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USD improves on stock rebound, trade hopes – Scotiabank
It feels like a fairly 'normal' day is unfolding across markets for once. US stock futures are higher on the back of solid earnings data from the tech sector while hopes for progress on trade are also supporting sentiment, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent on the economy: We expect to see GDP revised
Comments on the economy now
market overview
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Fxstreet
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Refreshes almost three-week high near 145.00
The USD/JPY pair surges almost 0.8% to near 144.80 during European trading hours on Thursday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen (JPY) underperforms across the board, with the Bank of Japan (BoJ) indicating delay in plans of more interest rate hikes.
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US April Challenger layoffs 105.44k vs 275.24k prior
Latest data released by Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. - 1 May 2025
USD
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Bessent: Strategic uncertainty is Trump's negotiating tactic
Nobody can know what you're doing when you don't know it yourself
Politics
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US Bessent: Need to see de-escalation with China on tariffs
Comments from the US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
Politics
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Bessent: Trump-Zelensky meeting at Vatican went a long way to sealing minerals deal
Remarks by US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent
Politics
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Fxstreet
AUD/USD falls to near 0.6380 despite robust Australian Trade Balance data
The AUD/USD pair is down 0.3% to near 0.6380 in Thursday’s European session. The Aussie pair trades back-and-forth around 0.6400 from over a week, with investors seeking clarity on when the United States (US)-China trade war will resolve.
AUDUSD
TradeBalance
TradeWar
China
UnitedStates
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No relief for oil as price continues to tumble lower
A myriad of factors are weighing on the market at the moment
Oil
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A non-consensus trade opportunity as the selloff in crude oil gathers attention
Crude oil has been selling off hard as the focus has been on higher supply fears but a non-consensus trade opportunity on higher prices could be in the cards
Oil
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Fxstreet
Will EU trade pivot away from the US? – Standard Chartered
The US has become the EU’s dominant trade partner in the last decade; tariffs could end that dominance. The UK offers the biggest near-term opportunity to boost trade flows via TCA renegotiation.
China
TradeWar
Europe
Politics
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USD: US economy contracts ahead of nonfarm payrolls report – MUFG
The US dollar has continued to rebound ahead of tomorrow’s nonfarm payrolls report for April. It has resulted in the dollar index rising back above the 100.00-level overnight although US dollar gains are mainly against the yen.
Technical Analysis
NFP
USDJPY
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DollarIndex
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Fxstreet
EUR/USD slumps as US Dollar extends recovery after US Manufacturing PMI data
EUR/USD falls sharply to near 1.1285 during North American trading hours on Thursday. The major currency pair declines as the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major peers, extends its two-day recovery above the psychological level of 100.00.
ECB
China
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SEO
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JPY: BoJ expresses more caution over delivering further rate hikes – MUFG
The yen has weakened overnight following the BoJ’s latest policy meeting. It has helped to lift USD/JPY back above 144.50 as the pair moves further above the low of 139.89 set on 22nd April.
Technical Analysis
BOJ
Japan
USDJPY
Banks
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Former US Treasury Sec. Yellen: Trump tariffs to have 'tremendously adverse' impact
Former US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Thursday that US President Donald “Trump’s tariffs to have a 'tremendously adverse' impact on the economy.”
TradeWar
UnitedStates
Macroeconomics
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Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Thursday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
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CAD strengthens on trade optimism and BOC caution – BBH
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is outperforming most major currencies, BBH FX analysts report.
BOC
USDCAD
Banks
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BOJ holds rates, slashes forecasts – Yen falls – BBH
As was widely expected, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left the policy rate unchanged at 0.50%. The decision was unanimous. The BOJ also reiterated its hawkish guidance that it will continue to raise the policy rate if the outlook for economic activity and prices will be realized.
BOJ
USDJPY
Banks
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USD/JPY rises post-BoJ – Société Générale
USD/JPY pushed higher after the Bank of Japan held policy steady and delivered a dovish message, but we continue to expect gradual JPY appreciation as safe haven demand and domestic inflows persist despite near-term positioning risks, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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USDJPY
Banks
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD moves below $32.50 near 50-day EMA
Silver price (XAG/USD) is extending its losses for the third successive session, trading around $32.30 per troy ounce during the European session on Thursday.
Technical Analysis
Silver
Metals
Commodities
XAGUSD
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Former US Treasury Secretary Yellen: Trump tariffs to have 'tremendously adverse' impact
Comments to the Financial Times
Politics
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USD/JPY rises post-BoJ, but long-term bias remains bearish – Danske Bank
JPY still a safe haven as policy uncertainty supports demand
BOJ
USDJPY
Banks
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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls flirt with trading range hurdle, around mid-163.00s on dovish BoJ
The EUR/JPY cross catches aggressive bids on Thursday and rallies to a fresh weekly high, around the mid-163.00s during the first half of the European session amid the dovish Bank of Japan (BoJ)-inspired selling around the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Crosses
Technical Analysis
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BOJ
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GBP: On the lookout for warmer European relations – ING
In the UK today, we have local council elections. These normally present an opportunity for voters to punish the ruling party. However, in today's case, the opposition Conservative party seemingly has more to lose, given it has far more councillors up for re-election.
UnitedKingdom
EURGBP
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EUR/USD stays trapped in 1.13–1.14 range ahead of payrolls – Danske Bank
EUR/USD remains confined within the 1.13-1.14 range, as has been the case for most of the second half of April, Danske Bank's FX analysts report, Danske Bank's FX analysts report.
NFP
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EURUSD
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USD/JPY breaks 144 after dovish BoJ cuts forecasts – ING
USD/JPY climbed above 144 as a dovish Bank of Japan cut its growth and inflation forecasts, amplifying downside risks and sending JGB yields lower, while the broader risk environment continued to weigh on the US Dollar, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
Technical Analysis
BOJ
Japan
USDJPY
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US futures continue to hold up in European morning trade
S&P 500 futures up 1.1% on the day
Stocks
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USD: April ISM poses the downside risk – ING
Whether it has been the approach of public holidays or some real improvement in the global geopolitical environment, cross-market measures of financial volatility continue to fall.
Technical Analysis
Fed
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DollarIndex
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WTI falls toward $57.00 due to concerns over OPEC+ supply increase, weakening demand
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude Oil price is extending its losing streak for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday, trading around $57.20 per barrel during European hours.
Oil
Majors
WTI
Commodities
Macroeconomics
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UK April final manufacturing PMI 45.4 vs 44.0 prelim
Final data released by S&P Global - 1 May 2025
GBP
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Forex Live
UK March mortgage approvals 64.31k vs 64.80k expected
Latest data released by the BOE - 1 May 2025
GBP
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Forex Live
The S&P 500 confirms the breakout as the de-escalation trend continues
The S&P 500 broke above the key resistance levels amid optimism on the trade negotiations front
S&P Futures Technical Analysis
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Fxstreet
EUR: We may see 1.1250 after all – ING
A week ago, we were thinking that EUR/USD could retrace to the 1.1250 area, and it's taken some time, but we may get there after all, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
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USD/CAD Price Forecast: Tests initial support at 1.3800 near six-month lows
The USD/CAD pair retraces its losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.3810 during the European hours on Thursday.
Technical Analysis
USDCAD
Majors
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The market sees more Fed rate cuts after the weak US GDP but it could be wrong
Following the weaker than expected US Q1 GDP yesterday, the market is pricing higher chances of more Fed rate cuts, although everything hinges on trade deals
market overview
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Fxstreet
Pound Sterling trades lower against US Dollar after US Manufacturing PMI data
The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades slightly lower against the US Dollar (USD) marginally above 1.3300 during North American trading hours on Thursday.
TradeWar
SEO
BOE
PMI
GBPUSD
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Fxstreet
Forex Today: US Dollar stretches higher ahead of mid-tier data releases
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, May 1:
Currencies
Majors
EconomicIndicator
Commodities
Macroeconomics
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Fxstreet
NZD/USD edges lower to near 0.5900 as US Dollar appreciates ahead of ISM Manufacturing PMI
The NZD/USD pair has trimmed its daily gains and is depreciating, trading near 0.5920 during the early European session on Thursday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) faces pressure as expectations mount for further monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ).
RBNZ
Majors
NewZealand
NZDUSD
Macroeconomics
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EUR/INR today: Indian Rupee cross rates mixed at the start of the European session
Indian Rupee (INR) crosses trade mixed at the start of Thursday, according to FXStreet data.
India
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USD/JPY extends gains as Ueda delivers more dovish messaging
The pair is now up 1% on the day near 144.50 currently
JPY
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