Gold (XAU/USD) is practically flat on Friday, trapped within the last few days' trading range. The broader trend remains positive, but the failure to breach resistance at the $3.400 area this week has shifted the focus towards the $3,340 support area.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1660 and 7.1860. In the longer run, mild downward pressure could lead to USD edging lower; it remains to be seen if it can reach 7.1400, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Gold has been showing strength for some time now: it is currently scratching at the $3,400 per troy ounce mark again, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 142.95/144.40 against Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, price action suggests that USD is still trading in a range, most likely between 142.10 and 145.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
As expected, the ECB lowered its interest rates by another 25 basis points to 2.0% yesterday. However, the exchange rate only really started to move during the press conference, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.
Today is that time again – Payroll Friday. The first Friday of the month when, as is traditional, the US labor market report is published. According to Bloomberg, the consensus expectation is that the US economy created 126,000 new jobs in May.
Risk remains on the upside, but with no clear increase in momentum, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) may not be able to break above 0.6080 against US Dollar (USD).
AUD/USD is showing signs of potential upside as it consolidates above key technical levels, with bullish momentum building if support at 0.6400 holds, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Silver price (XAG/USD) refreshes over a decade high to near $36.20 on Friday. The white metal performs strongly as market experts quoted it a value buy, citing its secular underperformance in comparison with Gold.
The Central Bank of Russia's (CBR) had been expected to hold its key rate steady at today’s meeting. This had been a majority view among analysts, including ourselves, until recently, but as of late, the consensus majority has shifted in favour of a 100bp rate cut today.
Australian Dollar (AUD) could first test 0.6540 against US Dollar (USD) before the risk of a pullback increases. In the longer run, bias remains on the upside, but it remains to be seen if AUD can break clearly above 0.6555, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Citing people with the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) thinking, Bloomberg reported on Friday that the central bank is “said to consider smaller reductions to its bond buying.”
Fortunately, the very public fallout between President Trump and Elon Musk has not had broader market implications. Despite the travails for Tesla, the broader S&P 500 was only off 0.5% yesterday and futures now call the S&P modestly higher today.
Firmer underlying tone suggests Pound Sterling (GBP) could retest the 1.3615 level against US Dollar (USD); the next resistance at 1.3655 is unlikely to come under threat.
We were caught off guard by the main message from ECB President Christine Lagarde yesterday that the easing cycle was nearing its conclusion, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
New Zealand Dollar’s upside attempts were capped at 0.6180 on Thursday, and the pair is extending the reversal on Friday, against a somewhat firmer US Dollar, which brings the 0.6000 support area back into focus.The Greenback is trimming some losses with investors unwinding their USD shorts, after a
Euro (EUR) could potentially retest 1.1495 against US Dollar (USD) or even break above this level; slowing momentum suggests 1.1530 is likely out of reach.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a moderately positive tone on Friday, with investors trimming US Dollar lows ahead of May’s US Nonfarm Payrolls release.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) retraces to near 1.3535 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Friday, falling from a fresh three-year high of 1.3620 posted the previous day.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trades sideways around $62.20 during European trading hours on Friday. The Oil price consolidates as investors await the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for May, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
EUR/USD is drifting lower on Friday, trading at 1.1420 area at the moment of writing, down from the six-week highs, near 1.1500, hit on the previous day.
AUD/JPY extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 93.60 during early European hours on Friday. A technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the currency cross remains within an ascending channel pattern, confirming a sustained bullish bias.
The USD/CAD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move for the second straight day on Friday and trades around the 1.3665 region during the early European session. Spot prices remain close to the year-to-date low touched on Thursday and seem vulnerable to sliding further.
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