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Forex Today: US tariff headlines limit USD upside ahead of key inflation data
Here is what you need to know on Friday, May 30:
Majors
Macroeconomics
Currencies
EconomicIndicator
Commodities
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Forex Live
Spain May Flash CPI (HICP) Y/Y +1.9% vs +2.0% expected
Latest data released by INE - 30 May 2025
EUR
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Fxstreet
FX option expiries for May 30 NY cut
FX option expiries for May 30 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time vi a DTCC can be found below.
Options
Currencies
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Fxstreet
AUD/JPY drops to near 92.50 following Tokyo’s inflation, Aussie Retail Sales data
AUD/JPY extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 92.50 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency cross depreciates nearly 0.50% as the Japanese Yen (JPY) gains ground against its peers after Tokyo’s core inflation came in stronger than expected.
AUDJPY
Crosses
Macroeconomics
Japan
Australia
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Fxstreet
EUR/GBP holds losses near 0.8400 following German Retail Sales, eyes on CPI data
EUR/GBP edges lower after registering more than 0.50% gains in the previous session, trading around 0.8420 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency cross holds losses following the release of Germany’s Retail Sales data.
EURGBP
Crosses
Macroeconomics
Eurozone
UnitedKingdom
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German Retail Sales grow 2.3% YoY in April vs. 1.8% expected
Retail Sales in Germany unexpectedly declined 1.1% month-over-month (MoM) in April, following the 0.9% revised growth (from -0.2%) reported in March, according to official data released by Destatis on Friday.
Germany
RetailSales
EconomicIndicator
EURUSD
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Crude oil price today: WTI price bearish at European opening
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Friday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $60.41 per barrel, down from Thursday’s close at $60.61.Brent Oil Exchange Rate (Brent crude) is also shedding ground, trading at $63.08 after its previous daily close at $63.30.
Oil
WTI
Commodities
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Germany April retail sales -1.1% vs 0.2% m/m expected
Latest data released by Destatis - 30 May 2025
EUR
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Fxstreet
Breaking: US core PCE inflation softens to 2.5% in April as forecast
Annual inflation in the United States (US), as measured by the change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, declined to 2.1% in April from 2.3% in March, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Friday. This reading came in below the market expectation of 2.2%.
Breaking
UnitedStates
Inflation
EconomicIndicator
SEO
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Fxstreet
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Bullish tone remains in play above 163.00
The EUR/JPY cross attracts some sellers to around 163.25 during the early European session on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against the Euro (EUR) amid rising expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue raising interest rates this year.
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Fxstreet
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD hovers around $33.00 after breaking below nine-day EMA
Silver price (XAG/USD) offers its recent gains registered in the previous session, trading around $33.00 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Friday.
XAGUSD
Silver
Technical Analysis
Commodities
Metals
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Fxstreet
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Trade below 1.3500; bullish bias remains ahead of US PCE data
The GBP/USD pair attracts fresh sellers following the previous day's goodish rebound from the 1.3415 area, or the weekly low amid a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick.
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Fxstreet
Gold price consolidates below $3,300 as traders keenly await the release of the US PCE Price Index
Gold price (XAU/USD) consolidates below the $3,300 mark, or the daily low during the first half of the European session on Friday as traders opt to move to the sidelines ahead of the crucial US inflation figures.
Gold
Commodities
Fed
Inflation
SEO
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Fxstreet
India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data
Gold prices fell in India on Friday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
Gold
Metals
Commodities
India
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Fxstreet
US Dollar Index holds positive ground near 99.50 ahead of US PCE inflation data
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, edges higher to near 99.40 during the Asian trading hours on Friday.
DollarIndex
Macroeconomics
UnitedStates
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BoE’s Taylor: I thought we needed to be on a lower monetary policy path
Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Alan Taylor told the Financial Times (FT) on Friday, “I thought we needed to be on a lower [monetary] policy path.”
BOE
CentralBanks
InterestRate
GBPUSD
Inflation
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WTI remains below $60.50 as US federal appeals court temporarily reinstates Trump tariffs
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around $60.30 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
Oil
WTI
Macroeconomics
Majors
Commodities
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ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Bessent says US-China talks stalled
Forex news for Asian trading on Friday 30 May 2025 - Tokyo CPI rising well above 3%
Session wrap
Wrap Asia
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RBNZ’s Silk: Interest rates are in 2.5%-3.5% neutral band
In a Reuters interview on Friday, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Assistant Governor Karen Silk said that “interest rates are in 2.5%-3.5% neutral band.”
RBNZ
CentralBanks
NZDUSD
InterestRate
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US plans to ramp up weapons sales to Taiwan - exceeding Trump's first term
Reuters report
China
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US plan for Gaza ceasefire to be guaranteed by Trump
The latest developments in ceasefire negotiations
Oil
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Fxstreet
NZD/USD maintains position above 0.5950 after trimming recent gains, US PCE inflation eyed
NZD/USD holds ground after trimming daily gains, trading around 0.5960 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair offered its gains after weaker economic data was released from New Zealand.
NZDUSD
Majors
Macroeconomics
NewZealand
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China expected to announce 'major financial polices' on June 18 and 19, 2025
People's Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng will speak at the event
China
pboc
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Fxstreet
EUR/USD edges lower to mid-1.1300s; looks to US PCE Price Index for fresh impetus
The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's solid bounce from the 1.1200 neighborhood, or a one-and-a-half week low, and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Friday.
EURUSD
TradeWar
Fed
Inflation
Currencies
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Fxstreet
USD/INR edges lower ahead of India GDP, US PCE releases
The Indian Rupee (INR) gains ground on Friday, snapping the three-day losing streak. The downbeat US economic data and concerns that a US court ruling would change the outlook for US tariffs undermine the US Dollar (USD).
USDINR
India
SEO
Macroeconomics
EmergingMarkets
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Fxstreet
Japanese Yen trims part of intraday gains; up a little against rebounding USD ahead of US PCE
The Japanese Yen (JPY) builds on a sharp recovery from a two-week low touched against its American counterpart the previous day and attracts strong follow-through buyers for the second straight day on Friday.
USDJPY
TradeWar
Inflation
BOJ
SEO
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Forex Live
Trump will be speaking on Friday, on Musk at 1.30pm, then on US Steel after markets close
A couple of notable speaking events for Trump on Friday, May 30, 2025
Politics
SPX
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Fxstreet
Trump administration considers allowing tariffs of up to 15% for 150 days – WSJ
Citing people familiar with the matter, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported late Thursday, “US President Donald Trump's administration is considering an existing law that includes language allowing for tariffs of up to 15% for 150 days.”
UnitedStates
TradeWar
China
DollarIndex
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Fxstreet
Australian Dollar posts losses as traders adopt caution ahead of US PCE inflation data
The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, retracing its recent gains from the previous session. The AUD/USD pair remains subdued following the release of disappointing economic data from Australia.
AUDUSD
SEO
Majors
Macroeconomics
Australia
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Forex Live
AUD a little lower - poor retail sales cited (there's a but, though)
Poor building permits data also
AUD
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Fxstreet
Japan’s Trade Negotiator Akazawa plans to meet Bessent for trade talks
Japan’s Chief Trade Negotiator and Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa said on Friday that he “plans to meet US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and others for Japan-US tariff talks.”
Japan
USDJPY
TradeWar
UnitedStates
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Fxstreet
Australia’s Retail Sales decline 0.1% MoM in April vs. 0.3% expected
Australia’s Retail Sales, a measure of the country’s consumer spending, declined 0.1% MoM in April, compared to a rise of 0.3% in March, the official data published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed on Friday.
Australia
RetailSales
Macroeconomics
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Forex Live
Australian April building permits -5.7% m/m (expected +3.1%)
Builidng approvals are a lumpy data set
AUD
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Forex Live
Australian April 2025 retail sales -0.1% m/m (expected +0.3%)
Australian March retail sales
AUD
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Forex Live
Japan economy minister Akazawa: Will take appropriate actions re tariffs
Commenting on the court case
JPY
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Fxstreet
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1848 vs. 7.1907 previous
On Friday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.1848 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1907 and 7.1859 Reuters estimate.
USDCNY
PBOC
CentralBanks
Currencies
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Forex Live
Russia transferred 1.8 tons of gold bars (approx US$104 mn) to Iran as payment for drones
WaPo had the story of a March 2023 contract transaction
Gold
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Fxstreet
USD/CAD softens to near 1.3800 ahead of US PCE, Canadian GDP releases
The USD/CAD pair trades in a negative territory around 1.3810 during the early Asian session on Friday. The concerns that a US court ruling would change the outlook for US tariffs weigh on the Greenback.
USDCAD
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Fxstreet
Fed's Logan: Monetary policy in a good place
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan gave opening remarks and participated in a moderated conversation before the Greater Waco Member Appreciation event.
Fed
CentralBanks
UnitedStates
Macroeconomics
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Fxstreet
BoJ’s Ueda: We are aware of firm's aggressive price, wage-setting behavior continuing
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Friday that the BoJ's financial position won't affect its short-term rate decision, which will focus on achieving the price target.
BOJ
Japan
CentralBanks
Macroeconomics
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