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Steady bids underping US equities while USD falls. No fear of tariffs
Stocks bid into Trump's reciprocal tariffs announcement
Stocks
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NY Fed: Q4 total household debt rose 0.5% to $18.04 trillion
Household debt data from the NY Fed
USD
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Core PCE is likely to fall given the PPI components
Year-over-year PCE core likely to fall
USD
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GBP/USD rises as UK GDP beat estimates, US inflation stays hot
The Pound Sterling registered solid gains versus the Greenback on Thursday after GDP figures in the UK surprisingly beat estimates.
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Macroeconomics
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Reciprocal tariffs announced today will have a time delay, won't be an executive order
Report from CNBC
Politics
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Oil traders to continue their selling activity – TDS
Crude oil markets continue to sell off, with the prospects of a Russia-Ukraine deal further sapping energy supply risk premia over the last sessions, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
Oil
Energy
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USD/JPY tumbles from weekly high of 154.80 as Japanese Yen outperforms on safe-haven bid
The USD/JPY pair falls sharply to near 153.40 in Thursday’s North American session from its weekly high of 154.80, which it posed on Wednesday.
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A sign of softness is creeping in for Canadian consumers
Canadian Tire same-store sales soft
CAD
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Senior Trump official: Hope to have bilateral trade deal with India this year
Comments from an unnamed US official on the wires
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Italy economy minister: Will adopot measures in next few weeks to address energy costs
Comments from Italy's economy minister
EUR
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The market shrugs off the hotter PPI report
US dollar lower after initially rising
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Trump says he will hold a press conference at 1 pm ET on reciprocal tariffs
Announcement from the President
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No problem. US stocks move higher and yields lower after PPI/claims.
Markets brush off high PPI, jobless claims data. US stocks set to rise. EURUSD tests key level while USDJPY hits new lows for the day.
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US: Initial Jobless Claims fell to 213K last week
US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance rose to 213K for the week ending February 8, as reported by the US Department of Labor (DoL) on Thursday.
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US initial jobless claims 213K versus 215K estimate
Initial and continuing jobless claims
USD
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US January PPI +3.5% vs +3.2% y/y expected
January PPI data from the Census Bureau
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UK: Labour’s labour problem – Standard Chartered
We lower our 2025 growth forecast to 1.0% (from 1.3%) owing to the slowdown in H2-2024.
Employment
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar keeps slightly lower, eyes on Trump again
Forex news from the European morning session on Feb 13, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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US Dollar takes step back with reciprocal tariffs being teased by President Trump
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is not going anywhere as traders have issues balancing head- and tailwinds with a possible peace deal for Ukraine and Russia, US Producer
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Today is the big one: Reciprocal tariffs – US President Trump
In a recently shared social media post, US President Donald Trump pointed to an announcement of reciprocal tariffs.
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No breakout for EUR/CHF just yet
This will be an interesting chart amid the latest geopolitical developments in the region
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CHF
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Copper: Beyond 9530, price can target the pattern near 9780/9830 – BBH
LME Copper broke out from a base in the form of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern recently and marched towards 9530, BBH's FX analysts report.
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USD/CAD faces pressure above 1.4300 on optimism over Russia-Ukraine peace
The USD/CAD pair falls below the key level of 1.4300 in Thursday’s European session.
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USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a narrower range of 7.2500/7.3300 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a range between 7.3000 and 7.3200. In the longer run, outlook remains mixed, but USD is likely to trade in a narrower range of 7.2500/7.3300, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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Eurozone Industrial Production drops 1.1% MoM in December vs. -0.6% expected
Eurozone’s industrial sector activity deteriorate in December, the latest data published by Eurostat showed on Thursday.
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Eurozone December industrial production -1.1% vs -0.6% m/m expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 13 February 2025
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Kremlin on possible Ukraine peace deal: There is a political will on both sides
Amid heightening speculations of Russia-Ukraine peace talks, the Kremlin came out with a statement on Thursday, noting that “there is a political will on both sides to engage in dialogue and search for a settlement.
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IEA Russian oil flows so far continue largely unaffected by latest US sanctions
In its monthly oil market report published on Thursday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) raised 2025 global oil demand growth forecast to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) from 1.05 million bpd..
Oil
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EUR/USD surrenders some gains as Trump prepares to impose reciprocal tariffs
EUR/USD gives up some gains and drops to near 1.0400 as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds in Thursday’s North American session.
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ECB
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PBOC: Will implement appropriately loose monetary policy
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) released their fourth-quarter monetary policy implementation report on Thursday.
PBOC
CentralBanks
AUDUSD
China
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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Thursday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
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Metals
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD clings to gains above $32 as traders brace for Trump’s reciprocal tariffs
Silver price (XAG/USD) holds onto gains near Wednesday’s high around $32.30 in Thursday’s European session.
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German economy ministry warns that there is no noticeable economic recovery yet
The ministry says that there is still no sign of a turnaround in the industrial sector
EUR
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Weekly update on interest rate expectations
What are the market expectations for interest rates for G8FX
market overview
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USD/CHF drops below 0.9100 as US Dollar depreciates ahead of US PPI data
USD/CHF depreciates approximately 0.50%, trading around 0.9080 during the European hours on Thursday.
USDCHF
Majors
Macroeconomics
Switzerland
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Pound Sterling consolidates some gains against USD as Trump reiterates reciprocal tariff threats
The Pound Sterling (GBP) surrenders some of its intraday gains and falls back below the psychological level of 1.2500 against the US Dollar (USD) in North American trading hours on Thursday.
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WTI falls to near $70.50 as supply concerns ease following Trump-Putin discussion
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price continues its downward trend for the second straight day, trading around $70.60 per barrel during early European hours on Thursday.
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European indices continue to run hot to start the new day
It's another blistering start to the year for stocks in Europe
Stocks
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Crude oil price today: WTI price bearish, according to FXStreet data
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price falls on Thursday, according to FXStreet data.
Oil
WTI
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What are the main events for today?
The highlights include the US PPI, the US Jobless Claims and the Trump's reciprocal tariffs announcement
market overview
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