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IMF cuts global growth forecast for 2025 to 2.8% from 3.3%
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced in its updated World Economic Outlook report on Tuesday that it cut the global growth projections to 2.8% in 2025 and to 3% in 2026 from 3.3% for both years in the previous forecast, citing century-high US tariffs.
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JPY outperforming G10 currencies – Scotiabank
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is up 0.4% against the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming most of the G10 currencies, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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IMF cuts 2025 global growth forecast to 2.8% from 3.3%
IMF cuts 2025 and 2026 GDP forecasts
USD
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USD/CAD dips below 1.38 remain well-supported – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the session so far, reflecting a somewhat mixed trend in the USD overall, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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USD steadies, undertone remains weak – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is consolidating. The major currencies are trading mixed overall as markets steady and take stock of developments after yesterday’s steep US equity declines.
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At least we got "the terms of reference to lay down a roadmap for the negotiations"
90 deals in 90 days? Sides have finalized an agreement... on how to have future conversations about eventually reaching an agreement
USD
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Philly Fed services survey plunges to the lowest since May 2020
Philly Fed April non-manufacturing index -42.7 vs -32.5 prior
USD
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Canada March PPI +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
Canadian March producer price index data and the raw materials price index
CAD
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Richmond Fed and a handful of Fed speakers on the agenda
Waiting for word from Trump as well
economic calendar
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ECB's Kazimir: Uncertainty is here to stay, driven by US trade policy
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Peter Kazimir said on Tuesday that he is confident that the 2% inflation target will be reached in the next few months, per Reuters.
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ECB's Kazimir: Interest rates are now within the neutral range
Remarks by ECB policymaker, Peter Kažimír
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Forexlive European FX news wrap: Some calm after Monday's swings
Forex news from the European morning session on Apr 22, 2025
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AUD/USD retraces to near 0.6400 as US Dollar strives to gain ground
The AUD/USD pair corrects slightly to near 0.6400 during European trading hours on Tuesday after posting a fresh four-month high at 0.6440 earlier in the day. The Aussie pair retraces as the US Dollar (USD) strives to gain ground after remaining in the downside trajectory in the last few weeks.
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ECB's Rehn: Great uncertainty is restraining economic activity
Remarks by ECB policymaker, Olli Rehn
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US Dollar stronger as Richmond Manufacturing sinks
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is bouncing off a three-year low ahead of the US trading session.
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD wobbles below $33 as investors seek development in US-China trade
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades sideways around $32.50 during European trading hours on Tuesday. The white metal has turned sideways over the last three trading days as investors look for fresh development in trade relations between the United States (US) and China.
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USD/JPY: Stay short into Kato-Bessent meeting – OCBC
USD/JPY continues to trade with a heavy bias as broad USD softness persists. Pair was last at 140.34 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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Gold: Another new high – OCBC
XAU/USD surged to another fresh highs as Trump doubled down on threats against Powell, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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DXY: Short covering Soon? – OCBC
Dollar Index (DXY) continued to trade near recent lows and was last seen trading at 98.44, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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US Vice President Vance: India and America have finalized terms of reference for a trade deal
US Vice President James David Vance announced on Tuesday that India and America have finalized the terms of reference for a trade deal.
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BoE on track for May cut after disinflation surprise – Danske Bank
Prior to Easter, EUR/GBP rose on the soft inflation data for March only partly reversed since then on a dovish ECB, Danske Bank's FX analysts report.
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Gold uptrend accelerates, MACD hits multiyear high – Société Générale
Gold continues to push higher after defending its 50-day moving average, with no immediate signs of exhaustion.
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US VP Vance: India and America have finalised terms of reference for a trade deal
Comments from the US Vice President JD Vance
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BoC holds at 2.75%, highlights tariff risks – Danske Bank
Before the Easter break, the BoC held the policy rate at 2.75% as expected by markets and the majority of analysts, Danske Bank's FX analysts report.
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USD/JPY tests key support near 139.50 – Société Générale
USD/JPY continues to slide after breaking below a flag-like channel, hitting last year’s low around 139.50/138.90.
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EUR/USD breaks 1.15 on 'Sell America' momentum – Danske Bank
The US Dollar (USD) extended its decline as markets reacted to Trump's threats against Fed Chair Powell, worsening US asset market dynamics, and thin holiday liquidity. EUR/USD surged past 1.15, driven by ongoing risk aversion and safe-haven rotation away from the greenback.
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Bitcoin breaks out of the range and eyes a key resistance
Bitcoin was a standout yesterday as it decoupled from the stock market
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EUR/USD retraces as US Dollar finds temporary support
EUR/USD retraces to near 1.1470 during North American trading hours on Tuesday from an over three-year high of 1.1575, which it posted on Monday. The major currency pair has witnessed some profit-booking as the US Dollar (USD) strives to gain ground near its recent lows.
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Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data.
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Little progress on trade negotiations keeps the market betting on more aggressive easing
The market's pricing for major central banks remains skewed to the more dovish side amid lack of progress in trade negotiations
market overview
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BoE’s Greene: Pricing partly reflects global factors
Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Megan Greene said on Tuesday that “pricing partly reflects global factors.”
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Oil caught up in risk-off move – ING
Oil, though, was unable to escape the broader risk-off move in markets yesterday. ICE Brent settled 2.5% lower on the day, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note
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CAD: Downside risks still prevail – Commerzbank
USD/CAD has fallen significantly in recent weeks. However, this was due to pronounced USD weakness rather than CAD strength. If the US dollar recovers, we are likely to see higher levels again.
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USD/CAD maintains losses near 1.3800, six-month lows due to higher Oil prices
USD/CAD continues to slide for the second consecutive day, trading near 1.3810 during Tuesday’s European session. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) gains traction, buoyed by a rebound in crude Oil prices and broader macroeconomic factors.
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TRY: Re-establishing credibility is always difficult – Commerzbank
Last Thursday, Turkey's central bank (CBT) surprised markets by raising its main policy rate from 42.5% to 46.0%. Simultaneously, it increased the overnight lending rate to 49%, and the overnight borrowing rate to 44.5%.
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Gold price holds on to gains ahead of US session after reaching $3,500 first time ever
Gold price (XAU/USD) is continuing its historic performance with another record high in early Asian trading on Tuesday, at $3,500.
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JPY: Strong position – ING
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is the biggest winner in this latest round of USD selling, as it responds to both the equity slump and the risks of the Fed’s independence.
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GBP/JPY: Pound Sterling cross rates mixed at the start of the European session
Pound Sterling (GBP) crosses trade mixed at the start of Tuesday, according to FXStreet data. The Pound Sterling (GBP) to the Japanese Yen changes hands at 188.02, with the GBP/JPY pair declining from its previous close at 188.44.
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JPY: Strength mainly vs. the USD – Commerzbank
The Japanese yen continued to strengthen against the US dollar over the holiday weekend, with the USD/JPY approaching 140 this morning.
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USD: Confidence crisis extends – ING
US Dollar (USD) losses of the past few weeks have been a combination of mounting US growth concerns and a loss of confidence in the dollar as a safe haven. The round of USD weakness seen on Easter Monday belongs to both trends.
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