Pound Sterling (GBP) is up 0.6% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming most of the G10 currencies, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Euro (EUR) is up 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming most of the G10 currencies with the exception of the Canadian Dollar (CAD) and the Swiss franc (CHF), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is modestly lower on the day but has made a little more progress overnight to reach its highest level against the US Dollar (USD) since early November.
A late Friday reprieve for consumer electronic imports from the 145% tariff on Chinese goods and the 10% flat rate tariff marks another concession to the global markets, allowing for solid gains in Asian and European equities, along with firmer US equity futures.
Gold price started the week with a small bearish gap but managed to regain its traction during the Asian trading hours. After touching a new record-high of $3,245, XAU/USD entered a consolidation phase and declined toward $3,200.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a 142.30/144.30 range vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, USD could continue to decline, but given the deeply oversold conditions, it remains to be seen if 139.55 is within reach, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
In addition to the flight to safe havens, the prospect of a further normalisation of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan is also likely to have supported the yen recently. According to statements made by BoJ Chairman Kazuo Ueda this morning, however, the central bank is leaving all options open.
The next major resistance for NZD/USD at 0.5905 is likely out of reach for now. In the longer run, NZD is expected to strengthen; the level to watch is 0.5905, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/CHF is testing a critical support level at 0.9210 after losing the 200-DMA earlier this month. A sustained break lower could open the door to deeper declines towards 0.9155 and 0.9050/0.9025, while resistance looms near the 200-DMA at 0.9410/0.9430, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
The Swiss franc benefited significantly from its safe-haven status after the announcement of the reciprocal US tariffs. However, the rapid appreciation is likely to be a thorn in the side of the SNB.
Gold staged a strong V-shaped recovery after an early April pullback, holding key support near $3135. Despite overbought signals, momentum remains intact, with eyes now on the next upside targets at $3290 and $3345/3370, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Further AUD strength is not ruled out, but any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.6230/0.6330. In the longer run, AUD is likely to trade with an upward bias, potentially testing the key resistance at 0.6390, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Last week’s FX volatility reached crisis-like levels, sparking fears of deeper market stress. A breakdown in traditional correlations and talk of coordinated dollar devaluation suggest global investors are bracing for structural shifts in US policy, ING’s FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a range vs US Dollar (USD), probably between 1.3000 and 1.3145. In the longer run, outlook for GBP has shifted to positive; the two technical levels to watch are 1.3210 and 1.3290, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Rally may take a pause; Euro (EUR) is likely to trade between 1.1240 and 1.1415 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, further EUR strength is not ruled out, but it may first range-trade for a couple of days.
EUR/USD did some serious damage to the long-term charts last week and broke out of a bear trend which had roughly contained price action since 2008. 1.11/1.12 is now going to be important support, and presumably the buy-side (including both the private and public sectors) will now be EUR/USD buyers
The NZD/USD pair is seen building on last week's solid recovery from the 0.5485 region, or its lowest level since March 2020, and gaining strong follow-through positive traction for the fourth successive day on Monday.
The USD/CAD pair continues its losing streak for the fourth successive session, trading near 1.3840 during early European hours on Monday. Technical analysis on the daily chart indicates a prevailing bearish bias as the pair moves downward within the descending channel pattern.
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts some sellers at the start of a new week and slides back below the $32.00 round-figure mark during the Asian session on Monday.
Bearish below: 3,252, and bullish above 3,254.5 - not less importantly, see the partial profits to consider. They may help you follow the market, in any case, as a decision support tool for your gold futures trading today.
The NZD/USD pair extended its advance on Friday’s session with the pair seen trading near the 0.5800 zone after a 1.39% daily rise. This move positioned price mid-range between the day’s low of 0.56282 and high of 0.57656, reinforcing a bullish short-term momentum shift.
Gold's price rally extended for the third straight day on Friday with the yellow metal hitting a new all-time high of $3,245. Gains of over 2% were posted amid the escalation of the trade war between the US and China and its impact on the global economy.
The EUR/USD pair extended its rally on Friday, rising sharply and moving near the 1.1300 zone after the European session. With the pair positioned mid-range between 1.11873 and 1.14736, bulls remain in control, pushing toward new highs for the year amid renewed risk appetite.
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