaced. The WTO under Trump is symptomatic of a wider crisis for multilateralism. Countries will face challenges lowering tariff rates given WTO MFN requirements.
The USD/JPY pair falls sharply to near 143.00 during North American hours on Monday. The pair declines as the Japanese Yen (JPY) trades strongly at the start of the week, with investors awaiting the monetary policy announcement by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Thursday.
European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos told European lawmakers in Brussels on Monday that incoming data suggest that the Eurozone economy grew at a modest pace in the first quarter of 2025, per Reuters.
In an interview with CNBC on Monday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the all aspects of the government are in contact with China, per Reuters.
Japanese Yen (JPY) is entering Monday’s NA session with a marginal gain against the US Dollar (USD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is up a modest 0.2% in quiet trade, outperforming most of the G10 currencies heading into Monday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Euro (EUR) is soft, entering Monday’s session with a marginal decline against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming most of the G10 currencies in quiet trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Trading is off to a quiet start in NFP week. Asian and European stocks are mixed to a little firmer but US equity futures are down slightly, while bonds are a tad softer. The US Dollar (USD) itself is mixed.
The AUD/USD pair recovers initial losses and turns flat around 0.6400 during European trading hours on Monday. The Aussie pair trades indecisively as investors await a slew of United States (US) economic and Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will be released this week.
The tentative improvement in global investor risk sentiment contributed to the underperformance of the yen over the past week alongside the other traditional safe haven currency of the Swiss franc.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is going nowhere this Monday while residing near the 100.00-marker.
Donald Trump's tariff policies and protectionist agenda pose long-term risks to the US dollar, destabilizing financial markets and eroding trust in American institutions that have supported the dollar’s dominance, DBS' FX analyst Philip Wee notes.
The latest data from the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) shows that copper inventories in China fell significantly by 54,858 tonnes for a fifth consecutive week to 116,753 tonnes as of last Friday.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) outperforms its peers at the start of the week despite firm expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.25% in the policy meeting on May 8.
Rebound in USD/JPY continued as the Bessent-Kato meeting saw no mention of FX levels. Pair was last at 143.43 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
In gas, natural gas prices in Europe extended declines for a fourth straight session and fell around 4.9% day-on-day at one point in time to trade below EUR32/MWh (the lowest since July) on Friday, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
It's been a quiet start to the week in financial markets, with cross-market levels of volatility falling. There has not been too much tariff-related news over the weekend, although it does seem US consumers could soon start to feel the bite.
It is looking less and less likely that the dramatic rise in long-term inflation expectations among US consumers, as measured by the University of Michigan for the second month in a row, is actually a random outlier – a measurement error. Fed Chair Jay Powell recently dismissed it as such.
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