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Traders shrink bets on Fed rate cuts following the US PMIs
Traders shrink bets on Fed rate cuts following the US PMIs
How interest rates expectations have changed after the better than expected US data yesterday
market overview
JPY: Yen bulls mull positions – ING
JPY: Yen bulls mull positions – ING
The big difference between this year’s decline in USD/JPY and that seen last July and August is positioning.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
Australia rolls out new tax cuts, to cost A$17.1 billion over 5 years
Australia rolls out new tax cuts, to cost A$17.1 billion over 5 years
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers presents 2025/26 budget and the Treasury's key economic forecasts before the Parliament on Tuesday.
AUDUSD
Currencies
Growth
Copper: Sentiment over tariffs improves – ING
Copper: Sentiment over tariffs improves – ING
Hopes Donald Trump’s next round of tariffs, due to be announced on 2 April , could be more measured supported industrial metals prices at the start of the new week, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Copper
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUD: February inflation coming in tonight – ING
AUD: February inflation coming in tonight – ING
Australia releases CPI data for February tonight, with consensus looking at a third consecutive 2.5% YoY headline print.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
Oil Be There for You – Crude Prices Rise on Fresh Supply Disruptions and Better Data
Oil Be There for You – Crude Prices Rise on Fresh Supply Disruptions and Better Data
Crude oil broke above some key technical resistances as the market could be primed for a bigger pullback to the upside. What’s next?
Secondary tariffs on Venezuelan oil buyers – ING
Secondary tariffs on Venezuelan oil buyers – ING
Oil prices rose yesterday after President Trump announced 25% US tariffs on any country buying Venezuelan oil, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Oil
Energy
Banks
Commodities
Australia brings out new tax cuts in latest federal budget announcement
Australia brings out new tax cuts in latest federal budget announcement
Two new rounds of tax cuts, worth roughly A$17 billion, being introduced
USD: Consumer story to deteriorate further – ING
USD: Consumer story to deteriorate further – ING
Monday’s PMIs surprised on the upside in the US while jumping less than expected in the euro area, helping the euro-heavy DXY index find support into the 104.0-104.50 area.
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Banks
Crude oil price today: WTI price bullish at European opening
Crude oil price today: WTI price bullish at European opening
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price advances on Tuesday, early in the European session.
Oil
WTI
Commodities
Bullish
EUR/USD: Corrective pullback on the day – OCBC
EUR/USD: Corrective pullback on the day – OCBC
Euro (EUR) fell for a 4 th consecutive session as tariff uncertainty bites.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
EUR: Eyes on Ukraine-Russia developments – ING
EUR: Eyes on Ukraine-Russia developments – ING
ING's original working assumption for this week was that the euro could still squeeze some data-linked optimism from the German fiscal bazooka, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
USD/IDR rises above 16,600 toward highs since 1998, BI intervenes in spot markets
USD/IDR rises above 16,600 toward highs since 1998, BI intervenes in spot markets
The USD/IDR pair continues its upward momentum for the third straight session, trading above 16,600 during European hours on Tuesday.
USDIDR
Macroeconomics
Indonesia
Asia
USD/IDR rises above 16,600 toward highs since 1998, BI intervenes in spot markets
USD/IDR rises above 16,600 toward highs since 1998, BI intervenes in spot markets
The USD/IDR pair continues its upward momentum for the third straight session, trading above 16,600 during European hours on Tuesday.
USDIDR
Macroeconomics
Indonesia
Asia
Pound Sterling trades cautiously ahead of UK Spring Statement
Pound Sterling trades cautiously ahead of UK Spring Statement
The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades cautiously against its major peers on Tuesday.
GBPUSD
Fed
BOE
FiscalPolicy
SEO
European indices mostly higher to kick start the session
European indices mostly higher to kick start the session
Slight gains to open up proceedings but it's still early in the day
Stocks
Gold Stumbles as US PMIs Shine Brighter
Gold Stumbles as US PMIs Shine Brighter
Gold could be up for a deeper pullback as growth fears ease. What’s next?
Forex Today: US Dollar holds ground ahead of confidence data
Forex Today: US Dollar holds ground ahead of confidence data
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, March 25: Following a quiet start to the week, the US Dollar (USD) gathered strength in the American session on Monday and the USD Index closed the fourth consecutive day in positive territory.
Majors
Currencies
Macroeconomics
EconomicIndicator
Commodities
AUD/JPY holds losses near 95.00 following hawkish BoJ Meeting Minutes
AUD/JPY holds losses near 95.00 following hawkish BoJ Meeting Minutes
AUD/JPY trades around 94.70 during early European hours on Tuesday, holding modest intraday losses after gaining over 1% in the previous session.
AUDJPY
Crosses
Macroeconomics
Japan
Australia
What are the main events for today?
What are the main events for today?
The US Consumer Confidence is the main highlight
market overview
Eurostoxx futures -0.1% in early European trading
Eurostoxx futures -0.1% in early European trading
A more tentative mood to kick start the session
Stocks
USD/TRY gathers strength to near 38.00 amid political turmoil in Turkey
USD/TRY gathers strength to near 38.00 amid political turmoil in Turkey
The USD/TRY pair gathers strength to around 37.95 during the early European session on Tuesday.
USDTRY
Turkey
Macroeconomics
US-Russia talks said to be not simple but useful
US-Russia talks said to be not simple but useful
This according to Russia's TASS news agency
Politics
EUR/GBP consolidates above mid-0.8300s, remains close to three-week low set on Monday
EUR/GBP consolidates above mid-0.8300s, remains close to three-week low set on Monday
The EUR/GBP cross oscillates in a narrow trading band during the Asian session on Tuesday and remains well within striking distance of a nearly three-week low, around the 0.8345 region touched the previous day.
EURGBP
BOE
PMI
ECB
Currencies
A more tentative mood ahead of European trading today
A more tentative mood ahead of European trading today
US futures are a touch lower after the strong gains yesterday
market overview
USD/CAD climbs above 1.4300, upside potential appears as Trump’s tariff announcement looms
USD/CAD climbs above 1.4300, upside potential appears as Trump’s tariff announcement looms
USD/CAD is trading around 1.4320 during Tuesday’s Asian session, recovering after losses in the previous session.
USDCAD
Majors
Macroeconomics
Canada
USD/CHF weakens below 0.8850 amid geopolitical tensions
USD/CHF weakens below 0.8850 amid geopolitical tensions
The USD/CHF pair weakens to around 0.8830 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by a decline in the US Dollar (USD).
USDCHF
Majors
Macroeconomics
FX option expiries for Mar 25 NY cut
FX option expiries for Mar 25 NY cut
FX option expiries for Mar 25 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
Options
Currencies
GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2900 due to a technical pullback in US Dollar
GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2900 due to a technical pullback in US Dollar
GBP/USD remains stable around 1.2920 during Tuesday’s Asian session after gains in the previous session.
GBPUSD
Majors
Macroeconomics
UnitedKingdom
GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2900 due to a technical pullback in US Dollar
GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2900 due to a technical pullback in US Dollar
GBP/USD remains stable around 1.2920 during Tuesday’s Asian session after gains in the previous session.
GBPUSD
Majors
Macroeconomics
UnitedKingdom
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Retakes 1.0800 mark; seems vulnerable while below 23.6% Fibo.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Retakes 1.0800 mark; seems vulnerable while below 23.6% Fibo.
The EUR/USD pair attracts some buyers during the Asian session on Tuesday and for now, seems to have snapped a four-day losing streak to over a two-week low, around the 1.0770 area touched the previous day.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Majors
Currencies
India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data
India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data
Gold prices rose in India on Tuesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
Gold
Metals
Commodities
India
Gold price struggles to capitalize on modest intraday gains; holds above $3,000
Gold price struggles to capitalize on modest intraday gains; holds above $3,000
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to gain any meaningful traction during the Asian session on Tuesday, though it holds above the $3,000 psychological mark amid mixed fundamental cues.
Gold
Commodities
RiskAppetite
Fed
SEO
Ueda speech: Still need some time to consider what to do with BoJ’s ETF holdings
Ueda speech: Still need some time to consider what to do with BoJ’s ETF holdings
Speaking before the Japanese parliament on Tuesday, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said, the central bank “still need some time to consider what to do with BoJ’s ETF holdings.” Additional quotes Must think about valuation and market rout risks when offloading BoJ’s ETF holdings.
BOJ
CentralBanks
USDJPY
ETF
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests 163.00 barrier after breaking above nine-day EMA
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests 163.00 barrier after breaking above nine-day EMA
EUR/JPY holds little losses near 162.80 during Tuesday's Asian session after two consecutive days of gains.
EURJPY
Crosses
Technical Analysis
USD/INR recovers on hopes for softer Trump tariff stance
USD/INR recovers on hopes for softer Trump tariff stance
The Indian Rupee (INR) softens on Tuesday after closing stronger for the ninth consecutive session in the previous session.
USDINR
India
SEO
EmergingMarkets
Macroeconomics
USD/INR rebounds on hopes for softer Trump tariff stance
USD/INR rebounds on hopes for softer Trump tariff stance
The Indian Rupee (INR) softens on Tuesday after closing stronger for the ninth consecutive session in the previous session.
USDINR
India
SEO
EmergingMarkets
Macroeconomics
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds gains near $33.00 as Middle-East tensions rise
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds gains near $33.00 as Middle-East tensions rise
Silver price (XAG/USD) pauses its four-day losing streak, trading around $33.10 per troy ounce during Asian market hours on Tuesday.
Silver
XAGUSD
Commodities
Macroeconomics
Metals
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds gains near $33.00 as Middle-East tensions rise
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds gains near $33.00 as Middle-East tensions rise
Silver price (XAG/USD) pauses its four-day losing streak, trading around $33.10 per troy ounce during Asian market hours on Tuesday.
Silver
XAGUSD
Commodities
Macroeconomics
Metals