The EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.13 zone on Monday, reflecting a strong intraday recovery as the market gains momentum after the European session. Despite the sharp upside move, the broader technical outlook presents a mixed picture, with conflicting signals across different timeframes.
The EUR/CHF pair is trading near the 0.94 zone on Monday, reflecting minor gains as the market stabilizes within its recent range. Despite the modest upside, the pair remains constrained by a broadly neutral technical outlook, with mixed signals across multiple timeframes.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) posted solid gains on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) got battered due to Moody’s lowering US debt rating to Aa1, a headwind for the Greenback. At the time of writing, GBP/USD trades at 1.3360, up 0.71%.
Silver (XAG/USD) is trading slightly higher on Monday, holding above the $32.00 level during the US session, as broader weakness in the US Dollar (USD) fuels demand for alternative safe-haven assets.
At the end of last week, Japanese Finance Minister Kato indicated that he would look to talk about FX with US Treasury Secretary Bessent this week. This has spurred investors to move back into long JPY positions.
The Mexican Peso (MXN) remains firm against the US Dollar (USD) as markets react to renewed uncertainty following Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. The decision to lower the sovereign rating to AA1 from AAA has prompted a reassessment of the US Dollar’s status.
The US Dollar (USD) is softer and longer-term yields are higher with the S&P future down 1.0% suggesting the potential for a day of triple selling of US assets that is being driven by the decision of Moodys to downgrade the sovereign rating of the US from the top Aaa rating to Aa1.
US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a sideways range of 7.1990/7.2190. In the longer run, a breach of 7.2330 would indicate that the likelihood of USD declining to 7.1700 has faded, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) could drop below 144.90 against Japanese Yen (JPY); the major support at 144.50 is unlikely to come under threat. In the longer run, USD remains in consolidation, but likely within a tighter range of 144.50/147.30, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
There has been a tentative buildup in upward momentum; NZD is expected to edge higher and test 0.5920. In the longer run, outlook remains mixed, but NZD is likely to trade in a tighter range of 0.5835/0.5985, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Late on Friday, the rating agency Moody's downgraded the US sovereign rating one notch to Aa1, having had the US on a negative outlook for a year, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
A breach of 0.6370 would mean that the current price movements are part of a range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Not that it is normally a big driver of the euro exchange rate, but the outcome of the Romanian presidential election will be welcome news in Brussels as it prevents a further splintering of the bloc, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
Euro (EUR) is expected to trade with an upward bias; any advance is likely limited to a test of 1.1225. In the longer run, EUR is likely to consolidate between 1.1100 and 1.1290 for the time being, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The USD/CAD pair is losing ground after registering gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3950 during the European hours on Monday. The daily chart's technical analysis suggested a sustained bullish sentiment, as the pair continues to trade within the ascending channel pattern.
The EUR/USD pair ticks higher at the start of a new week amid a softer US Dollar (USD), though it lacks bullish conviction and remains below the 1.1200 round figure through the Asian session.
The AUD/NZD pair is experiencing mild selling pressure on Friday, hovering near the 1.0900 zone as the market approaches the Asian session. Despite the minor losses, the broader technical outlook remains constructive, with several key indicators aligning to support the pair's upward trajectory.
The AUD/USD pair is trading around the 0.6400 level during European trading hours on Friday, reflecting a broadly neutral tone as traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision next week.
Silver prices edged lower on Friday, with losses of over 1%, set to end the week on a negative note amid rising US Treasury yields, which staged a comeback late during the North American session. XAG/USD trades at $32.26 after hitting a daily peak of $32.68 at the time of writing.
Gold prices fell by more than 1.50% on Friday and are set to end the week with losses of over 4% as an improvement in market mood prompted investors to sell the precious metal in favor of riskier assets. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD trades at $3,187 after hitting a daily high of $3,252.
The USD/CHF pair is trading higher on Friday, testing a significant resistance zone near 0.8380 as traders digest mixed economic signals from the United States and ongoing global trade tensions.
The resilience of the US economy in recent years was interpreted by many investors as a demonstration of US ‘exceptionalism’, Rabobank's FX analyst Jane Foley notes.
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to decline on Friday, falling toward $3,180 and marking a sharp weekly loss of over 4%, its biggest since November 2024. The precious metal has now shed over $300 from its record high of $3,500 set in April, as safe-haven demand weakens and technical selling accelerates.
The US Dollar (USD) is trading higher against the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday, as markets continue to digest the ongoing developments in tariff negotiations, interest rate expectations, and broader risk sentiment.
The Pound Sterling (GBP retreats against the US Dollar (USD) during the North American session, poised to end the week with minimal losses of over 0.24%.
EUR/USD is extending its recent, quiet consolidation around 1.12 and trading with modest support into Friday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is entering Friday’s NA session flat vs. the USD as it consolidates around the midpoint of this week’s range, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Markets are quiet heading into Friday’s NA session with limited movement across most of the G10 currencies and minimal dispersion in terms of performance, aside from NZD (outperforming on higher than expected inflation expectation data) and SEK (underperforming in response to Riksbank Gov.
US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a sideways range of 7.1970/7.2190. In the longer run, a breach of 7.2330 would indicate that the likelihood of USD declining to 7.1700 has faded, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/CNY fix continues to come in slightly softer (and below spot) for the whole week, last seen trading at 7.2057 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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