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Monday morning forex rates update - JPY and EUR higher
Monday morning forex rates update - JPY and EUR higher
Yen and euro opening stronger in early FX trade
JPY
EUR
Romanian centrist Presidential candidate ahead with 54.3% after 97% of votes counted
Romanian centrist Presidential candidate ahead with 54.3% after 97% of votes counted
A win for the pro-EU, pro-NATO candidate in Romania will be taken as a sign of better stability in Europe
Politics
Weekend: Bessent threatens tariff rates to return to ‘reciprocal’ levels if no trade deal
Weekend: Bessent threatens tariff rates to return to ‘reciprocal’ levels if no trade deal
"Reach a trade deal with the US, or else!" seems to be the message from US Treasury Secretary Bessent
Bonds
SPX
USD
Levels
Monday open levels, indicative FX prices, 19 May 2025
Monday open levels, indicative FX prices, 19 May 2025
As is usual for a Monday morning, market liquidity is very thin until it improves as more Asian centres come online ... prices are liable to swing around, so take care out there.
UK PM Starmer expected to announce Brexit ­"reset" deal on Monday. (Is Brexin the word?)
UK PM Starmer expected to announce Brexit ­"reset" deal on Monday. (Is Brexin the word?)
UK media, The Times, with the news of the UK moving into closer alignment with the EU
Politics
GBP
EUR
Australian PM Albanese says he's "up for a deal" with Europe on free trade
Australian PM Albanese says he's "up for a deal" with Europe on free trade
Albanese will renew leader-level discussions for an Australia-European free trade deal with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in Rome.
Is President Trump Allowed to Accept an Airplane from Qatar?
Is President Trump Allowed to Accept an Airplane from Qatar?
President Trump accepting a $400 million jet from Qatar is sparking legal, ethical, and political debates, with concerns over violating the Foreign Emoluments Clause and national security risks. What do you think is going to happen? Please comment below.
Politics
AUD/NZD price analysis: Cross struggles to hold gains amid mixed signals
AUD/NZD price analysis: Cross struggles to hold gains amid mixed signals
The AUD/NZD pair is experiencing mild selling pressure on Friday, hovering near the 1.0900 zone as the market approaches the Asian session. Despite the minor losses, the broader technical outlook remains constructive, with several key indicators aligning to support the pair's upward trajectory.
Technical Analysis
Crosses
Currencies
AUDNZD
Australia
AUD/USD steadies as traders await RBA decision
AUD/USD steadies as traders await RBA decision
The AUD/USD pair is trading around the 0.6400 level during European trading hours on Friday, reflecting a broadly neutral tone as traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision next week.
AUDUSD
Majors
Macroeconomics
RBA
Technical Analysis
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD slips as US yields rebound, hovers below $32.50
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD slips as US yields rebound, hovers below $32.50
Silver prices edged lower on Friday, with losses of over 1%, set to end the week on a negative note amid rising US Treasury yields, which staged a comeback late during the North American session. XAG/USD trades at $32.26 after hitting a daily peak of $32.68 at the time of writing.
Technical Analysis
XAGUSD
Silver
Metals
Moody's downgrades US debt to AA1, citing rising interest costs and unsustainable debt growth
Moody's downgrades US debt to AA1, citing rising interest costs and unsustainable debt growth
Moody's Ratings agency downgraded the US's sovereign debt credit rating after the market close on Friday. According to Moody's, the US is facing rising debt funding costs that far exceed those of similar government debt loads.
UnitedStates
Credit
RatingAgencies
Politics
NZD/JPY price analysis: Cross struggles to maintain upward momentum
NZD/JPY price analysis: Cross struggles to maintain upward momentum
The NZD/JPY pair is attempting to hold on to modest gains as it trades near the 85.70 zone ahead of the Asian session on Friday.
Crosses
Currencies
NZDJPY
Technical Analysis
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Hot UMich inflation expectations cool Fed rate cut talk
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Hot UMich inflation expectations cool Fed rate cut talk
Forex news for North American trading on May 16, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Nth America
Mexican Peso set for weekly gains as weak US data offsets Banxico's rate cut
Mexican Peso set for weekly gains as weak US data offsets Banxico's rate cut
The Mexican Peso (MXN) erases its previous losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday and Is set to finish the week with gains.
USDMXN
Banxico
Mexico
Macroeconomics
SEO
NZD/USD steadies near 0.5890 after data-driven rebound, but broader bias remains weak
NZD/USD steadies near 0.5890 after data-driven rebound, but broader bias remains weak
NZD/USD is trading slightly higher near 0.5890 during early Friday trading, recovering from recent losses as upbeat domestic data supports the Kiwi.
NZDUSD
Currencies
Majors
US stock markets climb for the fifth day in a row
US stock markets climb for the fifth day in a row
Only one negative day for the S&P 500 since April 21
Canadian Dollar backslides once again, remains rangebound
Canadian Dollar backslides once again, remains rangebound
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) continued its back-and-forth pattern against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday. The Loonie pared away the previous day’s gains and kept USD/CAD pinned near the 1.4000 handle.
USDCAD
SEO
Inflation
It's a holiday in Canada on Monday but some notable economic data later in the week
It's a holiday in Canada on Monday but some notable economic data later in the week
Some key data points ahead of the June 4 Bank of Canada rate decision
WTI crude oil rebounds above $61 as bulls defend $55 base, upside capped by Iran, OPEC+ supply risk
WTI crude oil rebounds above $61 as bulls defend $55 base, upside capped by Iran, OPEC+ supply risk
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is trading around $62 on Friday ahead of the weekend, staging a modest rebound after snapping a two-day losing streak.
WTI
Oil
OPEC
Iran
SaudiArabia
USD/JPY lifts as Japan’s GDP shrinks and USD stays supported on inflation fears
USD/JPY lifts as Japan’s GDP shrinks and USD stays supported on inflation fears
USD/JPY is moving higher on Friday as traders respond to weak growth figures from Japan and rising inflation expectations in the United States. 
USDJPY
GDP
Currencies
Japan
UnitedStates
US Dollar ticks higher after weak consumer sentiment offsets broader data disappointment
US Dollar ticks higher after weak consumer sentiment offsets broader data disappointment
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is trading slightly higher at around 101.00 on Friday after a softer-than-expected University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey added to a week of mixed US economic data.
DollarIndex
Currencies
Dow Jones Industrial Average finds fresh weekly highs as investor sentiment holds firm
Dow Jones Industrial Average finds fresh weekly highs as investor sentiment holds firm
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) stepped into fresh weekly highs on Friday after investors shrugged off the second-worst print from the University of Michigan’s (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index on record.
DowJones
SEO
TradeWar
USD/CHF limited upside as tariff uncertainty weighs on sentiment
USD/CHF limited upside as tariff uncertainty weighs on sentiment
The USD/CHF pair is trading higher on Friday, testing a significant resistance zone near 0.8380 as traders digest mixed economic signals from the United States and ongoing global trade tensions.
USDCHF
Majors
Currencies
Technical Analysis
EUR/USD price analysis: Pair drifts lower amid bearish pressure
EUR/USD price analysis: Pair drifts lower amid bearish pressure
The EUR/USD pair is under modest selling pressure on Friday, moving near the lower end of its daily range around the 1.1100 zone.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Majors
Currencies
EUR/USD seen at 1.15 as US outlook weakens – Rabobank
EUR/USD seen at 1.15 as US outlook weakens – Rabobank
The resilience of the US economy in recent years was interpreted by many investors as a demonstration of US ‘exceptionalism’, Rabobank's FX analyst Jane Foley notes.
Banks
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Gold retreats below $3,200 as safe-haven demand fades, down over $300 from record high
Gold retreats below $3,200 as safe-haven demand fades, down over $300 from record high
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to decline on Friday, falling toward $3,180 and marking a sharp weekly loss of over 4%, its biggest since November 2024. The precious metal has now shed over $300 from its record high of $3,500 set in April, as safe-haven demand weakens and technical selling accelerates.
Gold
XAUUSD
Metals
Technical Analysis
EUR/CHF price analysis: Cross struggles amid mixed technical signals
EUR/CHF price analysis: Cross struggles amid mixed technical signals
The EUR/CHF pair is navigating a cautious tone on Friday, hovering around the 0.94 zone with modest gains.
Crosses
Technical Analysis
Currencies
EURCHF
EURJPY