Euro (EUR) is entering Thursday’s NA session with a modest 0.2% gain vs. the USD, showing losses vs. the havens while strengthening vs. the likes of AUD and NOK in a market that is trading on the disinflationary impact of a US/Iran deal, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The CAD is entering Thursday’s NA session flat vs. the USD but trading somewhat defensively, reflecting the burden of lower oil prices amid the prospect of a possible US/Iran deal, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Risk aversion is dominating as we head into Thursday’s NA session with a distribution of relative currency performance that is seeing notable strength from the havens Swiss Franc (CHF) and Japanese Yen (JPY) and weakness from the growth-sensitive commodity currencies NOK, NZD, and AUD.
Further sideways trading seems likely; firmer underlying tone suggests a higher range of 7.1950/7.2200. In the longer run, renewed downward momentum suggests 7.1700 is back in sight, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD is likely to trade in a sideways range of 145.70/147.50. In the longer run, upward momentum has dissipated; USD is expected to consolidate in a range of 144.50/148.50 for now, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could decline vs US Dollar (USD), but as there is no significant increase in momentum, it is unlikely to be able to break clearly below 0.5860.
There was quite a bit of volatility in FX markets overnight, with USD declining at first, in response to the Bloomberg headline that US discussed FX with South Korea. DXY was last at 100.77 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
A slight increase in downward momentum is likely to lead to a lower range of 0.6400/0.6465 instead of a sustained decline. In the longer run, to continue to rise, Australian Dollar (AUD) must break and hold above 0.6515, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/MXN has broken below key multi-month support, forming a bearish rounding top pattern and signaling potential downside toward 19.10 and 18.70, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
Current price action is non-trending; Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a range between 1.3220 and 1.3320. In the longer run, buildup in momentum has faded; GBP is likely to trade in a 1.3140/1.3405 range, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The dollar is drifting a little lower against major currencies and remains tarnished by April's events. US Treasuries continue to trade on a soft footing, and whether judged against the risk-free SOFR swap rate or German bunds, they have failed to reverse much of the spread widening seen in April.
There has been no increase in either downward or upward momentum; EUR is likely to trade in a 1.1130/1.1230 range vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, EUR is likely to consolidate between 1.1100 and 1.1290 for the time being, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The GBP/JPY cross remains under some selling pressure around 193.85 during the early European session on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) edges higher against the Pound Sterling (GBP) amid the prospect that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike rates again.
The USD/CAD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from the 1.3900 mark and attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices, however, lack bearish conviction and currently trade around the 1.3865 area, down less than 0.10% for the day.
Silver price (XAG/USD) is extending its losses for the second successive session, trading around $31.90 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday.
The GBP/JPY retreated on Wednesday, losing over 0.82% after hitting a weekly high of 196.39 earlier during the Asian session. As Thursday's Asian session begins, the GBP/JPY trades at 194.48 flat.
Silver price fell 2% on Wednesday amid elevated US Treasury bond yields as investors seemed confident that the US Federal Reserve would not reduce interest rates. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $32.20, unchanged as the Asian session begins.
The AUD/NZD pair held near the 1.0900 zone on Wednesday, reflecting a steady bullish tone as the market heads into the Asian session. Price action remains close to the top of its daily range, suggesting that buyers maintain control despite some mixed momentum signals.
The NZD/JPY cross is trading near the 86.50 zone on Wednesday, down approximately 1% as it approaches the lower end of its daily range ahead of the Asian session.
Gold price plummeted for the second day out of three on Wednesday, driven mainly by an improvement in risk appetite following positive trade news linked to the United States (US).
The EUR/USD pair traded near the 1.1200 zone on Wednesday after the European session, reflecting a cautiously bullish tone as the market approaches the Asian session. Price action remains within the middle of its daily range, indicating balanced sentiment despite a mixed technical backdrop.
USD/CAD is holding steady near 1.3975 in the American session on Wednesday, with bulls attempting to reclaim control after a strong bounce from the 1.3900 zone earlier in the day.
The EUR/CHF pair is trading around the 0.9400 zone on Wednesday, reflecting a slightly bullish tone with minor gains as the pair remains within the mid-range of its recent fluctuation.
The EUR/JPY pair is trading near the 164.00 zone ahead of the Asian session on Wednesday, reflecting a slightly bullish tone despite minor losses on the day.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) erases some of its earlier gains on Wednesday after reaching a weekly high of 1.3359, and edges down 0.03% amid a lack of catalysts as traders brace for the release of GDP figures for the United Kingdom (UK). At the time of writing, GBP/USD trades at 1.3293.
The EUR/GBP exchange rate is staging a modest rebound on Wednesday, recovering from a week-long decline as investors respond to stable German inflation figures and cautious commentary from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) officials.
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