We were caught off guard by the main message from ECB President Christine Lagarde yesterday that the easing cycle was nearing its conclusion, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
New Zealand Dollar’s upside attempts were capped at 0.6180 on Thursday, and the pair is extending the reversal on Friday, against a somewhat firmer US Dollar, which brings the 0.6000 support area back into focus.The Greenback is trimming some losses with investors unwinding their USD shorts, after a
Euro (EUR) could potentially retest 1.1495 against US Dollar (USD) or even break above this level; slowing momentum suggests 1.1530 is likely out of reach.
AUD/JPY extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 93.60 during early European hours on Friday. A technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the currency cross remains within an ascending channel pattern, confirming a sustained bullish bias.
The USD/CAD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move for the second straight day on Friday and trades around the 1.3665 region during the early European session. Spot prices remain close to the year-to-date low touched on Thursday and seem vulnerable to sliding further.
The EUR/JPY cross attracts some follow-through buying for the second straight day on Friday and trades near the mid-164.00s heading into the European session. Spot prices remain close to over a three-week high touched on Thursday and remain well supported by a broadly weaker Japanese Yen (JPY).
The USD/CHF pair extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 0.8200 during the Asian hours on Friday. However, the bearish bias is prevailing as the pair moves downwards within the descending channel pattern.
NZD/JPY climbed over 0.75% on Thursday amid a session that witnessed an escalation of the Trump-Musk fight on social media, which ultimately sent Testla (TSLA) stocks plunging over 14% during the day.
The AUD/JPY prolonged its gains on Thursday and edged up over 0.76% amid a risk-on impulse sparked by news that the US and China might reach an agreement as President Trump spoke with China’s President Xi Jinping during the day. At the time of writing the cross-pair trades at 93.30.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil extends its recovery on Thursday, building on early week gains as bulls capitalize on a bullish flag breakout. At the time of writing, WTI is trading around $62.80, up nearly 1.20% on the day, and slightly below the intraday high of $63.30.
EUR/USD holds onto earlier gains of over 0.20% after the European Central Bank (ECB) grabbed the headlines, reducing rates but leaving the door open for a pause at the upcoming July 24 meeting. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1441 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.1404.
Gold price pared its earlier gains after breaking news revealed that the call between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, was positive, with the two primarily discussing trade, according to Trump. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,350, down 0.72%.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is weakening against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday following news of a productive phone call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.
Silver (XAG/USD) surged sharply on Thursday, rallying nearly 4% intraday and reaching their highest level in more than a decade, as precious metals continue to attract investors amid escalating trade tensions and increased US Dollar outflows.
The Indian Rupee (INR) is trading flat against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday during the American session, as USD/INR trims its earlier losses despite weaker US labor market data.
Gold prices are holding firm on Thursday, supported by easing geopolitical tensions, dovish central bank signals and ongoing weakness in US labour market data, factors that continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets.
Japanese Yen (JPY) is soft, down 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming all of the G10 currencies as it fades a portion of Wednesday’s push toward the upper end of its local range, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is up a modest 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD), outperforming most of the G10 currencies as it pushes toward last week’s multi-year high, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is steady, holding near yesterday’s high against the US Dollar (USD). The BoC’s 'dovish hold' outcome yesterday was largely as expected, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
EUR is quietly consolidating in a tight range just above 1.14, entering Thursday’s NA session unchanged from Wednesday’s close, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Markets are trading in relatively subdued fashion, leaving the USD soft overall but little changed on the session and holding near the past week’s low, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
USD/CAD is breaking lower. The downward shift in US rate expectations outweighed the Bank of Canada (BOC) slightly dovish hold, BBH FX analysts report.
Australian Dollar (AUD) could first test 0.6515 against the US Dollar (USD) before the risk of a pullback increases. In the longer run, price action suggests AUD could continue to rise and test the significant resistance level at 0.6540, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
A slight increase in upward momentum suggests an upside bias, but Pound Sterling (GBP) is unlikely to break clearly above 1.3600. In the longer run, GBP must first close above 1.3600 before a sustained advance can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/USD is showing renewed upward momentum after defending key support, breaking out of its recent channel and regaining technical strength. With bullish signals in place, the pair appears poised for further gains in the near term, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
'Slightly pessimistic and uncertain' was the characterisation of the US outlook expressed in the Fed's Beige Book released last night and ahead of the next FOMC meeting on 19 June.
The ECB is widely expected to cut rates by 25bp today. This will take the deposit rate to 2.00%. The market currently prices a further 25bp cut by the 30 October meeting.
The EUR/JPY cross edges higher to around 163.15 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Euro (EUR) amid the expectation that the next interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not come soon.
The NZD/USD pair trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, though it remains below the 0.6050 level through the Asian session on Thursday amid a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick.
USD/MXN inches higher after registering losses in the previous session, trading around 19.20 during the Asian hours on Thursday. A bearish bias is prevailing as the daily chart’s technical analysis indicates the pair consolidating within a descending channel pattern.
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