The EUR/GBP exchange rate is staging a modest rebound on Wednesday, recovering from a week-long decline as investors respond to stable German inflation figures and cautious commentary from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) officials.
Silver price (XAG/USD) is down over 1% to near $32.15 during North American trading hours on Wednesday. The white metal faces a sharp selling pressure as demand for safe-haven assets has fizzled out, with the United States (US) and China aiming to avert a more than a month-long trade war.
The NZD/USD pair gives back its intraday gains and ticks lower to near 0.5935 during North American trading hours on Wednesday. The Kiwi pair corrects as the US Dollar (USD) recoups some of its intraday losses.
Gold prices remain under pressure as investors reassess the interest rate outlook and digest mixed signals from recent US economic data. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 2.23% on the day, trading below $3,200, extending a week-to-date decline of 4.26%.
Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said that recent inflation numbers suggest the Fed is still making headway toward its 2% target. However, he cautioned that the outlook has become less certain, with the threat of new import tariffs potentially pushing prices higher.
The Euro (EUR) is entering Wednesday’s NA session with a decent 0.5% gain, a mid-performer among the G10 in the context of a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is up marginally vs. the US Dollar (USD) and continuing to underperform its G10 peers for a second consecutive session, trading with the broader trend but with moves of a smaller magnitude, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The US Dollar (USD) is weakening broadly into Wednesday’s NA session, extending Tuesday’s CPI driven-decline and retracing most of its US/China-trade related relief gains from the start of the week, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The Mexican Peso (MXN) posts a second consecutive day of gains on Wednesday against the US Dollar (USD), slipping below 19.40 ahead of key commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials that could influence the monetary policy outlook.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, has dipped in the direction of the 100-marker, near 100.60 on Wednesday.
EUR/USD is back to trading close to the 1.120 mark, entirely driven by the swings in the dollar following the US-China deal and CPI numbers, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
ICE Brent rallied by almost 2.6% yesterday, reaching its highest since late April. A weaker USD following a cooler-than-expected US consumer price index (CPI) provided some tailwinds to the oil market.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) strengthened further against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, with the AUD/USD pair rising close to the 0.6500 psychological level, up nearly 2% so far this week, buoyed by a combination of weaker US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and stronger-than-expected wage growth
Another 25bp rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand on 28 May seems likely. Markets are fully pricing it in, following the RBNZ’s previous indications that growth remains a major concern, ING's FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade sideways between 7.1850 and 7.2100. In the longer run, renewed downward momentum suggests 7.1700 is back in sight, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The USD/JPY pair plunges to near 145.80 during European trading hours on Wednesday. The pair faces a sharp sell-off as the US Dollar (USD) has been hit hard by the soft United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April.
USD and the Australian dollar are the biggest beneficiaries in G10 from a de-escalation in US-China trade tensions, ING's FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 146.70 and 148.20. In the longer run, further USD strength is likely, but it could first trade in a range for a few days; the level to monitor is 149.30, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/CAD observed volatility has eased back significantly, as the loonie seems to be trading again as an extension of US-growth sentiment – and is therefore more correlated with USD, ING's FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to rise further; it is unlikely to be able to break clearly above 0.5965. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; NZD is expected to trade in a 0.5835/0.6030 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is holding up quite well as UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer delivers some wins on trade and geopolitics, ING's FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note.
Scope for further Australian Dollar (AUD) strength against the US Dollar (USD), but any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.6420/0.6515. In the longer run, to continue to rise, AUD must break and hold above 0.6515, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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