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US exceptionalism wanes as global investors pivot away – Rabobank
The concept of ‘US exceptionalism’ covers many specific themes. For academics it may have referred to the US’s ability to attract bright minds from around the world and generate cutting edge research.
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OPEC+ exports set to rise – TDS
CTAs will continue to sell crude and industrial metals (x-copper) in most scenarios for prices by this time next week. In the imminent term, CTA selling activity will continue to weigh on price action into the OPEC meeting, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
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Gold open interest hits historic lows despite bullish macro – TDS
This is one of those moments where Gold markets are offering a gift, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD strives to hold $33 amid renewed Sino-US trade worries
Silver price (XAG/USD) is down almost 1% near the key level of $33.00 during North American trading house on Friday. However, the white metal strives to gain ground as renewed trade tensions between the United States (US) and China are limited the upside in the US Dollar (USD).
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University of Michigan sentiment for May final 52.2 vs.51.0 estimate
Preliminary comes in at 50.8. Last month 52.2
USD
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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Gains ground near 0.8200
The USD/CHF pair attracted bids after revisiting a near five-week low around 0.8185 during North American trading hours on Friday.
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Mexican Peso erases gains against US Dollar on improved US consumer sentiment
The Mexican Peso (MXN) is showing renewed signs of weakness against the US Dollar after Michigan Expectations and Sentiment provided relief for the Greenback.
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US indices are trading lower to start the day. Prices are higher for the week.
Gains for the week between 1% and 2%. NASDAQ is on pace for its best month since November 2023
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WSJ Timiraos: This month is good, but what will the impact of tariffs going forward
The tariffs and the drop-off of low numbers from a year ago will impact the YoY figures going forward.
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Canada real GDP grows 2.2% in first quarter vs. 1.7% expected
Canada's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 0.5% on a quarterly basis in the first quarter, Statistics Canada reported on Friday. This reading matched the 0.5% expansion recorded in the last quarter of 2024.
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US core PCE for April 0.1% vs 0.1% estimate. Core YoY 2.5% vs 2.5% estimate
PCE, Personal income and personal consumption for April
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Canada GDP Q1 Annualized 2.2% vs 1.7% estimate
GDP for Q1 2025
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Canada GDP for March +0.1% vs +0.1% expected
Canada GDP for March 2025
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US Trade Representative Greer: China behaviour is completely unacceptable
Comments from the US Trade Representative to CNBC
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US Trade Rep. Greer: Concerned with China's non-compliance, has to be addressed
In an interview with CNBC on Friday, United States Trade Representative (USTR) Jamieson Greer said that they are concerned with China's non-compliance and added that this situation has to be addressed, per Reuters.
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Trump: China has totally violated its agreement with US
Trump post on Truth Social
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US Pres. Trump: China has totally violated its agreement with US
In a post published on Truth Social on Friday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that China has violated its agreement with the US.
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Germany annual CPI inflation holds steady at 2.1% as forecast
Inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), held steady at 2.1% on a yearly basis in May, Destatis' flash estimate showed on Friday. This reading came in line with the market expectation.
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JPY outperforming as Tokyo CPI firms expectations for continued BoJ tightening – Scotiabank
Japanese Yen (JPY) is strong and outperforming all of the G10 currencies, entering Friday’s NA session with a 0.3% gain against the US Dollar (USD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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GBP quietly consolidating recent push to multi-year high – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft, trading down a modest 0.1% against the US Dollar (USD) and a mid-performer among the G10, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Germany May preliminary CPI (HICP) +2.1% vs +2.0% y/y expected
Latest data released by Destatis - 30 May 2025
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Gold recovers quickly after US court ruling on Trump's tariffs – Commerzbank
The price of Gold briefly fell below the USD 3,250 per troy ounce mark on Thursday after it was announced that a US court had declared most of the tariffs imposed by US President Trump to be illegal, Commerzbank's Head of FX and Commodity Research Thu Lan Nguyen notes.
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OPEC+ may discuss an oil output hike larger than 411,000 bpd for July
Reuters report citing sources
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CAD steady in quiet trade – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the session. Broader market sentiment is relatively neutral, with European stocks a little firmer while US equity futures are currently trading lower.
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EU carbon surplus rises 3% on RePowerEU supply – Commerzbank
According to figures published on Wednesday, the number of certificates in circulation (TNAC) at the end of 2024 stood at 1.148 billion, which was actually around 3% higher than in the previous year, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
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US gasoline demand strong ahead of summer driving season – Commerzbank
Yesterday's weekly US inventory report halted the slide on the oil market, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
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USD/CAD consolidates within previous ranges, with 1.3835 holding bulls
The US Dollar is clinging to minor gains on Friday, with price action wavering within previous day’s ranges and the 4-hour RSI flat around the 50 level, which signals a lack of clear bias.The Dollar whipsawed on Thursday before closing the day with a 0.2% decline, as a federal court paused a previou
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EUR soft in quiet trade – Scotiabank
Euro (EUR) is soft, down 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming most of the G10 currencies in generally quiet trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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USD firmer but tariff, fiscal uncertainties persist – Scotiabank
Tariffs were off Tuesday night and were back on again, at least for now, Thursday afternoon after a Federal Appeals Court allowed the president’s tariff plans to remain in place pending further rulings, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Forexlive European FX news wrap: Slow session as we await the US PCE release
Forex news from the European morning session on May 30, 2025
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USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range of 7.1800/7.2000 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 7.1800/7.2000 against Chinese Yuan (CNH). In the longer run, for now, USD is likely to trade in a range between 7.1800 and 7.2300, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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No giving in from Kazakhstan: Will other key producers follow suit? – Commerzbank
The press statement following Wednesday's OPEC+ meeting was extremely short.
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USD/JPY declines below 144.00 as Japanese Yen strengthens on hot Tokyo CPI data
The USD/JPY pair trades lower slightly below 144.00 during European trading hours on Friday. The asset weakens as the Japanese Yen (JPY) outperforms across the board after the Statistics Bureau of Japan reported a hotter-than-projected Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May.
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Gold declines despite renewed US-China trade tensions
Gold price (XAU/USD) slides to near $3,280 during North American trading hours on Friday, following a strong upside move the previous day.
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USD/JPY: Oversold conditions indicate that any decline is unlikely to reach 142.80 – UOB Group
Sharp drop in US Dollar (USD) could extend against Japanese Yen (JPY); oversold conditions indicate that any decline is unlikely to reach 142.80.
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Gold is trading firmly amid trade uncertainty – Commerzbank
Gold prices are once again supported by geopolitical uncertainty. While prices dipped slightly after tariff delays, ongoing trade tensions continue to drive demand for the safe-haven meta, Commerzbank's Head of FX and Commodity Research Thu Lan Nguyen notes.
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