After the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD was seen moving lower toward the 1.1350 area, retreating modestly from earlier highs. Despite this intraday softness, the pair maintains a bullish outlook, largely supported by the positioning of its moving averages.
Weak Chinese manufacturing PMIs kicked off the selling activity in Copper, but CTA selling activity into the liquidity vacuum has exacerbated the downside with algos on track to sell more than -7% of their max size, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
Inflation in the US, as measured by the change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, edged lower to 2.3% on a yearly basis in March from 2.5% in February, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Wednesday. This reading came in above the market expectation of 2.2%
The USD/CAD pair has not moved much and stays around 1.3830 during the North American trading session on Wednesday after the release of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data of both the United States (US) and Canada.
China’s April manufacturing PMIs clearly hit by US-China trade war. Official non-manufacturing PMI and composite PMI also came down. Concrete signs of export shock make stepping up of support likely.
Private sector employment in the US rose 62,000 in April and annual paw was up 4.5% year-over-year, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported on Wednesday.
Inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), edged lower to 2.1% on a yearly basis in April from 2.2% in March, Destatis' flash estimate showed on Wednesday.
Japanese Yen (JPY) is weak, down 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming all the G10 currencies on the back of weaker than expected industrial production and retail sales data, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft, down 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming most G10 currencies in quiet, mixed trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
April has been good for the Canadian Dollar (CAD) (it’s strongest month against the US Dollar (USD) since 2019) but spot continues to range trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Euro (EUR) is down a marginal 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD), trading quietly and consolidating within a narrow band at the lower end of its three-week range, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, trades flat at 99.30 at the time of writing on Wednesday.
The AUD/USD pair trades slightly higher near 0.6400 during European trading hours on Wednesday. The Aussie pair ticks higher as the Australian Dollar (AUD) performs strongly despite soft Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Q1 Trimmed Mean Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
The official purchasing managers' indices for the Chinese economy were published this morning, revealing the first signs of the impact of the prohibitive US tariffs. The PMI for the manufacturing sector fell by 1.5 points to 49.0, its lowest level since late 2023.
While we enjoy the bank holiday tomorrow morning, the Bank of Japan will be holding its May monetary policy meeting. Having raised its key interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5% in January, the Bank of Japan then decided to pause in March.
EUR/USD slides to near 1.1350 during North American trading hours on Wednesday. The major currency pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) extends its initial gains after the release of a string of United States (US) economic data.
In an otherwise relatively quiet week, the USD found some support from the continued positive risk environment, bolstered by de-escalating tariff headlines - even as JOLTS job openings saw a larger-than-expected decline in March (ahead of Liberation Day), Danske Bank's FX analysts report.
To the impartial observer, it should be quite obvious that the US government's trade policy strategy is currently failing spectacularly. Chinese President Xi Jingping is refusing to call to make a 'deal'.
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