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Fxstreet
GBP/USD holds above 1.3400 as US PMI strength offsets fiscal worries
The British Pound (GBP) is navigating choppy price action against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, holding above the 1.3400 psychological mark to trade near 1.3410 during the American session, as traders digest the latest business activity data from both sides of the Atlantic.
GBPUSD
PMI
Fundamental Analysis
Macroeconomics
BOJ
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Goldman Sachs: Two key reasons USD weakness to persist in 2025
Goldman Sachs on why the dollar will decline
USD
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White House: Trump believes things moving in the right direction with Iran
White House officials will travel to Rome this weekend to meet with Iranian counterparts
Politics
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Forex Live
Next week the US Treasury sells 2s, 5s and 7s
A look a the upcoming Treasury auction schedule
Bonds
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Forex Live
US treasury auctions $18B of 10 year TIPS at high yield of 2.22%
WI level at the time of auction 2.22%
USD
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Forex Live
US was not convinced about lowering G7 oil price cap during G7 finance meeting
US was not convinced about reducing G7 oil price during finance meeting, citing declining prices hurting Russia. Discussions ongoing about potential price decrease.
USD
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Forex Live
Freddie Mac 30-year mortgage rate for the current week highest since February
Freddie Mac reports a rise in U.S. mortgage rates, with the 30-year fixed-rate climbing to 6.86%. Affordability challenges persist, impacting buyer activity in the housing market.
USD
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EU's Dombrovskis: Ministers put forth proposals on further Russian sanctions
There was a suggestion to lower oil price cap to $50/barrel
Oil
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European stock markets dragged lower but finish well-above the lows
Closing changes in Europe
Stocks
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KC Fed manufacturing index -10 vs -5 prior
KC Fed manufacturing index declines
USD
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Fxstreet
USD/CAD holds ground, weak Canadian data caps losses
The US Dollar (USD) continues to face pressure from broad-based macro concerns, including high fiscal deficits, prolonged elevated interest rates, and rising geopolitical tensions. Despite these headwinds, USD/CAD has remained stable, with prices trading flat near 1.3886 at the time of writing.
USDCAD
Majors
Currencies
Technical Analysis
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Fxstreet
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Slides to near 0.5900
The NZD/USD pair is falling to near the round level of 0.5900 during North American trading hours on Thursday. The Kiwi pair slumps after the release of the stronger-than-projected United States (US) Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for May.
NZDUSD
PMI
TradeBalance
SupportResistance
DollarIndex
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Natural gas prices slide after weekly inventory data
A build of 120 bcf vs 115 bcf expected
Natural gas
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Forex Live
US April existing home sales 4.00m vs 4.10m expected
Existing home sales for April 2025
USD
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Fxstreet
ECB’s Nagel: Interest rate level is not restrictive
Joachim Nagel, President of the Bundesbank and member of the European Central Bank's (ECB) Governing Council (GC), argued that the bank’s current interest rate level is not considered restrictive.
ECB
InterestRate
EURUSD
CentralBanks
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US May S&P Global flash services PMI 52.3 vs 50.8 expected
US services and manufacturing flash PMIs from S&P Global
USD
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Fxstreet
USD Index turns highly volatile near 99.50 after Trump’s bill advances to Senate
The US Dollar (USD) exhibits volatile action during North American trading on Thursday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) showing wild moves near 99.50 after the United States (US) House of Representatives approved President Donald Trump’s tax bill narrowly and passed it to the Senate.
DollarIndex
FiscalPolicy
UnitedStates
PMI
Employment
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Fxstreet
EUR/GBP pulls back as Eurozone business activity contracts, UK services gain momentum
The EUR/GBP cross edges lower on Thursday, retreating after a three-day rally to trade near 0.8420 at the start of the American session as investors digest a mixed batch of economic data from both sides.
EURGBP
Crosses
PMI
Inflation
BOE
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US stock futures flat. Urban Outfitters upbeat on the consumer
Nice bounce as one consumer-facing company doesn't see weakness
Stocks
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May Belgium business confidence -13.5 vs -14.0 expected
Slight improvement in business confidence
EUR
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US dollar firms after initial jobless claims, 30-year yields can't crack 2023 high
Eyes on bonds
USD
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Fxstreet
US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 227K last week
US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance receded a tad to 227K for the week ending May 17, as reported by the US Department of Labor (DOL) on Thursday. This print came in below initial estimates and the previous week's unrevised tally of 229K.
Employment
UnitedStates
DollarIndex
EconomicIndicator
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US initial jobless claims 227K vs 230k estimate
The weekly US initial jobless claims and continuing claims data
USD
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Canada April producer price index -0.8% m/m vs -0.5% expected
Canada April producer price index m/m
CAD
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Fxstreet
GBP/USD turns cautious on UK PMI Manufacturing miss, with focus on US data
The British Pound Sterling (GBP) has been gaining steadily against the US Dollar (USD) since January, reflecting diverging economic conditions between the United Kingdom and the United States.
GBPUSD
Majors
Macroeconomics
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
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Fxstreet
Fed's Waller: Tariffs will be a one time price increase
In an interview with Fox Business on Thursday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller reiterated that he continues to believe that tariffs will cause a one-time increase in prices and added that the Fed's standard playbook is to look through one-time price impacts, per Reuters.
CentralBanks
Fed
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Fed's Waller: If tariffs are closer to 10%, then economy is good shape for 2H
Speaking to FOX Business
USD
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Fxstreet
ECB Accounts: Inflation expected to hover close to target of 2% for remainder of year
The accounts of the European Central Bank's (ECB) April policy meeting showed on Thursday that policymakers had increased confidence that inflation would return to target in line with the March baseline projections.
ECB
CentralBanks
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Fxstreet
JPY outperforming with modest gain – Scotiabank
Japanese Yen (JPY) is entering Thursday’s NA session with a modest gain against the US Dollar (USD), a lone performer in an environment of mild (albeit broad-based) USD strength, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
USDJPY
Banks
Japan
Technical Analysis
BOJ
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Fxstreet
GBP trading well despite deeply contractionary mfg PMI – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is down 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD) and a mid-performer among the G10, trading relatively well despite a generally disappointing preliminary PMI release, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
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ECB Accounts: Increased confidence inflation would return to target over the medium term.
The ECB releases its monetary policy accounts of the April meeting
EUR
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Fxstreet
CAD steady, risk reversal pricing, technical lean bullish – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is down marginally, reflecting the minor lift in the US Dollar (USD) generally more than anything else.
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Forex Live
Forexlive European FX news wrap: The US House passes Trump's tax bill
Forex news from the European morning session on May 22, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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Fxstreet
USD consolidates as Treasurys steady – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is consolidating. Global market sentiment remains soft, following yesterday’s hefty US equity market losses. Asian and European stocks are down and US equity futures are narrowly mixed, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fed
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Fxstreet
EUR soft but in range as markets digest disappointing PMIs/stronger IFO – Scotiabank
Euro (EUR) is entering Thursday’s NA session with a 0.3% decline against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming most of the G10 currencies with the exception of SEK and NZD, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
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Fxstreet
Bessent and Kato commit to market-determined exchange rates – Commerzbank
This US administration does not formulate any doctrine or strategy in important policy areas that could serve as guidelines for current policy measures.
Banks
Japan
China
UnitedStates
TradeWar
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Fxstreet
AUD/USD slips below 0.6420 ahead of US PMI data
The Australian Dollar (AUD) inches lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, erasing earlier gains. The AUD/USD pair is holding within a narrow range, down 0.50% at the time of writing, to trade around 0.6420 in the European trading hours.
AUDUSD
RBA
PMI
Macroeconomics
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Fxstreet
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Flattens around 143.50
The USD/JPY pair recoups its initial losses and flattens around 143.50 during European trading hours on Thursday. The pair rebounds as the US Dollar (USD) attracts bids on Thursday after a three-day losing streak.
USDJPY
DollarIndex
UnitedStates
Japan
SupportResistance
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Fxstreet
AUD slips as soft PMI reinforces RBA dovishness – BBH
AUD/USD remains under pressure as weak May PMI data supports expectations for RBA rate cuts. The pair struggles to hold above its 200-DMA, with markets now pricing in 75bps of easing over the next year, BBH FX analysts report.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
RBA
Banks
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Japan Eco Minister: No change to Japan's stance of demanding elimination of US tariffs
Remarks by the Japanese Economy Minister, Akazawa
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