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White House: US and Russia agree to ban strikes against energy facilities of Russia and Ukraine
In a statement released on Tuesday, the White House noted that the US and Russia agreed to measures for implementing the agreement to ban strikes against energy facilities of Russia and Ukraine, per Reuters.
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US and Russia have agreed to esure safe navigation in the Black Sea
Second part of the ceasefire falls into place
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IEA: Energy demand rise at an above-average rate in 2024, but oil falls back – Commerzbank
In its Global Energy Review published yesterday, the IEA identified trends for 2024 that are likely to continue this year, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht reports.
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Oil prices benefit from tensions in the Middle East and new US sanctions – Commerzbank
Last week, oil prices recorded their strongest weekly gain since the beginning of January.
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Weaker data sends yields lower and USDJPY below MA support
The USDJPY fell below the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart near 150.00
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USD/JPY tumbles below 150.00 as Yen outperforms across the board
The USD/JPY pair falls significantly to near 149.70 during North American trading hours on Tuesday.
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Record high price level causes considerable slowdown in Indian Gold demand – Commerzbank
The high Gold price also has its negative aspects, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch reports.
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XAUUSD
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Commodity currencies fall as US consumer expectations fall to 12-year low
USD rises on risk aversion
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Gold price rise buoyed by strong investor interest – Commerzbank
The Gold price rise to a record high of $3,057 per troy ounce last week was strongly buoyed by strong buying interest from investors, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch reports.
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Will Dogecoin Reach $1 Soon? Price Jumps 7% as Traders Weigh US Tariff, Fed Policy Shifts
The cryptocurrency market experienced a brief rally today (Tuesday), with Dogecoin (DOGE) jumping 7% as traders reacted to potential changes in US trade policy.
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US CB Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 92.9 in March
US consumer sentiment extended its decline in March, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell from 98.3 to 92.9—its weakest reading since February 2021.
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US new home sales for February 0.676M million versus 0.679 million estimate
New home sales for February 2025
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US March consumer confidence 92.9 vs 94.0 expected
March US consumer confidence data from The Conference Board
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US March Richmond Fed manufacturing composite index -4 vs +6 prior
The Richmond Fed manufacturing survey for March 2025
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NZDUSD holds key 4-Hour 200-bar MA for fourth time – Focus shifts to 100-day MA support
Price finds consistent support at the 4-hour 200-bar moving average while the 100-day MA now acts as a critical near-term line in the sand.
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Goldman Sachs puts a number on what level of tariffs is expected
It will be tough knowing how to react to April 2 without knowing what's expected
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USD/CAD declines below 1.4300 as US Dollar slumps on Trump tariff woes
The USD/CAD pair falls sharply to near 1.4280 in North American trading hours on Tuesday.
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USD/CAD declines below 1.4300 as US Dollar slumps on Trump tariff woes
The USD/CAD pair falls sharply to near 1.4280 in North American trading hours on Tuesday.
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BOC
Inflation
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USDCAD Technical Outlook: Price Reverses at 100-Hour MA, Eyes swing area support at 1.4268
After failing to clear 100 hour resistance at 1.4329, bearish pressure builds toward the low of swing area at 1.4268 and the 100-day moving average at 1.4252..
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Eurozone: PMIs rise on industrial optimism and frontloading – ABN AMRO
The eurozone composite PMI for March moved further into expansionary territory at 50.4 up from 50.2 in February.
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Trump's World Liberty Financial says it will launch Dollar-pegged stablecoin
World Liberty Financial says the USD1 stablecoin will be backed by US Treasuries, Dollar deposits and Cash equivalents
Crypto
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Meta's Chief Revenue Officer John Hegeman Joins Robinhood’s Board of Directors
Robinhood has announced that John Hegeman as Board of Directors, with two decades of experience in digital advertising, product development.
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US January CaseShiller 20-city house price index 4.7% vs +4.8% y/y expected
January US house price data
USD
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GBP tracks broader tone in the USD – Scotiabank
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is trading up a modest 0.2% vs. the USD and is a midperformer vs.
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USDCHF rejected break higher at 0.8848 – Back down testing key support at 0.8810 to 0.8816
After multiple failed breakouts, USDCHF turns lower and tests a critical support zone marked by the 100/200-hour and 200-day moving averages.
USD
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EUR firm on data – Scotiabank
Germany’s IFO business sentiment release was in line with expectations on the headline print (86.7 vs.
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Fed’s Kugler: Goods price rise was “unhelpful”
Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said on Tuesday that the central bank’s interest rate policy remains restrictive and well-positioned.
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CPI
Inflation
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CAD nudges higher but scope for gains is limited – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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USD edges lower as markets await tariff news – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is slightly softer on the session. The USD benefitted from stronger than expected preliminary March US PMI data yesterday which fended off slowing growth concerns, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Philly Fed non-manufacturing index -32.5 vs -13.1
Philly Fed services survey data
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The EUR, JPY and GBP are all trading higher vs the USD to start the US trading day
EUR, JPY, GBP trading higher vs USD. Trump considering two-step tariff strategy. US stocks marginally higher. Economic calendar includes home price data and consumer confidence releases.
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US Pres. Trump considering two-step approach to tariff regime – FT
US President Donald Trump is planning to adopt a two-step approach as his tariff strategy, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday.
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US Pres. Trump considering two-step approach to tariff regime – FT
US President Donald Trump is planning to adopt a two-step approach as his tariff strategy, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday.
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Politics
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US Dollar sees geopolitical and US economic data concerns pick up
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, has broken below 104.00 after headlines from the United States (US) President Donald Trump and his Vice President JD Vance. The index
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Forexlive European FX news wrap: The AUD rallies on unexpected tax cuts
Forex news from the European morning session on Mar 25, 2025
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Trump is considering a two-step tariff regime on April 2 - FT
The Financial Times reports that Trump is considering a two-step tariff regime on April 2 to impose immediate tariffs while conducting formal investigations into trading partners
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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Continues to face pressure near 0.8850
The USD/CHF pair struggles to extend its upside above the key resistance of 0.8850 during European trading hours on Tuesday.
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Battery Fully Charged: Tesla Gains Momentum on Market Optimism and Retail Buying Frenzy
The TSLA stock is up around 20% in just a few days as the market sentiment got a lift from positive tariffs news, better US data and the biggest retail buying streak by dollar amount in more than ten years
Stocks
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AUD/USD: Australia to hold an election by May 17 – BBH
AUD/USD is bullish just above 0.6300, BBH's FX analysts report.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
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USD/JPY: BOJ to hike rates by less than 50bps by December 2025 – BBH
USD/JPY is up near a multi-week high just under 151.00 with the next big resistance offered at the 200-day moving average at 151.75, BBH's FX analysts report.
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Technical Analysis
Banks
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