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Forexlive European FX news wrap: Swiss CPI goes negative, Eurozone CPI misses
Forex news from the European morning session on Jun 3, 2025
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CAD edges lower after another rebound from the upper 1.36s – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has edged a little lower on the session, in line with its major currency peers. Spot may continue to range trade ahead of Wednesday’s BoC policy decision, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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USD steadies, undertone remains bearish – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is tracking a little higher overall, consolidating the soft tone seen over the past few sessions as the Dollar Index (DXY) losses hold near recent lows, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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The US tariff spiral keeps turning for Aluminum and Steel – Commerzbank
US President Trump's announcement last Friday that US tariffs on Steel and Aluminum imports would be increased from 25% to 50% — with the higher tariffs being said to take effect tomorrow — initially caused further uncertainty on the base metal markets, with prices in the US rising sharply, Commerzb
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Gold flowing back from the United States to Switzerland – Commerzbank
Another aspect of the Swiss Gold export data is worth mentioning: Gold shipments to the US slumped to 12.7 tons in April, while at the same time 63 tons of Gold were shipped from the US to Switzerland, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
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USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range between 7.1800 and 7.2300 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to consolidate between 7.1920 and 7.2150. In the longer run, for now, USD is likely to trade in a range between 7.1800 and 7.2300, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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Signs of a pick-up in Chinese Gold demand – Commerzbank
Data published last week by the Swiss customs authority on Gold exports and the Hong Kong Statistics Department on Gold trade between Hong Kong and China point to a revival in demand for Gold in the Middle Kingdom.
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XAUUSD
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Finance Magnates
After XRP, Ripple’s RLUSD Joins Dubai’s Approved Crypto Tokens Under DFSA
Ripple's US dollar stablecoin , RLUSD, is now officially recognized under the crypto token regime of the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA).
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Meta to buy nuclear power from Constellation Energy Corp.
Bloomberg with the report
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USD/JPY: 143.85 must be breached for a sustained upside – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could decline further; given the deeply oversold momentum against Japanese Yen (JPY), a clear break below 142.10 appears unlikely. In the longer run, for a sustained decline, USD must first close below 142.10, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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More from BoE's Bailey: Business surveys are probably better guide to UK outlook
More comments from the BoE Governor
GBP
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China: Activity likely resilient in May on tariff rollback – Standard Chartered
Official manufacturing PMI edged up to 49.5 in May on improved new orders and production. Real activity and export growth likely remained resilient on 2Y CAGR basis, indicating stable momentum.
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Gold and Silver up significantly – Commerzbank
The Gold price rose by 2.8% to $3,380 per troy ounce at the start of the week, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
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AUD/USD to test 0.6510 before leveling off – UOB Group
Sharp rise appears excessive, but there is room for Australian Dollar (AUD) to test 0.6510 before leveling off. In the longer run, price action suggests AUD could continue to rise and test the significant resistance level at 0.6540, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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GBP/USD draws closer to 1.3500 following BoE Bailey's comments
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Zelensky's insults directed at Russia's delegation clashed with spirit of negotiations
Comments from Russia on the recent negotiations in Turkey
Politics
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OPEC+ increases Oil production substantially again, but Oil prices rise nonetheless – Commerzbank
The eight OPEC+ countries with voluntary production cuts decided at the weekend to increase Oil production by 411 thousand barrels per day in July. This was the third such production increase in a row.
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GBP/USD: A sustained advance can be expected above 1.3600 – UOB Group
Strong momentum suggests further Pound Sterling (GBP) strength against US Dollar (USD), even though it is unclear if this will be sufficient for a break above 1.3600.
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US calls on Vietnam to cut reliance on China in list of trade demands - report
Reuters reports, citing sources familiar with the matter
Politics
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EU reportedly says did not get US letter demanding "best offer" on trade talks
Reuters reports, citing a source familiar with the situation
Politics
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Is the Fed really to blame for the weak USD? – Commerzbank
The reason for the significant strengthening of the US Dollar (USD) in September, when Donald Trump's second term in office was approaching, was obvious.
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BoE’s Dhingra: Supply chain data points more clearly to disinflation than noisy wage data
Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Swati Dhingra is testifying on the May Monetary Policy Report (MPR) before the UK Parliament's Treasury Select Committee (TSC) on Tuesday.
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BoE's Bailey: Gradual and careful remain my guides for rates
Comments from the BoE Governor
GBP
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Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data.
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Finance Magnates
Coinbase Knew About the Recently Disclosed Data Leak Since January: Report
Coinbase, which revealed last month that it had suffered a customer data leak, was aware of the breach as early as January, according to a report by Reuters .
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Bailey speech: Key factors for May rate decision were domestic, not tariffs
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey is testifying on the May Monetary Policy Report (MPR) before the UK Parliament's Treasury Select Committee (TSC) on Tuesday.
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BoE's Mann: Voted to hold rates unchanged in May as labour market not loosened as expected
Comments from the BoE policymaker
GBP
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BoE’s Mann: Voted to hold rates in May as labor market had not loosened as much I expected in Feb
Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Catherine Mann is testifying on the May Monetary Policy Report (MPR) before the UK Parliament's Treasury Select Committee (TSC) on Tuesday.
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More from Dhingra: Disinflation process has continued
More comments from the BoE policymaker
GBP
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BoE’s Bredeen: Future policy decisions require certainty that inflation is on track
Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden is testifying on the May Monetary Policy Report (MPR) before the UK Parliament's Treasury Select Committee (TSC) on Tuesday.
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Finance Magnates
Why Did Forex Trading Volumes Crash in May 2025?
May was a challenging month for institutional foreign exchange (FX) markets. After a period of relative stability, trading volumes across major platforms, including Cboe, FXSpotStream, TFX, Euronex...
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Gold jumps amid renewed trade concerns – ING
Gold prices jumped Monday as renewed trade concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions supported the metal’s haven appeal, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
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AUD/JPY drops to near 92.00 following cautious remarks by RBA’s Hunter
AUD/JPY depreciated by approximately 0.50%, trading around 92.20 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross loses ground as the Australian Dollar (AUD) falls following the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Meeting Minutes.
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EUR/CHF rebounds from 0.9250/0.9210 support zone – Société Générale
EUR/CHF is showing signs of hesitation after rebounding from key support near last year’s lows. While a short-term floor has formed, the pair's inability to reclaim the 200-DMA suggests limited upside traction and leaves the door open to further downside risk, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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BoJ’s Ueda: Many trade negotiations with US still going on, uncertainty remains high
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda is back on the wires, via Reuters, commenitng on the impact of US tariffs on the economic and inflation outlook.
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Japan
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USDJPY
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GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Potential double top at the 196.40 area
The Pound is trading lower for the fourth consecutive day against a stronger Yen, favoured by the frail market sentiment, and hawkish comments by BoJ Governor Ueda, which keep hopes of further rate hikes alive.The BoJ’s chief warned about trade uncertainty but maintained that the bank will continue
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China: May PMIs reminder of high tariffs – ABN AMRO
Trade war escalation still visible in Caixin’s manufacturing PMI. It's a reminder of much higher US import tariffs despite Geneva-truce. Official composite PMI picks up slightly, ABN AMRO's economist Arjen van Dijkhuizen reports
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BoE’s Dhingra: Would have preferred bank rate to have followed a different path
Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Swati Dhingra is speaking just ahead of her testimony on the May Monetary Policy Report (MPR) before the UK Parliament's Treasury Select Committee (TSC) on Tuesday.
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EUR/USD: Outlook is revised to positive – UOB Group
Euro (EUR) is likely to rise further; overbought conditions suggest 1.1495 is out of reach for now. In the longer run, EUR outlook is revised to positive; the immediate levels to watch are 1.1495 and 1.1530, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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BoE's Dhingra: Would have preferred bank rate to have followed a different path
Comments from the BoE policymaker
GBP
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