The British Pound advanced during the North American session, posting soft gains of 0.14% against the Greenback as inflation slowed to its weakest level in three months. This adds to pressure on the Bank of England to reduce interest rates.
Euro (EUR) is up an impressive 0.7% against the US Dollar (USD) and recovering back toward the upper end of its four- session range, strengthening in tandem with its regional peers Swiss Franc (CHF) and Swedish Krona (SEK), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) lost ground yesterday after weaker than expected CPI data lifted market speculation that the BoC could cut interest rates at today’s policy decision (13:45 GMT), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is up 0.3% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and a mid-performer among the G10 currencies as it extends its gains for a seventh consecutive session and pushes toward its prior (September) highs around 1.34, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The USD is trading defensively this morning again, while US Treasurys are weaker (and underperforming) and US equity futures are softer. Global stocks are lower after the US government said it would require Nvidia to obtain a license to export one of its chips to China.
While a Bank of Canada hold is widely expected, it's the looming US-Canada trade tensions and the outcome of Canada's late-April election that may shape the CAD's path.
Much has happened since the US 'Liberation Day' on 2 April. Tariffs have been introduced, only to be partially suspended. Negotiations have begun, though seemingly without much prospect of success. And new tariffs are already being planned. Of course, all this has not left the markets unscathed.
Despite global equity market moves, EUR/JPY is diverging from its usual correlations, driven by a dollar sell-off and repatriation flows from Europe and Japan.
GBP/USD continues to benefit from broader dollar weakness and reserve diversification trends, with FX managers potentially trimming dollar holdings in favor of currencies like sterling. The pair also closely follows EUR/USD moves, as Europe embraces fiscal stimulus.
Dollar Index (DXY) inched modestly higher overnight but continues to trade near recent lows. Trump launched a probe into the need for tariffs on critical minerals, the latest action in an expanding trade war that has targeted key sectors of the global economy.
The Japanese Yen’s (JPY) solid current account and foreign asset position continue to pressure USD/JPY lower, even as the rare decoupling from US Treasury yields unfolds. While this divergence may prove short-lived, markets could settle into a lower USD/JPY as Fed cuts materialize later this year.
The Euro (EUR) is consolidating as markets digest tariff concerns and await the ECB meeting, where a 25bp rate cut is expected. While bullish momentum continues, dovish ECB rhetoric or pushback on recent euro strength could limit further gains.
The GBP/JPY cross attracts some sellers to around 188.80 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) after the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report.
The USD/CAD pair slips slightly after posting gains in the previous session, trading near 1.3940 during Wednesday’s Asian session. Technical analysis on the daily chart indicates a prevailing bearish trend as the pair continues to move lower within a descending channel.
Gold price ended Tuesday’s session on a higher note due to traders buying the precious metals amid uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's tariff plans, which has kept market participants on edge. The XAU/USD trades at $3,240 a troy ounce, gaining over 6.50%.
The Mexican Peso reversed its course and dropped against the US Dollar late in the North American session, with no catalyst behind the latter move as market participants digest Trump’s tariff rhetoric, which of late hinted at making exemptions on semiconductors and electronics.
The NZD/USD pair moved higher on Tuesday, seen trading near the 0.59 area ahead of the Asian session. The Kiwi continues to benefit from sustained buying interest, holding mid-range between the day’s lows and highs, and showing resilience despite broadly neutral oscillators.
The USD/JPY pair saw a slight rise on Tuesday, hovering around the 143 area as it edged higher within its daily range. The modest intraday rebound comes ahead of the Asian session but has yet to challenge the broader bearish signals dominating the chart.
USD/CAD hovered near the 1.4000 zone on Tuesday, consolidating after recovering from earlier lows around the 1.3850 region. The Canadian Dollar failed to gain traction despite a cooler-than-expected inflation report for March, while traders brace for the Bank of Canada’s policy decision.
The US Dollar (USD) gains limited ground on Tuesday as the US Dollar Index (DXY) is climbing back to the 100 region during North American trading hours. The index bounced from its recent three-year low amid oversold conditions, but sentiment remains fragile.
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