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Dow Jones soars toward 40,000 on Fed rate cut bets, China’s optimism
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) registered gains of over 0.62% as investors became optimistic that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could cut interest rates at its June meeting amid growing concerns of a recession in the United States (US).
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US treasury sells 44 billion of seven year notes at a high yield of 4.123%
WI level at time of the auction 4.121%
USD
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US President Trump confirms early meeting with China
On Thursday, United States (US) President Donald Trump confirmed that a meeting with Chinese officials took place earlier that morning. He made the remarks during a press conference alongside Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, where he addressed several key international issues.
China
UnitedStates
Politics
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USD/CAD steady as US Dollar dips on tariff unease and mixed data
The USD/CAD pair was seen hovering around the 1.3900 zone on Thursday, mildly lower on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to maintain momentum amid renewed tariff uncertainty and conflicting US economic signals.
Currencies
Fed
USDCAD
Majors
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EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Bulls hold ground despite mixed signals post-European session
The EURGBP pair moved steadily near the 0.8550 zone on Thursday, holding onto slight intraday gains following the European session.
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European indices close mostly higher
Spain's Ibex lags with a modest decline
Stocks
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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair climbs toward mid-1.1300s, bullish bias holds steady
The EURUSD pair gained ground following Thursday’s European session, moving near the 1.1350 area within a relatively narrow daily range. The upward move builds on recent strength, keeping the pair comfortably within bullish territory for now.
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GBP/USD rebounds past 1.3300 as US-China tensions ratlle US Dollar
The Pound Sterling recovered some ground versus the US Dollar on Thursday as market participants grew pessimistic about de-escalating the US-China trade war. Beijing is pressuring Washington to eliminate tariffs and has denied talks.
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Fed
Majors
Macroeconomics
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ECB: Considering faster response to price shocks
Bloomberg News reported on Thursday that the European Central Bank (ECB) is preparing to revise its monetary-policy framework to allow for more agile responses to price shocks amid mounting global volatility.
ECB
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CentralBanks
Inflation
InterestRate
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Bailey speech: I don't think UK economy is close to recession
In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said that they see the impact of tariff uncertainty coming through to business investment and consumers.
CentralBanks
BOE
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US: Tariff revenues surge, but not enough – Standard Chartered
US tariff revenues reached a record-high USD 12bn on 22 April; MTD, they are up 130% vs 2024 levels. At this pace, the increase in tariff revenue is likely to total a little less than 0.4% of GDP over a full year.
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TradeWar
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Kansas City Fed manufacturing index for April -5 versus 1 last month
Kansas City Fed manufacturing and composite index for April 2025
Fed
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ECB’s Holzmann: Rate cuts must wait for more tariff certainty
CNBC reported that European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Robert Holzmann said that Eurozone interest rates should be held until more clarity emerges on the path of United States (US) tariffs and European Union (EU) countermeasures.
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Fed's Waller: Rate cuts could come from rising unemployment
Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller told Bloomberg on Thursday that tariffs are a part of most economic debates and noted that the general tone suggests that many companies are frozen by the uncertainty.
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CentralBanks
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD corrects as White House softens stance on US-China trade relations
Silver price (XAG/USD) retraces to near $33.30 during North American trading hours on Thursday from an almost three-week high of $33.70 posted earlier in the day. The white metal corrects as investors become hopeful of significant de-escalation in trade war between the United States (US) and China.
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Fed Waller: General tone is many companies are frozen by tariff uncertainty
Speaking on Bloomberg TV
USD
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US existing sales for March 4.02M vs 4.13M estimate
Existing home sales for March 2025
USD
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FoxBusiness Gasparino: Near agreement in principal on trade with India
Here we go again...
USD
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USD slips as stocks dip – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is tracking lower again after two days of gains lifted the DXY some 2% off the three year low reached earlier in the week. The CHF and JPY are sitting near the top of the overnight performance table, just behind the SEK and NOK.
Technical Analysis
Banks
DollarIndex
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CAD lags peers as markets ponder US trade policy – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is trading modestly higher against the US Dollar (USD) in relatively quiet trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
Canada
BOC
USDCAD
Banks
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Apple is struggling to ship manufacturing equipment to India from China
Geopolitical tension. Quality and cost concerns are also an issue.
Stocks
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Fed’s Hammack: The US economy is very resilient
Beth Hammack, president of the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of Cleveland, said that the central bank should exercise patience in its monetary policy amid high uncertainty and added that she would not rule out making adjustments by June if the data warranted action.
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Fed
CentralBanks
InterestRate
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ECB's Lane: No reason to say we’re always going to do default 25 bps moves
European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip Lane told Bloomberg News on Thursday that he doesn't expect the trade fallout to trigger a recession in the Euro area.
ECB
CentralBanks
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Cleveland Fed Hammock: Uncertainty is weighing on businesses. Influences planning
Beth Hammack speaks on CNBC
Fed
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US Durable Goods Orders rise by 9.2% in March vs. 2% expected
Durable Goods Orders in the United States (US) rose by 9.2%, or $26.6 billion, in March to $315.7 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This reading followed a 0.9% increase reported in February and surpassed the market expectation for an increase of 2% by a wide margin.
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US: Initial Jobless Claims rose to 222K last week
US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance increased to 222K for the week ending April 19, as reported by the US Department of Labor (DOL) on Thursday.
Employment
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EconomicIndicator
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DollarIndex
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US March advanced durable goods orders 9.2% versus 2.0% estimate.
March US advance durable goods orders data
USD
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US initial jobless claims 222K vs 222K expected
The weekly US initial and continuing claims data
USD
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ECB's Nagel: Fairly certain inflation effect will be stronger in the US than in Europe
Comments from the ECB policymaker, Joachim Nagel
EUR
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ECB's Lane: Disinflationary forces are there because of the Euro and energy
European Central Bank chief economist speaking
EUR
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JPY outperforming on mild risk off – Scotiabank
Japanese Yen (JPY) is entering Thursday’s NA session with an impressive 0.8% gain, outperforming most of the G10 currencies on the back of mild risk aversion, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
BOJ
Japan
USDJPY
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GBP sees modest gains – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is up 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD) but marginally underperforming most of the G10 currencies within the context of broad-based USD weakness, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD
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USD/JPY falls back to near 142.30 as USD’s relief recovery shrinks
The USD/JPY pair retreats to near 142.30 during European trading hours on Thursday after a relief recovery move seen in the last two trading days. The pair falls back as the US Dollar Index (DXY) retraces after failing to extend its two-day recovery above the key level of 100.00.
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Japan
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