Scope for USD to grind lower and test 144.95 vs Japanese Yen (JPY); a sustained break below this level seems unlikely. In the longer run, upward momentum has dissipated; USD is expected to consolidate in a range of 144.50/148.50 for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/JPY continued to trade lower amid decline in UST yields. Pair was last at 145.59 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is under mild downward pressure against the US Dollar (USD); it could drift lower and test 0.5855. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; NZD is expected to trade in a 0.5835/0.6030 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Pound Sterling (GBP) could trade in a range of 1.3270/1.3345. In the longer run, GBP is likely to trade in a 1.3140/1.3405 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
This week’s data flow has been quite dovish for the Federal Reserve. After the soft April CPI, PPI dropped by 0.5% month-on-month, against expectations of a 0.2% rise, with significant upward revisions for March data.
Euro (EUR) is expected to continue to range trade, likely between 1.1145 and 1.1235. In the longer run, EUR is likely to consolidate between 1.1100 and 1.1290 for the time being, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Euro (EUR) has been only marginally impacted by domestic news this week. 1Q growth was revised a touch lower from 0.4% to 0.3% yesterday, although March industrial production figures were stronger than expected, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes
The USD/CAD pair attracts some sellers for the second straight day on Friday, though it remains confined in a range held since the beginning of this week. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-1.3900s, down over 0.10% for the day amid a combination of negative factors.
EUR/JPY extends its losing streak for the third successive session, trading around 162.80 during the Asian hours on Friday. Technical analysis of the daily chart shows the currency cross remains within an ascending channel, suggesting a bullish bias is in play.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, trades with a negative bias for the second straight day on Friday, though the intraday downtick lacks bearish conviction.
The NZD/JPY cross is trading near the 85.50 zone on Thursday, down approximately 1% as it sits mid-range within its recent fluctuation ahead of the Asian session.
The Pound Sterling extended its gains against the US Dollar, driven by a positive reading of economic growth in the UK and softer-than-expected data in the US, which fueled speculation of a slower economic outlook. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3293, up 0.31%.
The EUR/USD pair maintained a steady tone near the 1.1200 zone on Thursday, reflecting a cautiously bullish stance after the European session. Price action remains within the middle of its recent range, indicating balanced sentiment despite mixed short-term signals.
EUR/JPY extended its pullback for a second consecutive session on Thursday, falling 0.5% to trade around 163.00, with the Japanese Yen (JPY) gaining traction on safe-haven flows.
The EUR/CHF cross is trading around the 0.9400 zone on Thursday, maintaining a bearish tone as it approaches the lower end of its daily range. The cross remains under pressure as traders assess a mix of technical signals, suggesting further downside risk despite some short-term bullish momentum.
Gold prices recovered some ground earlier on Thursday during the North American session after US economic data suggested that factory gate inflation continues decelerating. At the same time, consumer spending was debilitated due to US tariffs.
USDCHF struggles to break above resistance at 38.2% retracement at 0.8482, key support at 0.8318-0.8333 remains crucial for bullish momentum. Battle is on between the levels
Euro (EUR) is entering Thursday’s NA session with a modest 0.2% gain vs. the USD, showing losses vs. the havens while strengthening vs. the likes of AUD and NOK in a market that is trading on the disinflationary impact of a US/Iran deal, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
The CAD is entering Thursday’s NA session flat vs. the USD but trading somewhat defensively, reflecting the burden of lower oil prices amid the prospect of a possible US/Iran deal, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Risk aversion is dominating as we head into Thursday’s NA session with a distribution of relative currency performance that is seeing notable strength from the havens Swiss Franc (CHF) and Japanese Yen (JPY) and weakness from the growth-sensitive commodity currencies NOK, NZD, and AUD.
Further sideways trading seems likely; firmer underlying tone suggests a higher range of 7.1950/7.2200. In the longer run, renewed downward momentum suggests 7.1700 is back in sight, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD is likely to trade in a sideways range of 145.70/147.50. In the longer run, upward momentum has dissipated; USD is expected to consolidate in a range of 144.50/148.50 for now, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could decline vs US Dollar (USD), but as there is no significant increase in momentum, it is unlikely to be able to break clearly below 0.5860.
There was quite a bit of volatility in FX markets overnight, with USD declining at first, in response to the Bloomberg headline that US discussed FX with South Korea. DXY was last at 100.77 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
A slight increase in downward momentum is likely to lead to a lower range of 0.6400/0.6465 instead of a sustained decline. In the longer run, to continue to rise, Australian Dollar (AUD) must break and hold above 0.6515, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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