A growing group of policymakers is calling for a pause soon, but this will not affect next week’s meeting, Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen reports.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is the best performing G10 currency on the week but is still trading with a 0.3% loss against the generally firmer USD, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Inflation data from France showed unchanged prices on the February month (versus expectations of a 0.2% rise) while German regional CPI data support forecasts for steady to slightly lower German CPI data, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Right, so border tariffs are back on for next Tuesday. But maybe only for a short period? So much tariff-mongering, so little clarity, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Solid gains for the US Dollar (USD) yesterday reflected renewed tariff concerns, weaker stocks and underperforming alternative havens, such as gold, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), held steady at 2.3% on a yearly basis in February, Destatis' flash estimate showed on Friday.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, looks set to close off this week around 107.30, which is the level at the time of writing on Friday. The DXY tries to keep a hold on that level. Markets got shaken up again overnight as United States (US) President Donald Trump confirmed that tariffs for Canada and Mexico are going into effect on March 4. Meanwhile, China will face an additional 10% levy on the same day.
The upcoming weekend meeting between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky is not just a diplomatic event—it carries major implications for capital markets. Some of the risk-off we've been seeing this week might be a lot about that potential risk, among other factors (like NVDA earnings on Wed night).
USD/JPY rallied above 150.00, BBH's FX analysts report. BoJ normalization cycle to continue "Tokyo February CPI inflation cools more than anticipated and supports the case for a gradual Bank of Japan normalization cycle.
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is getting knocked out and is facing a substantial 3% loss since it printed a new all-time high at $2,956 on Monday at the start of this week. The precious metal currently trades at $2,860 at the time of writing, after United States (US) President Donald Trump reiterated that tariffs for Mexico
Turning to China, the extra 10% tariff next Tuesday is an aggressive surprise and follows a 10% across-the-board increase in tariffs on 4 February, ING’s FX analysts Chris Turner notes.
Australian Dollar (AUD) could continue to decline vs US Dollar (USD), but the major support at 0.6190 could be just out of reach. In the longer run, further AUD declines seem likely; the level to monitor is 0.6190, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The AUD/USD pair posts a fresh three-week low near 0.6200 in European trading session after extending its losing streak for the sixth trading day on Friday.
Just as we were discussing the diminishing impact of tariff rhetoric on FX markets, President Trump yesterday emphatically delivered 4 March as the date on which tariffs would go into effect, ING’s FX analysts Chris Turner notes.
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