This afternoon the Mexican statistics office will release the March inflation figures. However, they are unlikely to tell us much new, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
EUR/USD advances to near 1.1100 in Wednesday’s North American session. The major currency pair strengthens as the US Dollar (USD) plummets on the brewing trade war between the United States (US) and China.
The Swiss franc has emerged as a clear winner amidst the recent market turbulence following Donald Trump's tariff announcement, appreciating significantly against major currencies.
The USDCHF pair saw one of the most aggressive selloffs in FX following the tariffs announcement last Wednesday as traders flocked to the Swiss Franc amid the risk-off flows
As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.5% this morning. After the RBNZ had recently cut interest rates in large steps of 50 basis points each, the pace has been slowed down, as expected.
So far, the Chinese currency has not responded to the US tariffs with a major devaluation. But many small devaluations can add up to a big effect. USD/CNY rose as high as 7.35 this morning, the weakest level for the CNY since 2007.
"A major shift in global trading arrangements could harm financial stability by depressing growth," the Bank of England's Financial Policy Committee said in a statement following its two-day meeting.
Gold price (XAU/USD) bounces higher and recovers to $3,045 at the time of writing on Wednesday after United States (US) President Donald Trump’s tariffs came into effect.
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Olli Rehn said on Wednesday that the case for continuing rate cuts at the April meeting is supported by downside risks materializing, per Reuters.
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Bank of France head Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Wednesday that they estimate the trade conflict to reduce Eurozone growth by 0.25 percentage points this year, per Reuters.
Downward momentum is building; New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to decline vs US Dollar (USD), but it is unclear whether it can break the major support at 0.5450.
Citing sources with direct knowledge of the European Central Bank (ECB) thinking, Reuters reported on Wednesday that the “Eurozone growth is expected to take a bigger hit from US President Donald Trump’s tariffs than the ECB earlier estimated.”
Following the meeting between the Bank of Japan (BoJ), Japanese Financial Services Agency (FSA) and Ministry of Finance (MoF) on Wednesday, Atsushi Mimura, Japan’s Vice Finance Minister For International Affairs and top foreign exchange official, said on Wednesday, they are “closely watching market
Just when the dollar seemed to be regaining some confidence, the US decision to go ahead with a tariff hike of 104% on China led to a rotation away from the greenback.
In China, the PBoC set the USD/CNY fixing at 7.2066 this morning. This marks the fifth consecutive adjustment higher, reinforcing the view that a controlled weakening of the yuan (albeit not a devaluation) is part of China’s policy response to tariffs, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes
EUR/USD has rallied back above 1.10, banking on idiosyncratic USD weakness. The Atlantic spreads can have inverse correlations with FX if there are signs that markets are losing confidence in a broader spectrum of USD-denominated assets, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
RBNZ cuts 25bps to 3.50%, in line with February guidance and our expectations. Statement strikes a steady tone: downside risks noted, but no rush to reprice the cycle.
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