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USD/MXN breaks key support zone – Société Générale
USD/MXN breaks key support zone – Société Générale
USD/MXN has broken below a key consolidation range, forming a bearish rounding top pattern and signaling further downside risks toward multi-month lows, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
USDMXN
Banks
Technical Analysis
Mexico
GBP/USD holds above 50-DMA – Société Générale
GBP/USD holds above 50-DMA – Société Générale
GBP/USD remains in an uptrend, consolidating near key resistance at 1.3430, with potential for further gains if this level is breached, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
USD/CNH is likely to edge higher – UOB Group
USD/CNH is likely to edge higher – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to edge higher, but any advance is unlikely to reach the major resistance at 7.2330. In the longer run, downward momentum has largely faded; USD is likely to trade in a 7.1850/7.2450 range for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
USD/JPY is consolidating within a tighter range of 144.50/147.30 – UOB Group
USD/JPY is consolidating within a tighter range of 144.50/147.30 – UOB Group
There has been no further increase in downward momentum; instead of weakening, US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade between 144.60 and 145.70.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
The RBA continues to cut – Commerzbank
The RBA continues to cut – Commerzbank
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has decided to continue its cycle of interest rate cuts, lowering its key interest rate by another 25 basis points to 3.85% this morning, Commerzbank's FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes.
Banks
AUDUSD
RBA
Technical Analysis
Australia
NZD/USD: Likely to trade in a 0.5900/0.5950 range – UOB Group
NZD/USD: Likely to trade in a 0.5900/0.5950 range – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a 0.5900/0.5950 range vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, outlook remains mixed, but NZD is likely to trade in a tighter range of 0.5835/0.5985, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
NZDUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
AUD/USD: Unlikely to reach 0.6515 – UOB Group
AUD/USD: Unlikely to reach 0.6515 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) could continue to rise vs US Dollar (USD), but any advance is unlikely to reach 0.6515; there is another resistance level at 0.6475.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
USD: Gently offered – ING
USD: Gently offered – ING
FX markets have started the week in quiet fashion. US President Donald Trump's two-hour call with Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to have yielded few results and left European leaders with the view that they're on their own in support of Ukraine.
Banks
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
The return of the twin deficit? – Commerzbank
The return of the twin deficit? – Commerzbank
You have to look long and hard to find any arguments in favor of the dollar at the moment. And I fear that, in all the turmoil, another structurally negative constellation could ultimately emerge, one that the 'old hands' among us in the market probably still remember: the US twin deficit.
Banks
DollarIndex
UnitedStates
Technical Analysis
Fed
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Seems vulnerable while below 93.00 and 23.6% Fibo. level
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Seems vulnerable while below 93.00 and 23.6% Fibo. level
The AUD/JPY cross comes under renewed selling pressure following the previous day's modest uptick and drops to a nearly two-week low during the first half of the European session on Tuesday.
AUDJPY
RBA
BOJ
Technical Analysis
Currencies
GBP/USD: Any advance is likely part of a higher range of 1.3325/1.3410 – UOB Group
GBP/USD: Any advance is likely part of a higher range of 1.3325/1.3410 – UOB Group
Further Pound Sterling (GBP) strength still seems likely vs US Dollar (USD); any advance is likely part of a higher range of 1.3325/1.3410.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD challenges strong resistance at nine-day EMA around $32.50
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD challenges strong resistance at nine-day EMA around $32.50
Silver price (XAG/USD) seems to extend its losses for the third successive session, trading around $32.30 per troy ounce during the European hours on Tuesday.
Silver
XAGUSD
Technical Analysis
Commodities
Metals
EUR/USD: A clear break above 1.1290 is unlikely – UOB Group
EUR/USD: A clear break above 1.1290 is unlikely – UOB Group
Chance for Euro (EUR) to retest the 1.1290 level against the US Dollar (USD) before a more sustained pullback is likely; a clear break above this level is unlikely.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUD: RBA seen as a little more dovish – ING
AUD: RBA seen as a little more dovish – ING
AUD/USD briefly sold off around 0.3% on the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to cut rates 25bp today to 3.85%, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
RBA
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Hovers around 0.5950, confines within a consolidation rectangle
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Hovers around 0.5950, confines within a consolidation rectangle
The NZD/USD pair halts its two-day winning streak, trading around 0.5930 during the European hours on Tuesday. Daily chart technicals suggest a neutral outlook, with the pair remaining confined within a consolidation rectangle.
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Majors
FX option expiries for 20 May 10am New York cut
FX option expiries for 20 May 10am New York cut
A look at what is on the board for today
market overview
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Tests descending channel’s upper boundary near 1.1250
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Tests descending channel’s upper boundary near 1.1250
EUR/USD remains steady after registering more than 0.50% gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1240 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a bearish bias is in play, as the pair continues to trade lower within a descending channel pattern.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Majors
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Climbs ahead of RBA decision, floats around 93.50
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Climbs ahead of RBA decision, floats around 93.50
The AUD/JPY rallied on Monday, gaining over 0.30% as traders brace for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy decision. Nevertheless, news that the People's Bank of China (PBoC) might reduce rates and improve risk appetite, as the central bank takes measures to propel China’s economy.
AUDJPY
Technical Analysis
Crosses
Currencies
AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Cross holds steady near 1.09 amid mixed momentum
AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Cross holds steady near 1.09 amid mixed momentum
The AUD/NZD pair is trading near the 1.09 zone on Monday, reflecting a cautiously bullish tone as the market approaches the Asian session.
Crosses
Technical Analysis
Currencies
AUDNZD
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD hovers near $32.30 as USD extends losses
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD hovers near $32.30 as USD extends losses
Silver price registers modest gains of 0.20% on Monday as US Treasury bond yields edge lower and the US dollar loses ground, as depicted by the US Dollar Index (DXY). The XAG/USD trades at $32.33 after bouncing off daily lows of $32.24.
XAGUSD
Silver
Technical Analysis
Metals
AUD/USD rebounds as US Dollar weakens on credit downgrade
AUD/USD rebounds as US Dollar weakens on credit downgrade
The AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6450 on Monday, extending its recovery from recent lows as the US Dollar (USD) faces renewed selling pressure following Moody's decision to downgrade the United States' long-term sovereign rating from AAA to AA1.
AUDUSD
Currencies
Majors
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Cross holds gains near 85.90 amid mixed momentum
NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Cross holds gains near 85.90 amid mixed momentum
The NZD/JPY pair is trading near the 85.90 zone on Monday, reflecting minor gains as the market approaches the Asian session. Despite the recent upside, the broader technical picture remains mixed, with conflicting signals across both short-term and long-term indicators, keeping traders cautious.
Crosses
Currencies
NZDJPY
Technical Analysis
EUR/GBP tests resistance ahead of G7 meeting, ECB and BoE guidance
EUR/GBP tests resistance ahead of G7 meeting, ECB and BoE guidance
The Euro (EUR) is strengthening against the British Pound Sterling (GBP) on Monday, as diverging drivers on both sides of the Channel shape market sentiment. 
EURGBP
Fundamental Analysis
ECB
Technical Analysis
BOE
Gold price rebounds above $3,200 as Moody’s downgrade spurs safe haven demand
Gold price rebounds above $3,200 as Moody’s downgrade spurs safe haven demand
Gold price trimmed some of last Friday’s losses, climbing on safe haven demand following Moody’s downgrade of the United States' (US) creditworthiness. The rating agency's action undermined the US Dollar and sent XAU/USD above the $3,200 figure after bouncing off daily lows of $3,202.
Gold
XAUUSD
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
SEO
AUD/USD eyes 0.6500 hurdle as US Dollar weakens, RBA decision looms
AUD/USD eyes 0.6500 hurdle as US Dollar weakens, RBA decision looms
The Australian Dollar (AUD) extends its rebound against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with AUD/USD climbing to 0.6455, trimming recent losses as sentiment turns against the Greenback.
AUDUSD
RBA
InterestRate
Technical Analysis
Australia
EURUSD turns lower after failing at key resistance – eyes support at MAs
EURUSD turns lower after failing at key resistance – eyes support at MAs
EURUSD stalls at resistance and shifts focus to key moving average support cluster
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair holds firm near 1.13 after sharp rise
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair holds firm near 1.13 after sharp rise
The EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.13 zone on Monday, reflecting a strong intraday recovery as the market gains momentum after the European session. Despite the sharp upside move, the broader technical outlook presents a mixed picture, with conflicting signals across different timeframes.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Majors
Currencies
USDCAD slips below key moving averages as bearish momentum builds
USDCAD slips below key moving averages as bearish momentum builds
USDCAD retreats below 100- and 200-hour MAs; eyes support at 1.38917–1.3904 swing area
EUR/CHF Price Analysis: Cross holds near 0.94 amid mixed momentum signals
EUR/CHF Price Analysis: Cross holds near 0.94 amid mixed momentum signals
The EUR/CHF pair is trading near the 0.94 zone on Monday, reflecting minor gains as the market stabilizes within its recent range. Despite the modest upside, the pair remains constrained by a broadly neutral technical outlook, with mixed signals across multiple timeframes.
Crosses
Currencies
Technical Analysis
EURCHF
GBP/USD rallies as Moody’s cut US credit rating, UK-EU "reset" relations
GBP/USD rallies as Moody’s cut US credit rating, UK-EU "reset" relations
The Pound Sterling (GBP) posted solid gains on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) got battered due to Moody’s lowering US debt rating to Aa1, a headwind for the Greenback. At the time of writing, GBP/USD trades at 1.3360, up 0.71%.
GBPUSD
Majors
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
Macroeconomics
AUDUSD stretches to new highs and tests 200 day MA
AUDUSD stretches to new highs and tests 200 day MA
AUDUSD bullish as it tests key 200-day MA resistance level, signaling further upside potential for traders.
USDCHF under pressure as Moody’s downgrade weighs on dollar; key support holds
USDCHF under pressure as Moody’s downgrade weighs on dollar; key support holds
USDCHF slips below key moving averages as bearish momentum builds; support at 0.8318–0.8333 eyed for next move
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD edges higher as Moody’s downgrade forces USD lower
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD edges higher as Moody’s downgrade forces USD lower
Silver (XAG/USD) is trading slightly higher on Monday, holding above the $32.00 level during the US session, as broader weakness in the US Dollar (USD) fuels demand for alternative safe-haven assets.
Silver
XAGUSD
Metals
Technical Analysis
USD/JPY can hold around 145 on a 1-to-3-month view – Rabobank
USD/JPY can hold around 145 on a 1-to-3-month view – Rabobank
At the end of last week, Japanese Finance Minister Kato indicated that he would look to talk about FX with US Treasury Secretary Bessent this week. This has spurred investors to move back into long JPY positions.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
Japan
BOJ
Mexican Peso strengthens amid US Dollar pressure, Fed signals, and higher yields
Mexican Peso strengthens amid US Dollar pressure, Fed signals, and higher yields
The Mexican Peso (MXN) remains firm against the US Dollar (USD) as markets react to renewed uncertainty following Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. The decision to lower the sovereign rating to AA1 from AAA has prompted a reassessment of the US Dollar’s status.
USDMXN
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
SEO
DollarIndex
USD: Moodys follows eventually with downgrade – MUFG
USD: Moodys follows eventually with downgrade – MUFG
The US Dollar (USD) is softer and longer-term yields are higher with the S&P future down 1.0% suggesting the potential for a day of triple selling of US assets that is being driven by the decision of Moodys to downgrade the sovereign rating of the US from the top Aaa rating to Aa1.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fed
USD/CNH: Expected to trade in a sideways range of 7.1990/7.2190 – UOB Group
USD/CNH: Expected to trade in a sideways range of 7.1990/7.2190 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a sideways range of 7.1990/7.2190. In the longer run, a breach of 7.2330 would indicate that the likelihood of USD declining to 7.1700 has faded, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
USD/JPY: Major support at 144.50 is unlikely to come under threat – UOB Group
USD/JPY: Major support at 144.50 is unlikely to come under threat – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could drop below 144.90 against Japanese Yen (JPY); the major support at 144.50 is unlikely to come under threat. In the longer run, USD remains in consolidation, but likely within a tighter range of 144.50/147.30, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USDJPY
Banks
Technical Analysis
NZD/USD: Expected to edge higher and test 0.5920 – UOB Group
NZD/USD: Expected to edge higher and test 0.5920 – UOB Group
There has been a tentative buildup in upward momentum; NZD is expected to edge higher and test 0.5920. In the longer run, outlook remains mixed, but NZD is likely to trade in a tighter range of 0.5835/0.5985, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
NZDUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis