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USD trades broadly lower – Scotiabank
After Tariffs Tuesday, we’ve arrived at Walkback Wednesday, it would seem.
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China: Domestic demand prioritised to offset tariffs – Standard Chartered
NPC set targets for growth at 5%, inflation 2%, official budget deficit 4% of GDP, largely as we expected.
China
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Venezuelan oil supply at risk – ING
The oil market came under pressure again yesterday, with ICE Brent settling a little more than 0.8% lower.
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USD/CNH: China's 2025 fiscal deficit target is highest in over three decades – BBH
USD/CNH is consolidating near recent lows around 7.2600. China boosts fiscal spending.
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USD/CNH: Decline is likely part of a lower range of 7.2400/7.2800 – UOB Group
Further US Dollar (USD) weakness vs Chinese Yuan (CNH) is not ruled out, but any decline is likely part of a lower range of 7.2400/7.2800.
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NZD/USD: Orr resigns from his position in the RBNZ – BBH
RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr unexpectedly resigned, BBH's FX analysts report.
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RBNZ
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USD/JPY: To trade between 148.80 and 150.70 – UOB Group
Outlook is unclear; US Dollar (USD) could trade between 148.80 and 150.70 vs Japanese Yen (JPY).
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NZD/USD: A slim chance of NZD reaching 0.5565 – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to trade in a higher range of 0.5625/0.5670 vs US Dollar (USD).
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USD: The prospect of the US withdrawing its security umbrella from Europe is a crisis – ING
The trade-weighted Dollar Index (DXY) broke decisively under 106 yesterday as European currencies rallied on the prospects of major fiscal stimulus.
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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Tests resistance at 149.50 near nine-day EMA
USD/JPY gains ground after registering losses in the previous two successive days, trading around 149.40 during the European session on Wednesday.
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AUD/USD: Any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.6230/0.6285 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) could strengthen further vs US Dollar (USD); any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.6230/0.6285.
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European natural gas market sells off – ING
The European natural gas market sold off yesterday with TTF settling nearly 3.9% lower on the day, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
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GBP/USD: The next major resistance at 1.2900 is likely out of reach – UOB Group
Rapid rise could continue; the next major resistance at 1.2900 is likely out of reach.
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GBP: BoE hawks, doves and centrists speak today – ING
At 3:30pm CET today, Bank of England MPC members Andrew Bailey, Huw Pill, Megan Greene and Alan Taylor tesify to the Treasury Select Comittee on February's 25bp rate cut, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
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EUR/USD: Strong upward momentum shows no signs of slowing – UOB Group
Strong upward momentum shows no signs of slowing, but it is unclear if Euro (EUR) can break above 1.0665 today vs US Dollar (USD).
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EUR: A fiscal coalition of the willing – ING
As above, EUR/USD broke decisivley higher on prospects of a fiscal bazooka out of Europe.
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Oleh
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FX option expiries for 5 March 10am New York cut
A look at what is on the board for today
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Oleh
Fxstreet
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Rises above 93.50, next barrier appears at nine-day EMA
AUD/JPY extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 93.60 during Asian hours on Wednesday.
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Oleh
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OKTA stock surges almost 25% after earnings (double its expected move)
Discover the impressive post-earnings surge of OKTA stock, breaking key resistance levels and reaching for new price targets. Learn about potential pullback areas, big-picture targets, RSI considerations, and other thoughts on this chart of the day.
Stocks
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Oleh
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NZD/JPY Price Forecast: Bounces off 7-month low, but downtrend remains
The NZD/JPY recovered some ground on Tuesday after dropping to a seven-month low of 83.15.
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Currencies
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USD/JPY Price Forecast: Rebounds but struggles at 150.00 amid bearish pressure
The USD/JPY advances some 0.17% late during the North American session, yet it remains shy of the 150.00 figure after slumping to a new year-to-date (YTD) low of 148.09.
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Currencies
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Oleh
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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Sellers hit a wall after fresh multi-month lows
AUD/JPY experienced a sharp drop on Tuesday, reaching its lowest level since August 2024 before bouncing back.
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Mexican Peso recovers and rallies unfazed by Trump tariffs
The Mexican Peso (MXN) plunged sharply against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as the 25% tariffs imposed on Mexico by the President of the United States (US), Donald Trump, commenced.
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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls extend gains above key resistance levels
EUR/USD extended its advance on Tuesday, holding steady above a key resistance area after gaining traction earlier in the session.
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Oleh
Fxstreet
GBP/USD holds gains amid soft US Dollar on tariff fallout
The Pound Sterling clings to early gains, extending its advance to two days versus the US Dollar as tariffs enacted by US President Donald Trump against Mexico, Canada, and China come into effect.
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USD/JPY to trade at 145 in the end of the year – Rabobank
US President Trump is clearly far too busy to be an avid BoJ watcher.
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GBP tracks broader move against the USD among majors – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is moderately firmer but, in the absence of any major news at home, the pound’s performance reflects broader USD weakness more than anything, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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EUR extends rally through YTD highs – Scotiabank
The EUR is benefitting from the softer overall USD tone and market focus on the likelihood of increased European government (defence) spending to extend its recovery back through low 1.05 area where EUR gains have been capped so far this year, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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CAD gains modestly after dip on yesterday’s tariff headline – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is one of the better-performing currencies on the day so far, reversing the slide that occurred following yesterday’s tariff headlines to trade back to the low 1.44 area where it spent most of Monday, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
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USD slides amid trade wars – Scotiabank
It’s deadline day for President Trump’s border tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. Despite comments from Commerce Sec.
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AUDUSD Technical Analysis – The AUD stays under pressure amid growth concerns
The AUDUSD pair dropped all the way back to the year’s lows amid risk-off flows and tariffs risk What’s next?
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USDCAD Technical Analysis – The Loonie remains under pressure amid tariffs risk
The USDCAD pair eventually extended the rally into the 1.45 handle amid the tariffs risk. What’s next?
CAD
USD
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Oleh
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USD/CNH: Potential for USD to rise to 7.3250 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to edge higher vs Chinese Yuan (CNH); mild momentum suggests any advance is likely limited to a test of 7.3150. Strong advance indicates there is potential for USD to rise to 7.3250, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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USDCNY
USDCNH
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USD/JPY can trade in a range between 148.50 and 150.50 – UOB Group
Outlook is unclear; US Dollar (USD) could trade in a range between 148.50 and 150.50 vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, bias for USD is slightly tilted to the downside; unclear for now whether it can break and stay below 148.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
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NZD/USD: Expected to continue to trade between 0.5590 and 0.5640 – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to continue to trade in a range vs US Dollar (USD), most likely between 0.5590 and 0.5640. In the longer run, room for NZD to continue to weaken; it remains to be seen if 0.5565 is within reach, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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USD/JPY: Short bias on the day – OCBC
USD/JPY fell below 149-levels this morning amid sharp pullback in UST yields. Pair was last at 148.98, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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Japan
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USDCHF Technical Analysis – The CHF remains supported amid risk-off flows
The USDCHF pair falls once again below the key 0.8960 support zone. What’s next?
CHF
USD
News Discussion Forum
Oleh
Fxstreet
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD climbs to $31.80-$31.85 zone; upside potential seems limited
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts buyers for the second straight day on Tuesday and moves further away from a nearly four-week low, around the $30.85-$30.80 region touched last Friday.
Silver
Commodities
Technical Analysis
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AUD/USD: Expected to trade between 0.6190 and 0.6250 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to trade between 0.6190 and 0.6250 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, AUD must break and remain below 0.6190 before a move to 0.6155 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUDUSD
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DXY: Dragged lower by UST yields – OCBC
USD continued to trade lower, owing to the precipitous fall in UST yields and continued moderation in US exceptionalism. DXY was last at 106.27 levels.
Technical Analysis
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