US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance ticked lower to 219K for the week ending March 29, as reported by the US Department of Labor (DOL) on Thursday. This print missed initial estimates and was lower than the previous week's revised tally of 225K (revised from 224K).
Crude oil prices decline sharply on Thursday, pressured by growing concerns over the demand outlook following US President Donald Trump's tariff announcements and OPEC+ decision to increase oil output.
In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said that he expects most countries to start to really examine their trade policies after US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariff announcements, per Reuters.
The USD/CAD pair faces a sharp sell-off and slides to near 1.4100 during European trading hours on Thursday. The Loonie pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) nosedives after the release of the reciprocal tariff plan by United States (US) President Donald Trump on Wednesday.
The accounts of the European Central Bank's (ECB) March policy meeting showed on Thursday that likely shocks are on the horizon, including from escalating trade tensions, and uncertainty more generally, per Reuters.
US Dollar (USD) could continue to weaken vs Japanese Yen (JPY); oversold conditions suggest any decline is unlikely to reach 146.50 today. In the longer run, increase in momentum indicates further USD weakness; the level to watch is 146.50, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EUR/USD seesawed on yesterday's tariff announcement, initially rallying above 1.09 on the relatively benign 10% flat tariff applied to all US trading partners, declining on the more aggressive reciprocal tariff measures, and then moving back above 1.09 again, Danske Bank's FX analyst Stefan Mellin r
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is getting knocked out and is against the canvas.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to trade in a 0.5670/0.5770 range vs US Dollar (USD). NZD rebounded two days ago and closed at 0.5701. In the longer run, current price movements are likely part of a 0.5640/0.5800 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Varied reaction in FX markets with open trade, growth-sensitive FX such as CNH, KRW, SGD, MYR and THB under some pressure post-tariff announcement. DXY was last seen at 102 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Oil prices are under pressure this morning, following other risk assets lower, after the Trump administration unveiled a base tariff of 10% on all imports from all trading partners.
AUD could continue to trade in a choppy manner, likely between 0.6220 and 0.6320. In the longer run, sharp but short-lived swings have resulted in a mixed outlook; AUD could trade in a 0.6185/0.6340 range for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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