Markets remain on edge as trade tensions, erratic headlines, and shifting currency dynamics drive sharp moves across asset classes. While some signs of optimism emerge, risks to the US dollar and commodity-linked currencies persist, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade between 1.0860 and 1.1030. In the longer run, decrease in momentum indicates the chance for EUR to rise has diminished; a breach of 1.0850 would suggest EUR has entered a range-trading phase, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The EUR/USD pair regains positive traction during the Asian session on Tuesday, snapping a two-day losing streak and stalling the recent pullback from its highest level since September touched last week.
The USD/CHF begins Tuesday’s Asian session slightly lower, following a wild trading day on Monday, which saw swings within the 0.8450–0.8673 range, and ended virtually unchanged. At the time of writing, the major trades at 0.8588, down 0.02%.
The AUD/JPY pair extended its soft tone on Monday ahead of the Asian session, easing toward the 88.50 area. Despite a mild daily decline, the pair remains entrenched in a broader downtrend, trading well beneath its key moving averages.
Silver price sellers failed to decisively clear support at $28.75 daily, and buyers stepped in near yearly lows of $28.33, pushing the grey metal’s price back above $29.80 with traders eyeing the $30.00 mark. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $29.89, up 0.89%.
Gold (XAU) price prolongs its agony and plummets by over 2% on Monday as investors seeking safety bid the US Dollar, with US trade policy fueling speculation of a global recession. XAU/USD trades at $2,971, its lowest level since mid-March, below $3,000.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) plunges over 100 pips or 0.90% against the Greenback at the beginning of the week, driven by recession fears and hopes cut short that the White House could reconsider their position in trade policies over the weekend.
The Mexican Peso (MXN) plunges against the US Dollar (USD), extending its losses for the second consecutive day as risk appetite deteriorates, with traders moving into the safe-haven status of the Greenback.
The EUR/USD pair edged lower on Monday, slipping toward the 1.0900 zone after earlier testing the upper boundary of its daily range near 1.1050. Despite the intraday pullback, the pair holds onto a bullish structure supported by higher moving averages.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) plunges over 100 pips or 0.90% against the Greenback at the beginning of the week, driven by recession fears and hopes cut short that the White House could reconsider their position in trade policies over the weekend.
Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating within a relatively tight range around the mid-1.09s and strengthening modestly vs. the USD, outpacing all the G10 currencies apart from the havens JPY and CHF.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is remarkably stable considering the carnage playing out in stocks. Spot has held a tight range close to Friday’s closing level throughout Asian and European trade.
Stocks screens are a sea of red as investors register deepening concerns over the impact of US tariffs on the global economy. Are countries rushing to offer the US concessions on trade? So far, it seems only Vietnam and Cambodia have started talks to lift levies.
Weekend press reports and TV interviews suggest US President Donald Trump is not yet ready to be swayed from his mission to reset the global trading system.
The NZD/USD pair collapsed on Friday, diving toward the 0.5600 area as bearish momentum dominated the session. The pair traded deep in the red, shedding over 3% on the day and remaining mid-range between recent extremes at 0.5551 and 0.5798.
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