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USD/MXN confirms rounding top – Societe Generale
USD/MXN has broken below key multi-month support, forming a bearish rounding top pattern and signaling potential downside toward 19.10 and 18.70, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
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USD/CAD rebounds toward 1.4000 as crude Oil weakness weighs on Canadian Dollar
USD/CAD stabilized around 1.3980 during Thursday’s European trading hours, recovering earlier losses as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) came under pressure due to declining crude Oil prices.
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Canada
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Eurozone GDP rises 0.3% QoQ in Q1 2025 vs. 0.4% preliminary estimate
The Eurozone economy expanded by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025 (Q1), undermining the preliminary reading of 0.4%, according to the second estimate released by Eurostat on Thursday.
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Eurozone Q1 GDP second estimate +0.3% vs +0.4% q/q prelim
Latest data released by Eurostat - 15 May 2025
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Eurozone March industrial production +2.6% vs +1.8% m/m expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 15 May 2025
EUR
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GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.3220 and 1.3320 – UOB Group
Current price action is non-trending; Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a range between 1.3220 and 1.3320. In the longer run, buildup in momentum has faded; GBP is likely to trade in a 1.3140/1.3405 range, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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EUR/USD breaks below 1.12 as USD rebounds on trade commitment headlines – Danske Bank
EUR/USD slipped below 1.12 as a Bloomberg report helped the USD recover ground, but confidence in the greenback remains fragile ahead of key US data releases, Danske Bank's FX analysts report.
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USD: Evidence and speculation weighs on the USD – ING
The dollar is drifting a little lower against major currencies and remains tarnished by April's events. US Treasuries continue to trade on a soft footing, and whether judged against the risk-free SOFR swap rate or German bunds, they have failed to reverse much of the spread widening seen in April.
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EUR/USD: Likely to trade in a 1.1130/1.1230 range – UOB Group
There has been no increase in either downward or upward momentum; EUR is likely to trade in a 1.1130/1.1230 range vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, EUR is likely to consolidate between 1.1100 and 1.1290 for the time being, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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AUD/JPY slips toward 93.50 due to optimism over potential US-Japan trade agreement
The AUD/JPY pair continues its downward trajectory for the second consecutive day, trading near 93.60 during Thursday’s European session.
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EUR: Staying supported – ING
EUR/USD has found some decent support under 1.11 and we expect that to continue to be the case, ING’s FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
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IEA sees more supply flowing through oil market for the year
This comes amid the outlook that Saudi Arabia will step up production further
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China Commerce Ministry: China always open to resolving economic, trade relations offline
Comments from the Chinese Commerce Ministry on establishing mechanism for trade talks with the US
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WTI drops to near $60.50, crude Oil slides 3% on US-Iran nuclear deal hopes
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price fell by approximately 3% on Thursday, extending the previous session’s losses of over 1%. WTI price is hovering around $60.70 per barrel during European trading hours.
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EU trade commissioner Šefčovič says will meet with Lutnick at OECD meeting
The OECD Ministerial Council Meeting will take place on 3 to 4 June
Politics
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Pound Sterling outperforms US Dollar on soft US PPI, upbeat UK GDP data
The Pound Sterling (GBP) jumps slightly above 1.3300 against the US Dollar in North American trading hours. The GBP/USD pair gains as the US Dollar faces selling pressure after the release of the softer-than-expected United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) report for April.
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EU must respond to US tariffs with unity and determination, says German finance minister
Remarks by German finance minister, Lars Klingbeil
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Germany’s Klingbeil: EU prepared to act if US tariff talks fail
German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil told the parliament on Thursday, "we must respond to the US tariffs with unity and determination.”
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Forex Today: US Dollar under pressure ahead of key US data, Powell speech
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, May 15:
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US Treasury Sec. Bessent: We are going into negotiations with China to prevent escalation again
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Thursday, “we are going into a series of negotiations with China to prevent escalation again.”
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US Bessent: We are going into a series of negotiations with China
Comments from the US Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent
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NZD/USD remains stronger near 0.5900 as US Dollar struggles ahead of key economic data
NZD/USD appreciates after registering a loss of more than 0.50% in the previous session, trading around 0.5910 during the early European hours on Thursday.
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European indices hold more sluggish at the open today
Equities get pushed back after the jump earlier in the week
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EUR/INR today: Indian Rupee cross rates edge higher at the start of the European session
Indian Rupee (INR) crosses trade on the front foot at the beginning of Thursday, according to FXStreet data. The Euro (EUR) to the Indian Rupee changes hands at 96.11, with the EUR/INR pair rising from its previous close at 95.43.
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Trump: India offered the US a deal, one with zero tariffs
Further remarks from Trump, this time touching on trade
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US Presi. Trump: I think we are getting very close to getting a deal with Iran
US President Donald Trump said on Thursday, “I think we are getting very close to getting a deal with Iran.”
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Politics
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Trump: I think we are getting very close to getting a deal with Iran
Just yesterday, he threatened "maximum pressure" on Iran
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Trump: We're getting close to doing a deal with Iran
Comments from Trump weighing on oil prices
Oil
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EUR/GBP holds positive ground above 0.8400 after UK GDP data
The EUR/GBP cross pares recent gains near 0.8430 during the early European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) edges higher after the release of UK growth numbers.
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France April final CPI +0.8% vs +0.8% y/y prelim
Latest data released by INSEE - 15 May 2025
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What are the main events for today?
The highlights include the US PPI, US Jobless Claims and US Retail Sales, and Fed Chair Powell speech
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Palladium price today: Rare metals down at the start of the European session
Platinum Group Metals (PGMs) trade with a negative tone at the beginning of Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Palladium (XPD) changes hands at $950.05 a troy ounce, with the XPD/USD pair easing from its previous close at $955.70.
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Switzerland April producer and import prices +0.1% vs +0.1% m/m prior
Latest data released by the Federal Statistics Office - 15 May 2025
CHF
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Crude Oil price today: WTI price bearish at European opening
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Thursday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $60.97 per barrel, down from Wednesday’s close at $62.45.
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Eurostoxx futures -0.3% in early European trading
A more tepid mood as US futures also slip
Stocks
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UK Preliminary GDP advances 0.7% QoQ in Q1 2025 vs. 0.6% expected
The UK economy grew 0.7% QoQ in the three months to March 2025, following a 0.1% increase in the final quarter of 2024. The data beat the estimated 0.6% rise in the reported period.
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Germany April wholesale price index -0.1% vs -0.2% m/m prior
Latest data released by Destatis - 15 May 2025
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UK March monthly GDP +0.2% vs 0.0% m/m expected
Latest data released by ONS - 15 May 2025
GBP
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UK Q1 preliminary GDP +0.7% vs +0.6% q/q expected
Latest data released by ONS - 15 May 2025
GBP
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Fxstreet
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Remains under selling pressure below 194.00, bullish bias prevails
The GBP/JPY cross remains under some selling pressure around 193.85 during the early European session on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) edges higher against the Pound Sterling (GBP) amid the prospect that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike rates again.
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