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USD/CAD: Keeping risk premium on for longer – ING
While a Bank of Canada hold is widely expected, it's the looming US-Canada trade tensions and the outcome of Canada's late-April election that may shape the CAD's path.
Technical Analysis
Canada
BOC
USDCAD
Banks
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US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 11 April -8.5% vs +20.0% prior
Latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association for the week ending 11 April 2025
USD
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China: Stronger-than-expected Q1 growth – Standard Chartered
Q1 GDP growth remained solid at 5.4% y/y, providing a cushion to meet the annual growth target. March real activity growth beat market consensus by a significant margin; outlook remains cautious.
Growth
GDP
China
Banks
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EUR/CHF: Tough times for the SNB – ING
The Swiss franc has surged amid global equity turmoil and waning confidence in the dollar.
Technical Analysis
EURCHF
USDCHF
Banks
Switzerland
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Safety, export markets and oil as drivers – Commerzbank
Much has happened since the US 'Liberation Day' on 2 April. Tariffs have been introduced, only to be partially suspended. Negotiations have begun, though seemingly without much prospect of success. And new tariffs are already being planned. Of course, all this has not left the markets unscathed.
Technical Analysis
Oil
TradeWar
Energy
Banks
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EUR/GBP: Raising the profile – ING
EUR/GBP has held up better than expected, buoyed by euro strength and pressure on sterling from rising gilt yields.
Technical Analysis
EURGBP
Banks
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Trump: Japan is coming in today to negotiate tariffs and the cost of military support
Trump post on Truth Social
USD
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USD/CAD slides back into multiyear range – Societe Generale
USD/CAD continues to trend lower after February's rejection at 1.48, breaking below the 200-DMA and slipping back into a multiyear range.
Technical Analysis
USDCAD
Banks
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EUR/JPY: Surprisingly steady – ING
Despite global equity market moves, EUR/JPY is diverging from its usual correlations, driven by a dollar sell-off and repatriation flows from Europe and Japan.
Technical Analysis
EURJPY
Banks
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China reportedly mulls requesting Airbus to supply any new jets with extra set of engines
This reaffirms the Boeing boycott
CNY
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USD/JPY under pressure amid tariff jitters – OCBC
USD/JPY continues to trade with a bearish tilt as tariff uncertainty and questions over the dollar’s safe-haven role persist.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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Could be something or could be nothing, but things are moving on US-China front
CNBC reports that China replaced its top international negotiator as talks with the US stalled
market overview
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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
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Metals
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Traders continue to favour dovish bets amid the lack of positive developments on tariffs
Interest rate expectations remain skewed to the more dovish side as a couple of disappointing headlines weighed on risk sentiment
market overview
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EUR/INR today: Indian Rupee cross rates edge higher at the start of the European session
Indian Rupee (INR) crosses trade on the front foot at the beginning of Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.
India
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EUR/USD bounces back as investors doubt USD’s safe-haven appeal
EUR/USD recovers strongly to near 1.1390 during European trading hours on Wednesday after a slight correction on Tuesday. The major currency pair strengthens as the US Dollar (USD) resumes its downside journey after a short-lived recovery move.
EURUSD
ECB
DollarIndex
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SEO
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China open to talks if Trump shows respect – Bloomberg
Citing a person familiar with the Chinese government’s thinking., Bloomberg reported on Wednesday that China is willing to sit across the table with the US. However, Beijing has some preconditions for the trade negotiations.
China
UnitedStates
Gold
TradeWar
RiskAversion
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EUR/JPY advances to near 162.00 as Euro receives support from real money flows
EUR/JPY rebounds after two consecutive sessions of losses, trading near 162.00 during Wednesday’s European hours. The currency cross strengthens as the Euro (EUR) gains traction against its peers, supported by real money flows as investors hedge Dollar exposure or repatriate US assets.
Crosses
Eurozone
Japan
EURJPY
Macroeconomics
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Eurozone March final CPI +2.2% vs +2.2% y/y prelim
Latest data released by Eurostat - 16 April 2025
EUR
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BoC Governor Macklem: We have to be flexible and adaptable
Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem addressed the central bank’s policy outlook and answered questions from the media after the BoC paused its easing cycle in April.
BOC
USDCAD
SEO
InterestRate
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GBP/USD: Sterling enjoys its reserve currency status – ING
GBP/USD continues to benefit from broader dollar weakness and reserve diversification trends, with FX managers potentially trimming dollar holdings in favor of currencies like sterling. The pair also closely follows EUR/USD moves, as Europe embraces fiscal stimulus.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD
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DXY hovers near lows as trade uncertainty weighs – OCBC
Dollar Index (DXY) inched modestly higher overnight but continues to trade near recent lows. Trump launched a probe into the need for tariffs on critical minerals, the latest action in an expanding trade war that has targeted key sectors of the global economy.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
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USD/JPY: Leading the charge lower in the dollar – ING
The Japanese Yen’s (JPY) solid current account and foreign asset position continue to pressure USD/JPY lower, even as the rare decoupling from US Treasury yields unfolds. While this divergence may prove short-lived, markets could settle into a lower USD/JPY as Fed cuts materialize later this year.
Technical Analysis
BOJ
USDJPY
Banks
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EUR/USD consolidates near 1.13 – OCBC
The Euro (EUR) is consolidating as markets digest tariff concerns and await the ECB meeting, where a 25bp rate cut is expected. While bullish momentum continues, dovish ECB rhetoric or pushback on recent euro strength could limit further gains.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
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Real money flows fuel EUR/USD rally – ING
The EUR/USD rally appears driven by real money flows as investors hedge dollar exposure or repatriate US assets.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
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Palladium price today: Rare metals mixed at the start of the European session
Platinum Group Metals (PGMs) trade mixed at the beginning of Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.
Platinum
Commodities
Palladium
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NZD/USD rises above 0.5900 as US Dollar struggles ahead of US Retail Sales data
NZD/USD continues its winning streak for the sixth successive day, trading around 0.5910 during the European hours on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) gains ground following the release of key economic data from China.
Majors
NewZealand
NZDUSD
Macroeconomics
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Gold jumps above $3,300 as the surging run continues
It was just a week ago that gold was still trading under $3,000
Gold
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US Dollar Index falls below 99.50 due to eroding investor confidence, Retails Sales eyed
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of six major currencies, declined after gaining in the previous session, trading near 99.50 during Wednesday's European hours.
DollarIndex
Fed
Macroeconomics
Majors
TradeWar
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Eurozone February current account balance €33.1 billion vs €13.2 billion prior
Latest data released by the ECB - 16 April 2025
EUR
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Crude Oil price today: WTI price bearish at European opening
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Wednesday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $60.29 per barrel, down from Tuesday’s close at $61.01. Brent Oil Exchange Rate (Brent crude) is also shedding ground, trading at $63.66 after its previous daily close at $64.36.
Oil
WTI
Commodities
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Ex-China mouthpiece hits back at US, says "we're curious to see who holds out longer"
Some interesting remarks by Hu Xijin, former Global Times editor, who is also a prolific nationalistic commentator
CNY
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Forex Today: US Dollar selloff resumes after short reprieve, eyes on BoC and Powell
Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, April 16:
Currencies
Majors
EconomicIndicator
Commodities
Macroeconomics
News Discussion Forum
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China’s Foreign Ministry urges US to stop threats and blackmail
On Wednesday, China’s Foreign Ministry urged the US to stop threats and blackmail.
China
TradeWar
AUDUSD
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WTI drops to near $60.00 as US-China trade dispute continues to weigh on energy demand
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price continues its decline for the third consecutive session, losing over 1.00% and trading near $60.30 per barrel during early European hours on Wednesday.
Oil
WTI
Commodities
Macroeconomics
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China Foreign Ministry: Urge US to stop threats and blackmail
Remarks from the Chinese Foreign Ministry on the latest US moves against China
market overview
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Fxstreet
Pound Sterling comes under pressure as UK inflation cools down
The Pound Sterling (GBP) faces selling pressure against its major peers on Wednesday, except the US Dollar (USD), after the release of the softer-than-expected United Kingdom (UK) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March.
TradeWar
SEO
Inflation
BOE
GBPUSD
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Nvidia said to have kept some customers in the dark about China restrictions - report
Nvidia reportedly did not inform some of its major customers about the new US export rules despite being told about a week ago requiring it to obtain licenses
market overview
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