Crude prices are paring losses on Tuesday as the UK and US markets return from a long weekend on an upbeat market mood. Trump’s decision to delay tariffs on European products has eased concerns about severe damage to global growth and to Oil demand by extension.
NVDA is reporting earnings on 28 May, 2028 AMC (after market close) and many participants are watching. Here is a unique data driven analysis based on the tradeCompass methodology and a key options market pricing hint, from ForexLive.com (evolving to investingLive.com this summer).
The AUD/USD pair continues to lose ground for the second successive day, trading around 0.6450 during the European hours on Tuesday. The bullish bias is prevailing as the technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is remaining within the ascending channel pattern.
USD/JPY traded lower intra-day after BoJ Governor Ueda called for vigilance over food inflation risks. Japan's core inflation hit 3.5% in April, accelerating at its fastest annual pace in more than two years due largely to a 7% surge in food costs.
Conditions remain overbought; instead of rising, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is more likely to trade in a range between 0.5960 and 0.6020 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, for a sustained advance, NZD must break and hold above 0.6030, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Markets were largely quiet overnight with US and UK markets closed for public holiday. DXY was last at 99.29 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to consolidate in a range between 0.6455 and 0.6510 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, rapid buildup in momentum suggests AUD is likely to trade with an upward bias toward 0.6550, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to cut rates by another 25bp to 3.25% tonight (announcement at 04:00am CET). The Bank will also publish the new Monetary Policy Statement, which includes policy rate projections.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is expected to consolidate between 1.3540 and 1.3600. In the longer run, upward momentum remains strong; the next objective is 1.3635, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
"Overnight at an event in Berlin, ECB’s Lagarde made another attempt to raise Euro’s profile. She said that 'The ongoing changes create the opening for a ‘global Euro moment’… This is a prime opportunity for Europe to take greater control of its own destiny.
Upward momentum is slowing, but Euro (EUR) could edge higher within a range of 1.1360/1.1420 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, a decisive break above 1.1435 could push EUR to 1.1475, with potential for further gains, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Euro has come through the US tariff scare with barely a scratch. As discussed above, markets’ tendency to punish the dollar when trade tensions escalate means a rotation to the liquid Euro often prevents the idiosyncratic risks for the Eurozone from being priced in.
Yesterday's bullish trade setup, centered around the 5,866 VWAP, proved successful for limit orders, offering a high-probability long. Today's strategy is unchanged and has already hit the first profit target at 5,883. See additional targets for the bulls, as well as where is the bearish threshold should price activate it.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is retracing its recent losses from the previous session. The DXY is trading around 98.80 during the Asian hours on Tuesday.
The EUR/JPY cross dropped to the 162.00 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday and eroded a major part of the previous day's gains led by the optimism over the EU tariff delay.
NZD/JPY begins the week on a positive note after registering a gain of over 0.42% on Monday amid thin liquidity conditions, as the US and UK financial markets remained closed for a holiday.
Silver price finished Monday’s session with minimal gains as the US Dollar’s (USD) sell-off extended for the beginning of the week, even though financial markets in the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK) remained closed for holidays. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $33.47.
USD/CHF clings to minimal gains of 0.03% on Monday amid the lack of trading activity due to US markets being closed for the Memorial Day holiday. However, on Sunday, US President Trump's comments boosted the Greenback after he postponed tariffs on the European Union.
EUR/USD begins the week on the front foot but trims some of its earlier gains after hitting a four-week high of 1.1420, sponsored by US President Donald Trump's reversal on his decision to enact tariffs on the European Union (EU) on June 1.
Gold price drops more than 0.50% on Monday amid the lack of demand for haven assets after United States (US) President Donald Trump delayed tariffs on the European Union (EU). In the meantime, trading remains thin due to the closure of the United Kingdom (UK) and US financial markets for holidays.
The Silver (XAG/USD) pair starts the week on a steady footing, hovering near $33.40 during the American trading hours on Monday, after gaining nearly 4% in the previous week on the back of a bullish technical breakout and renewed safe-haven demand.
The Euro (EUR) is firming against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) on Monday, bolstered by easing trade tensions after the United States announced a delay in implementing new tariffs on European imports.
The EU’s tariff reprieve followed what the president called a 'very nice call' with Commission President von der Leyen over the weekend, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
President Trump rescinded his threat of 50% tariffs on EU imports over the weekend, delaying the decision until July 9th, the original end date of his last delay on reciprocal tariffs announced early in April, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
In recent weeks, the Pound Sterling (GBP) has recovered significantly against the euro, with the exchange rate now standing at around 0.84 instead of 0.87.
As if to keep us on our toes on an otherwise uneventful Friday, Donald Trump followed up his threat of tariffs on smartphones by announcing that 50% tariffs would be imposed on EU goods from 1 June, due to stalled negotiations with the European Union.
Scope for US Dollar (USD) to weaken further vs Japanese Yen (JPY); any decline is likely part of a lower range of 142.10/143.45. In the longer run, risk is still on the downside, but it remains to be seen if USD can maintain its pace of decline.
On Friday, Donald Trump returned to his favourite topic, tariffs. In response to the announcement of a big US technology company that it plans to move production from China to India, Trump threatened to impose a 25% tariff on its smartphone unless they are manufactured in the US for the US market.
USD/JPY extended its decline as Trump tariff threats ramped up demand for safe haven proxies, including JPY, CHF and Gold. USD/JPY was last at 142.85 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could rise further vs US Dollar (USD), but due to the overbought conditions, any advance is unlikely to reach 0.6030. In the longer run, for a sustained advance, NZD must break and hold above 0.6030, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Pound Sterling (GBP) extended its run higher, to more than 3-year high as activity, inflation and PMI services data surprised to the upside. Pair was last at 1.3565, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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