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Cocoa prices decline on fading supply fears – ING
The cocoa market continues to sell off, with London cocoa pulling back aggressively. The nearly 11% drop yesterday has cocoa trading at its lowest level since November, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
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Forex Live
EUR/USD knocks on the door of another push above 1.0500
Is this where the dam finally breaks?
EUR
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NZD/USD: Expected to continue to trade between 0.5590 and 0.5640 – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to continue to trade in a range vs US Dollar (USD), most likely between 0.5590 and 0.5640. In the longer run, room for NZD to continue to weaken; it remains to be seen if 0.5565 is within reach, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
NZDUSD
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USD/JPY: Short bias on the day – OCBC
USD/JPY fell below 149-levels this morning amid sharp pullback in UST yields. Pair was last at 148.98, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Technical Analysis
Japan
USDJPY
Banks
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD climbs to $31.80-$31.85 zone; upside potential seems limited
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts buyers for the second straight day on Tuesday and moves further away from a nearly four-week low, around the $30.85-$30.80 region touched last Friday.
Silver
Commodities
Technical Analysis
XAGUSD
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Iron ore falls below $100/t – ING
Iron ore dipped below $100/t yesterday for the first time since mid-January, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Metals
Commodities
Banks
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Fxstreet
SEK: The preferred channel of better European sentiment – ING
The Swedish krona continues to markedly outperform its G10 peers, as SEK appears the preferred way to play market optimism on a Ukraine-Russia peace deal and the boost in EU spending.
USDSEK
Sweden
EURSEK
Banks
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AUD/USD: Expected to trade between 0.6190 and 0.6250 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to trade between 0.6190 and 0.6250 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, AUD must break and remain below 0.6190 before a move to 0.6155 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUDUSD
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US Dollar Index breaks below 106.50 despite risk-off sentiment due to global tariff fears
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around 106.30 during the European hours on Tuesday.
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DXY: Dragged lower by UST yields – OCBC
USD continued to trade lower, owing to the precipitous fall in UST yields and continued moderation in US exceptionalism. DXY was last at 106.27 levels.
Technical Analysis
Banks
DollarIndex
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JPY: One of the few beneficiaries – ING
The shift to defensive FX positioning is helping the Japanese yen, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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GBP/USD: Can test the major resistance at 1.2730 – UOB Group
Pound Sterling (GBP) could test the major resistance at 1.2730 vs US Dollar (USD); a break of this level is not ruled out, but 1.2770 is unlikely to come into view.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD
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USD: Tariffs are dollar positive, an equity correction is not – ING
During President Trump's first term in office, we felt the sequencing of tax cuts (late 2017) and then tariffs (March 2018-August 2019) were key reasons for a strengthening dollar. In other words, the US economy had some fiscal support before tariff wars were waged.
Technical Analysis
Banks
DollarIndex
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Fxstreet
European gas prices strengthen – ING
European natural gas prices strengthened yesterday, with TTF settling just over 2% higher on the day, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Energy
Gas
Banks
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EUR/USD: There is scope for EUR to rally further – UOB Group
Strong momentum indicates there is scope for Euro (EUR) to rally further vs US Dollar (USD); the significant resistance at 1.0530 could be just out of reach.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Remains subdued near 0.5600 support amid prevailing bearish bias
The NZD/USD pair loses ground following the previous session’s gains, trading around 0.5610 during European trading hours on Tuesday.
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Majors
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OPEC+ set to increase supply – ING
Oil prices are under pressure with ICE Brent settling more than 1.6% lower yesterday. This follows news that OPEC+ is sticking with plans to gradually increase supply from April by 138k b/d in the month, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Technical Analysis
Oil
OPEC
Energy
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European equities sink at the open today as the risk mood stays heavy
As Trump goes on his tariffs rampage, the EU is likely in the crosshairs next
Stocks
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Fxstreet
EUR/USD: 2-way trades likely unless 100-DMA breaks – OCBC
Euro (EUR) continued to drift higher vs US Dollar (USD) as European leaders were seen coming together to offer Ukraine support, fuelling expectations for a higher defence spending. Pair was last at 1.0495 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
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EUR: European defence spending narrative looks overblown – ING
EUR/USD had a decent rally yesterday as investors focused on the explosive rally in European defence stocks. That Europe needs to spend a lot more on defence now is not in doubt. The question is what does it mean for FX?
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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Crude oil price today: WTI price bearish at European opening
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Tuesday, early in the European session.
Oil
WTI
Commodities
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EUR/USD surges as US Bessent favors lower interest rates
EUR/USD refreshes a 12-week high slightly above 1.0550 in Tuesday’s North American session.
EURUSD
ECB
Fed
TradeWar
SEO
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AUD/JPY trades near 93.00, downside risks appear amid tariff concerns
AUD/JPY continues its decline, hovering around 92.80 during early European trading on Tuesday.
AUDJPY
Crosses
Macroeconomics
Japan
Australia
News Discussion Forum
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Fxstreet
Forex Today: Markets remain on edge as Trump tariffs take effect
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, March 4: Following Monday's volatile action, investors cling to a cautious stance early Tuesday, while assessing the latest developments surrounding the US tariff policy and retaliatory measures against it.
Majors
Currencies
EconomicIndicator
Macroeconomics
Commodities
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Forex Live
What are the main events for today?
Eyes on tariffs headlines and Trump's Congressional speech
market overview
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Forex Live
Eurostoxx futures -0.7% in early European trading
Giving back some of the gains from yesterday
Stocks
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Fxstreet
EUR/GBP holds positive ground above 0.8250 on Ukraine peace plan
The EUR/GBP cross trades in positive territory for the second consecutive days around 0.8255 during the early European session on Tuesday.
EURGBP
Crosses
Macroeconomics
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Fxstreet
China announces extra tariffs of up to 15% on imports of major US farm exports
China’s Commerce Ministry announced on Tuesday that it will slap additional tariffs of upto 15% on imports of key farm products, including chicken, pork, soy and beef from the United States (US).
China
UnitedStates
TradeWar
AUDUSD
News Discussion Forum
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Fxstreet
FX option expiries for Mar 4 NY cut
FX option expiries for Mar 4 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
Options
Currencies
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Fxstreet
WTI attracts some sellers below $68.00 as OPEC+ plans to increase production
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $67.70 during the early European session on Tuesday.
WTI
Commodities
Oil
Macroeconomics
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Markets take the tariffs implementation in stride so far
To be fair, the damage was already done yesterday
market overview
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Fxstreet
USD/CHF remains under pressure near 0.8950 as Swiss Franc strengthens on safe-haven demand
USD/CHF remains under pressure for the second consecutive day, hovering around 0.8960 during Tuesday’s Asian session.
USDCHF
Macroeconomics
Majors
TradeWar
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Fxstreet
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Seems poised to surpass 61.8% Fibo. hurdle near mid-1.4500s
The USD/CAD pair holds steady around the 1.4500 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday and remains close to a one-month top touched the previous day.
USDCAD
Fed
TradeWar
Technical Analysis
Currencies
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Forex Live
China responds with counter-tariffs to Trump's latest tariffs bump
As you would expected
Politics
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Fxstreet
EUR/JPY tumbles below 156.50 amid safe-haven demand
The EUR/JPY cross falls to near 156.25 during the Europeam session on Tuesday.
EURJPY
Crosses
Macroeconomics
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Forex Live
Trump tariffs bump on China takes effect, also tariffs on Canada and Mexico
As per the press statement from the White House
Politics
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Forex Live
Trump's tariffs bump against China set to go into effect, are countermeasures imminent?
Keep an eye out for headlines in the next hour or so
Politics
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Fxstreet
China’s NPC: Willing to solve concerns with the US through consultation and dialogue
A spokesperson of China’s National People's Congress (NPC) commented on the additional 10% tariffs imposed by the United States (US) on Chinese imports on Tuesday.
China
UnitedStates
TradeWar
AUDUSD
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China says willing to resolve US concerns on tariffs through dialogue
Remarks by the spokesperson of China's National People's Congress
CNY
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Forex Live
Bitcoin falls back to test key level as the "strategic reserve" pump gets dumped
It's open season for fraud
Crypto
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
BTC
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