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US March S&P Global final services PMI 54.4 vs 54.3 prelim
US March S&P Global final services PMI 54.4 vs 54.3 prelim
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
US March S&P Global final services PMI 54.4 vs 54.3 prelim
The final services and composite PMI from S&P Global
USD
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The tariffs are so crazy that people don't believe they will last
The tariffs are so crazy that people don't believe they will last
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
The tariffs are so crazy that people don't believe they will last
As bad as the market is, it could be worse
Stocks
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The reciprocal tariff rate calculations show this is an unserious administration
The reciprocal tariff rate calculations show this is an unserious administration
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
The reciprocal tariff rate calculations show this is an unserious administration
They're making it up as they go along
Politics
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Morgan Stanley no longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates this year
Morgan Stanley no longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates this year
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Morgan Stanley no longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates this year
They had previously expected one cut this year
Fed
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Fitch downgrades China to 'A', outlook stable
Fitch downgrades China to 'A', outlook stable
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Fitch downgrades China to 'A', outlook stable
Fitch downgrades China
CNY
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Trump: The operation is over, the patient lived
Trump: The operation is over, the patient lived
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Trump: The operation is over, the patient lived
Trump posts on Truth Social
Politics
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US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 219K last week
US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 219K last week
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 219K last week
US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance ticked lower to 219K for the week ending March 29, as reported by the US Department of Labor (DOL) on Thursday. This print missed initial estimates and was lower than the previous week's revised tally of 225K (revised from 224K).
Employment
EconomicIndicator
UnitedStates
DollarIndex
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US trade balance -$122.7 billion vs -$123.5 billion expected
US trade balance -$122.7 billion vs -$123.5 billion expected
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
US trade balance -$122.7 billion vs -$123.5 billion expected
US trade balance slightly better than anticipated
USD
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US initial jobless claims 219K vs 225K estimate
US initial jobless claims 219K vs 225K estimate
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
US initial jobless claims 219K vs 225K estimate
Weekly claims data in the US
USD
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Canada February trade balance -1.52 billion vs +3.55 billion expected
Canada February trade balance -1.52 billion vs +3.55 billion expected
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Canada February trade balance -1.52 billion vs +3.55 billion expected
Canadian trade balance
CAD
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WTI drops below $67 on demand concerns, OPEC+ output hike
WTI drops below $67 on demand concerns, OPEC+ output hike
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
WTI drops below $67 on demand concerns, OPEC+ output hike
Crude oil prices decline sharply on Thursday, pressured by growing concerns over the demand outlook following US President Donald Trump's tariff announcements and OPEC+ decision to increase oil output.
Oil
OPEC
Commodities
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Lutnick: I don't think there will be exemptions
Lutnick: I don't think there will be exemptions
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Lutnick: I don't think there will be exemptions
Comments from the Commerce Secretary on CNBC
Politics
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US Commerce Sec. Lutnick: Most countries to examine trade policies after Trump's reciprocal tariffs
US Commerce Sec. Lutnick: Most countries to examine trade policies after Trump's reciprocal tariffs
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
US Commerce Sec. Lutnick: Most countries to examine trade policies after Trump's reciprocal tariffs
In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said that he expects most countries to start to really examine their trade policies after US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariff announcements, per Reuters.
TradeWar
UnitedStates
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar, stocks slammed as Trump tariffs rattle markets
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar, stocks slammed as Trump tariffs rattle markets
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar, stocks slammed as Trump tariffs rattle markets
Forex news from the European morning session on Apr 3, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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USD/CAD tumbles to near 1.4100 as US Dollar nosedives on US recession risks
USD/CAD tumbles to near 1.4100 as US Dollar nosedives on US recession risks
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
USD/CAD tumbles to near 1.4100 as US Dollar nosedives on US recession risks
The USD/CAD pair faces a sharp sell-off and slides to near 1.4100 during European trading hours on Thursday. The Loonie pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) nosedives after the release of the reciprocal tariff plan by United States (US) President Donald Trump on Wednesday.
Canada
TradeWar
USDCAD
UnitedStates
Inflation
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ECB Accounts: Uncertainty calls for caution in policy-setting and in communication
ECB Accounts: Uncertainty calls for caution in policy-setting and in communication
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
ECB Accounts: Uncertainty calls for caution in policy-setting and in communication
The accounts of the European Central Bank's (ECB) March policy meeting showed on Thursday that likely shocks are on the horizon, including from escalating trade tensions, and uncertainty more generally, per Reuters.
ECB
CentralBanks
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USD/JPY can continue to weaken – UOB Group
USD/JPY can continue to weaken – UOB Group
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
USD/JPY can continue to weaken – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could continue to weaken vs Japanese Yen (JPY); oversold conditions suggest any decline is unlikely to reach 146.50 today. In the longer run, increase in momentum indicates further USD weakness; the level to watch is 146.50, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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EUR/USD adds to initial gains and breaches 1.09 – Danske Bank
EUR/USD adds to initial gains and breaches 1.09 – Danske Bank
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
EUR/USD adds to initial gains and breaches 1.09 – Danske Bank
EUR/USD seesawed on yesterday's tariff announcement, initially rallying above 1.09 on the relatively benign 10% flat tariff applied to all US trading partners, declining on the more aggressive reciprocal tariff measures, and then moving back above 1.09 again, Danske Bank's FX analyst Stefan Mellin r
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
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US Dollar unable to recover as losses already amount to an excessive 2.10% in the DXY
US Dollar unable to recover as losses already amount to an excessive 2.10% in the DXY
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
US Dollar unable to recover as losses already amount to an excessive 2.10% in the DXY
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is getting knocked out and is against the canvas.
TradeWar
UnitedStates
SEO
Macroeconomics
DollarIndex
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US March Challenger layoffs 275.24k vs 172.02k prior
US March Challenger layoffs 275.24k vs 172.02k prior
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
US March Challenger layoffs 275.24k vs 172.02k prior
Latest data released by Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. - 3 April 2025
USD
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USD/JPY: Low achieved last month at 146.50/145.80 is first support – Societe Generale
USD/JPY: Low achieved last month at 146.50/145.80 is first support – Societe Generale
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
USD/JPY: Low achieved last month at 146.50/145.80 is first support – Societe Generale
USD/JPY rebound petered out at the 200-DMA near 151.30/151.60 last month, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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Putin says ready to keep fighting if he doesn't like Ukraine deal
Putin says ready to keep fighting if he doesn't like Ukraine deal
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Putin says ready to keep fighting if he doesn't like Ukraine deal
The Russian president says he will have to see if Trump can deliver on Ukraine concessions
Politics
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OPEC+ agrees to stick to further production hike in May
OPEC+ agrees to stick to further production hike in May
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
OPEC+ agrees to stick to further production hike in May
But they will be pushing out more production next month than previously planned
Oil
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S&P 500 is starting to roll over ahead of the US session open
S&P 500 is starting to roll over ahead of the US session open
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
S&P 500 is starting to roll over ahead of the US session open
The S&P 500 sold off yesterday following the tariffs announcement but stalled around the March lows. Will we continue lower or do we get a bounce?
S&P Futures
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If US tariffs remain, it could push US economy to the precipice of a recession - BofA
If US tariffs remain, it could push US economy to the precipice of a recession - BofA
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
If US tariffs remain, it could push US economy to the precipice of a recession - BofA
The narrative of a US recession continues to build
USD
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AUD/USD jumps to near 0.6350 as US Dollar plummets after Trump’s tariff plan
AUD/USD jumps to near 0.6350 as US Dollar plummets after Trump’s tariff plan
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
AUD/USD jumps to near 0.6350 as US Dollar plummets after Trump’s tariff plan
The AUD/USD pair moves higher and advances toward the two-week high of 0.6350 in Thursday’s European session.
Recession
China
Fed
UnitedStates
AUDUSD
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USD/JPY: Safe-haven flows push the pair downwards – OCBC
USD/JPY: Safe-haven flows push the pair downwards – OCBC
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
USD/JPY: Safe-haven flows push the pair downwards – OCBC
USD/JPY fell as demand for safe-haven overwhelms even as Japan is slapped with 24% reciprocal tariff rate.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
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NZD/USD: Current price movements are likely part of a range – UOB Group
NZD/USD: Current price movements are likely part of a range – UOB Group
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
NZD/USD: Current price movements are likely part of a range – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to trade in a 0.5670/0.5770 range vs US Dollar (USD). NZD rebounded two days ago and closed at 0.5701. In the longer run, current price movements are likely part of a 0.5640/0.5800 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
NZDUSD
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EU trade commissioner says will talk to US counterparts tomorrow
EU trade commissioner says will talk to US counterparts tomorrow
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
EU trade commissioner says will talk to US counterparts tomorrow
Remarks by EU trade commissioner, Maroš Šefčovič
EUR
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EU to vote on countermeasures to US steel, aluminum tariffs on 9 April
EU to vote on countermeasures to US steel, aluminum tariffs on 9 April
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
EU to vote on countermeasures to US steel, aluminum tariffs on 9 April
This is in response to the tariffs from last month
Politics
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DXY: ISM services, payrolls next – OCBC
DXY: ISM services, payrolls next – OCBC
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
DXY: ISM services, payrolls next – OCBC
Varied reaction in FX markets with open trade, growth-sensitive FX such as CNH, KRW, SGD, MYR and THB under some pressure post-tariff announcement. DXY was last seen at 102 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
DollarIndex
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The dollar hemorrhage continues in European trading
The dollar hemorrhage continues in European trading
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
The dollar hemorrhage continues in European trading
No stopping the bleeding for the time being
USD
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Oil: Tariffs weigh on oil – ING
Oil: Tariffs weigh on oil – ING
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
Oil: Tariffs weigh on oil – ING
Oil prices are under pressure this morning, following other risk assets lower, after the Trump administration unveiled a base tariff of 10% on all imports from all trading partners.
Oil
Energy
Commodities
Banks
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AUD/USD: Set to continue trading in a choppy manner – UOB Group
AUD/USD: Set to continue trading in a choppy manner – UOB Group
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
AUD/USD: Set to continue trading in a choppy manner – UOB Group
AUD could continue to trade in a choppy manner, likely between 0.6220 and 0.6320. In the longer run, sharp but short-lived swings have resulted in a mixed outlook; AUD could trade in a 0.6185/0.6340 range for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUDUSD
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EUR/USD rallies as US Dollar bleeds after Liberation Day
EUR/USD rallies as US Dollar bleeds after Liberation Day
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
EUR/USD rallies as US Dollar bleeds after Liberation Day
EUR/USD climbs to its highest level since October around 1.1145 in Thursday’s North American session and gains an almost 2.5% on the day.
ECB
EURUSD
TradeWar
SEO
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USDCHF breaks out of the range and collapses amid risk-off flows
USDCHF breaks out of the range and collapses amid risk-off flows
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
USDCHF breaks out of the range and collapses amid risk-off flows
The USDCHF pair is experiencing a strong selloff amid the technical breakout and risk-off flows triggered by Trump's tariffs announcement
CHF
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Deutsche Bank warns of a dollar confidence crisis
Deutsche Bank warns of a dollar confidence crisis
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Deutsche Bank warns of a dollar confidence crisis
They have been keeping at this for a while now in the past few weeks
USD
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Gold: Tariff relief for the metal industry – ING
Gold: Tariff relief for the metal industry – ING
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
Gold: Tariff relief for the metal industry – ING
Gold hit a record high following the announcement of reciprocal tariffs, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Technical Analysis
XAUUSD
Gold
Banks
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Asian trading nations are being hit hard – ING
Asian trading nations are being hit hard – ING
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
Asian trading nations are being hit hard – ING
A pair like CNH/JPY best characterises the mood in FX markets, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
China
Asia
Japan
USDCNH
Banks
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Barclays warns of strong possibility of a US recession this year
Barclays warns of strong possibility of a US recession this year
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Barclays warns of strong possibility of a US recession this year
The firm sees a "high risk" of a recession in the US economy
USD
Barclays
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