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Mexican Peso dwindles on recession jitters, awaits Trump’s announcement
The Mexican Peso (MXN) begins the week on the back foot against the US Dollar (USD), mainly due to a deteriorating risk appetite as investors brace for the release of US tariffs on April 2, the US Liberation Day.
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Pres. Trump to sign Executive Orders at the top of the hour
There will be press there
USD
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Oleh
Fxstreet
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair eases toward mid-range despite holding bullish structure
The EUR/USD pair slightly declined on Monday’s session after the European close, holding near the 1.08 zone and staying confined within its daily range.
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Silver markets are still in a structural deficit – TDS
The rise in the XAU/XAG ratio reflects idiosyncratic strength in Gold, as opposed to weakness in Silver, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
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Gold: Downside risks are subsiding – TDS
Gold is melting higher, but downside risks are subsiding, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
Gold
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China, Japan, and South Korea will jointly respond to US tariffs
The spaghetti is being shuffled around the plate as tariffs push to new ideas on trade and supply
USD
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Why the drop in Canadian air travel booking to the US may be overstated
CIBC pushes back on some viral stats
CAD
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Fxstreet
CNY: The state helps state banks – Commerzbank
It was announced over the weekend that the Chinese government plans to inject fresh capital into its major state-owned banks.
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China
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GBP/USD dips as trade war tensions mount ahead of US tariff Liberation Day
The Pound Sterling loses ground versus the US Dollar as US April 2 Liberation Day gets closer, in which President Donald Trump is expected to announce additional tariffs to the ones already enacted since March 2.
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NZD/USD plunges to near 0.5660 as US Trump tariffs loom large
The NZD/USD pair is down almost 1% to near 0.5660 during North American trading hours on Monday.
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Dallas Fed manufacturing index for March -16.3 versus -8.3 in February
Dallas Fed manufacturing index for March 2025
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Fxstreet
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Tumbles ahead of RBA’s interest rate decision
The AUD/USD pair plummets to near 0.6235 in Monday’s North American session, the lowest level seen in more than three weeks.
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JPY: Waiting for new tariffs to unfold – Rabobank
Japan appears to be emerging from a 30-year battle with deflation driven by an economy expanding at a pace above its potential growth rate.
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GBP steady on the day – Scotiabank
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is steady, trading under 1.30 and also showing notable relative resilience in an environment of trade-related risk aversion, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Brace yourself: US major indices are expected to open sharply lower
Tariff fears from "Liberation Day" loom on traders minds
USD
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EUR trading in tight range – Scotiabank
Euro (EUR) is trading in a tight range near 1.08 and showing some notable resilience in an environment of broad-based risk aversion driven by trade-related concerns, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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USD/CAD dips under 1.43 remain well supported on the charts – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is softer on the session, edging back through the low 1.43 area to the mid-1.43s.
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USD mixed, havens bid ahead of tariffs – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is mixed and market sentiment is broadly weaker as investors seek havens ahead of Wednesday’s US tariff announcement.
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Goldman Sachs raises U.S. recession risk to 35% amid trade tensions and weak confidence
Lower GDP growth, higher inflation, and expected Fed rate cuts signal growing economic concerns heading into 2025
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DAX falls to a key trendline as risk-off flows dent global equities
The general risk-off sentiment is impacting negatively global equity markets
market overview
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Germany annual CPI inflation declines to 2.2% in March
Inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), edged lower to 2.2% on a yearly basis in March from 2.3% in February, Destatis' flash estimate showed on Monday.
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Germany March preliminary CPI +2.2% vs +2.2% y/y expected
Latest data released by Destatis - 31 March 2025
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US Dollar flat and steady while equity rout sees Nasdaq plunge over 2%
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is still stuck and does not see any substantial moves while other asset classes in markets are facing mayhem. The DXY is completely left in the
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Safety bids stick as Trump tariffs loom
Forex news from the European morning session on Mar 31, 2025
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Wrap Europe
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USD/JPY is trading around 149.00 for now – BBH
USD/JPY was down at a multi-day low under 149.00 on heighted risk aversion and narrower US-Japan bond yield spreads, but it somewhat recovered above that hurdle, BBH's FX analysts report.
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EU gas prices continue to decline – ING
In gas, natural gas prices in Europe extended declines for a second straight session in the early trading session today, after falling around 4.7% week-on-week as of last Friday, ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note.
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USD/CNH looks bearish on the day – BBH
USD/CNH is drifting lower. China economic activity edged up in March, BBH's FX analysts report.
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD flattens around $34, Trump’s tariffs in focus
Silver price (XAG/USD) wobbles around $34.00 in Monday’s European session.
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Traders increase easing expectations for all central banks amid the global growth fears
Following the ugly final UMich data on Friday and the negative tariffs reports, traders are now pricing more easing for central banks as global growth fears increase
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Oil prices are under pressure – ING
Oil prices opened lower this morning with ICE Brent extending its declines from last week, hovering around $73.5/bbl.
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No Putin-Trump call scheduled so far for this week
Some geopolitical update on the Russia-Ukraine talks
Politics
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USD/CAD Price Forecast: Extends winning streak amid caution ahead of Liberation Day
The USD/CAD pair extends its winning streak for the third day on Monday.
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Employment
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AUD: RBA hold amid tariff noise – ING
The Reserve Bank of Australia announces rates at 0430 BST tomorrow and we expect a hold, in line with consensus and market pricing (less than 10% implied probability of a cut).
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Copper continues its retreat– ING
Copper continues retreating from a nine-month high amid broader risk-off sentiment, ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note.
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France's Le Pen reportedly receives immediate election ban
That's a major blow to the French political scene
Politics
EUR
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USD: Waiting to be lifted by tariffs – ING
The US is due to announce a new historic round of tariffs on trading partners on Wednesday, which President Trump has now famously dubbed 'liberation day', ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole notes.
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Gold heads higher and flirts with another fresh all-time high on Monday ahead of US session
Gold price (XAU/USD) is residing near $3,120 at the time of writing on Monday and keeps an eye on its earlier fresh all-time high near $3,128. The move comes as with some last-minute flight to safety after the United States (US) President Donald Trump
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USD/JPY: A pullback is taking shape – Societe Generale
USD/JPY rebound petered out near the confluence of the 50-DMA and the 200-DMA at 151.30/151.60, Societe Generale's FX analysts report.
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