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Switzerland March seasonally adjusted unemployment rate 2.8% vs 2.7% expected
Latest data released by SECO - 4 April 2025
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Equities stay in retreat mode ahead of European trading
S&P 500 futures now down 0.9% on the day
Stocks
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NZD/USD tumbles below 0.5750 amid US-China trade tensions, RBNZ rate cut bets
The NZD/USD pair falls to near 0.5720 during the early European session on Friday. The fears of an escalation of a trade war between the United States (US) and China exert some selling pressure on the China-proxy Kiwi.
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WTI struggles near multi-week low, below $66.00 amid rising trade tensions
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices trade with negative bias for the fourth straight day on Friday and slide back below the $66.00/barrel mark during the Asian session.
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Breaking: US Nonfarm Payrolls increase by 228,000 in March vs. 135,000 forecast
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US rose by 228,000 in March, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday. This reading followed the 117,000 increase (revised from 151,000) recorded in February and surpassed the market expectation of 135,000 by a wide margin.
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AUD/USD plummets below mid-0.6200s as trade-war fears lift RBA rate cut bets
The AUD/USD pair comes under intense selling pressure during the Asian session on Friday and retreats further from a nearly three-week high, around the 0.6400 neighborhood touched the previous day.
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JP Morgan raises odds of a global recession to 60% by year-end
That's a notable step up from their previous probability projection of 40%
market overview
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Nomura sees the Fed cutting interest rates once this year in December
The firm previously saw no rate cuts for the Fed all through 2025
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Gold price keeps the red below $3,100; looks to US NFP for fresh impetus
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session on Friday and currently trades below the $3,100 mark, down for the second successive day.
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Nomura now sees the ECB cutting rates this month
The firm previously only forecast the ECB to cut rates in June
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10-year Treasury yields dip under 4% for the first time in six months
The flight to safety continues to play out for now
Bonds
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Heads up - Australia switches off daylight saving this weekend
If you are trading Australian markets from offshore you may need to adjust your times
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ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Trump ready to negotiate on tariffs
Forex news for Asian trading on Friday, April 4, 2025
Session wrap
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AUD and NZD losing ground
Expectations of central bank rate cuts in both countries have heightened after the latest tariff war launch by Trump on Wednesday
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Trump has fired NSA Director Timothy Haugh
National Security Agency head
Politics
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USD/CAD hangs near multi-month low, below 1.4100 ahead of US/Canadian jobs data
The USD/CAD pair remains under some selling pressure for the fourth straight day on Friday and currently trades around the 1.4070 area, down 0.15% for the day.
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USD/INR tumbles as traders brace for US NFP release
The Indian Rupee (INR) trades on a positive note on Friday. A robust recovery in local equities provides some support to the Indian currency. Additionally, the safe haven status of the US Dollar (USD) might be diminished due to concerns about how trade policy may impact growth in the US.
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South Korea Constitutional Court upheld President Yoon Suk Yeolhis impeachment
This is over his attempt at martial law back in December
KRW
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Japanese Yen consolidates near multi-month top against USD as traders await US NFP report
The Japanese Yen (JPY) seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses against its American counterpart heading into the European session on Friday and remains close to a multi-month peak touched the previous day.
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Goldman Sachs cuts oil price forecasts amid tariff concerns and rising OPEC+ supply
GS cut its December 2025 Brent and WTI forecasts by $5, to $66 and $62, respectively
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Stellantis laying off 900 workers at 5 US facilities following Trump tariff announcement
Says the layoffs are 'temporary'
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BoJ’s Ueda says US tariffs likely to exert downward pressure on Japan, global economies
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said early Friday that US tariffs are likely to exert downward pressure on Japan and the global economies.
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AUD/USD posts modest gains above 0.6300 as Trump tariffs fuel recession fears
The AUD/USD pair edges higher to around 0.6330 during the early Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) as US President Donald Trump's fresh trade tariffs stoke fears of a global recession.
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Barclays lowers Brent crude outlook amid trade tensions, downside risk to its $74 forecast
The Brent response to Trump's tariffs was a sharp drop
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BoJ’s Uchida says will raise rates if inflation rises and economy improves
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said on Friday that the central bank will raise interest rates if underlying inflation heightens against the background of continued improvements in the economy.
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Japan's Kato concerns about tariffs impact on economies
Japan’s Finance Minister Shunichi Kato said late Thursday that he is concerned about US tariffs that will impact the Japanese economy and could have a significant impact on trade systems. However, Kato does not comment on foreign exchange.
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Trump administration sued over Chinese import tariffs - Reuters
New Civil Liberties Alliance, a conservative legal group, on Thursday filed what it said was the first lawsuit seeking to block US President Donald Trump's tariffs on Chinese imports, claiming that the president overstepped his authority, per Reuters.
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EUR/USD lurched higher on Thursday, breaks into fresh highs on tariff tantrum
EUR/USD rallied hard on Thursday, with the Euro getting pushed higher alongside the rest of the market as the US Dollar tumbles on the heels of the Trump administration’s combined flat and “reciprocal” tariff packages that were unveiled this week.
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Japan finance minister Kato says has no comment on forex
Japanese authorities will ilkely express concern about the rapid yen move, but not kAto. yet.
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Japan data - February household spending -0.5% y/y (expected -1.7%)
Ffor the m/m +3.5% (expected +0.5%)
JPY
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Japan considering an extra budget to address tariffs
Japanese media Asahi reported on Thursday that the Japanese government is considering what actions to take over the new tariffs, including an extra budget.Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba on Thursday highlighted its disappointment and "serious concern" over the US move to impose reciprocal tariffs on t
Japan
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US manufacturing news - Whirlpool to lay off 651 workers
That's nearly a third of the company’s workforce of 2,000
USD
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Morgan Stanley raising around 100 billion yen for Japan-focused real estate fund
info via Reuters
JPY
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Trump sued over China tariffs: legal challenge alleges abuse of emergency powers
CNY
China Stock Market
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds positive ground above $3,100, all eyes on US NFP data
Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers some lost ground to near $3,115 during the late American session on Thursday after facing some profit-taking in the previous session.
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Financial Times: "Trump floats China tariff relief in exchange for TikTok sale approval"
Trump open to negotiation on tariffs.
CNY
China Stock Market
China
CNH
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Japan considering an extra budget to address tariffs.
Also, Nissan 'pause' orders for some vehicles for US market
JPY
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IMF's Georgieva: US tariffs represent significant risk to global outlook
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Thursday that sweeping tariffs announced on Wednesday by US President Donald Trump represent a significant risk to the global economy at a time when growth has been sluggish.
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UnitedStates
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GBP/USD takes a hard rejection from fresh highs, but holds on the bullish side
GBP/USD briefly clipped the 1.3200 handle for the first time in six months on Thursday, climbing into fresh highs as the Greenback turns sour across the board.
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JP Morgan raises global recession risk to 60% as Trump’s tariffs hit U.S. growth
U.S. and global economies remain fundamentally strong
Bonds
SPX
USD
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