EUR/USD seen at 1.15 as US outlook weakens – Rabobank
EUR/USD seen at 1.15 as US outlook weakens – Rabobank
The resilience of the US economy in recent years was interpreted by many investors as a demonstration of US ‘exceptionalism’, Rabobank's FX analyst Jane Foley notes.
Banks
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Gold retreats below $3,200 as safe-haven demand fades, down over $300 from record high
Gold retreats below $3,200 as safe-haven demand fades, down over $300 from record high
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to decline on Friday, falling toward $3,180 and marking a sharp weekly loss of over 4%, its biggest since November 2024. The precious metal has now shed over $300 from its record high of $3,500 set in April, as safe-haven demand weakens and technical selling accelerates.
Gold
XAUUSD
Metals
Technical Analysis
EUR/CHF price analysis: Cross struggles amid mixed technical signals
EUR/CHF price analysis: Cross struggles amid mixed technical signals
The EUR/CHF pair is navigating a cautious tone on Friday, hovering around the 0.94 zone with modest gains.
Crosses
Technical Analysis
Currencies
EURCHF
EURJPY
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Rejection at resistance risks fresh downside
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Rejection at resistance risks fresh downside
The US Dollar (USD) is trading higher against the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday, as markets continue to digest the ongoing developments in tariff negotiations, interest rate expectations, and broader risk sentiment.
USDCHF
Technical Analysis
Majors
Currencies
GBP/USD slips below 1.33 as US consumer sentiment turns negative, boosts USD
GBP/USD slips below 1.33 as US consumer sentiment turns negative, boosts USD
The Pound Sterling (GBP retreats against the US Dollar (USD) during the North American session, poised to end the week with minimal losses of over 0.24%.
GBPUSD
Majors
Technical Analysis
Currencies
Fundamental Analysis
EUR stuck around 1.12 with risk in Fed pricing – Scotiabank
EUR stuck around 1.12 with risk in Fed pricing – Scotiabank
EUR/USD is extending its recent, quiet consolidation around 1.12 and trading with modest support into Friday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
CAD consolidating within a right range and finding support from spreads – Scotiabank
CAD consolidating within a right range and finding support from spreads – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is entering Friday’s NA session flat vs. the USD as it consolidates around the midpoint of this week’s range, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
USDCAD
Banks
Technical Analysis
Canada
BOC
Markets quiet but USD looks vulnerable on pause in Fed cut fade trade – Scotiabank
Markets quiet but USD looks vulnerable on pause in Fed cut fade trade – Scotiabank
Markets are quiet heading into Friday’s NA session with limited movement across most of the G10 currencies and minimal dispersion in terms of performance, aside from NZD (outperforming on higher than expected inflation expectation data) and SEK (underperforming in response to Riksbank Gov.
Banks
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Fed
USD/CNH: Expected to trade in a sideways range of 7.1970/7.2190 – UOB Group
USD/CNH: Expected to trade in a sideways range of 7.1970/7.2190 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a sideways range of 7.1970/7.2190. In the longer run, a breach of 7.2330 would indicate that the likelihood of USD declining to 7.1700 has faded, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
USD/CNH: 2-way trades likely – OCBC
USD/CNH: 2-way trades likely – OCBC
USD/CNY fix continues to come in slightly softer (and below spot) for the whole week, last seen trading at 7.2057 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Banks
USDCNH
Technical Analysis
China
USD/JPY: Upward momentum has dissipated – UOB Group
USD/JPY: Upward momentum has dissipated – UOB Group
Scope for USD to grind lower and test 144.95 vs Japanese Yen (JPY); a sustained break below this level seems unlikely. In the longer run, upward momentum has dissipated; USD is expected to consolidate in a range of 144.50/148.50 for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
USD/JPY: Short bias on the daily charts – OCBC
USD/JPY: Short bias on the daily charts – OCBC
USD/JPY continued to trade lower amid decline in UST yields. Pair was last at 145.59 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks
DXY: Slight downside risk – OCBC
DXY: Slight downside risk – OCBC
USD turned lower, tracking UST yields lower. DXY was last at 100.75 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
NZD/USD: Under mild downward pressure – UOB Group
NZD/USD: Under mild downward pressure – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is under mild downward pressure against the US Dollar (USD); it could drift lower and test 0.5855. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; NZD is expected to trade in a 0.5835/0.6030 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
NZDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUD/USD: Expected to trade between 0.6380 and 0.6445 – UOB Group
AUD/USD: Expected to trade between 0.6380 and 0.6445 – UOB Group
Downward momentum has not increased further; Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to trade between 0.6380 and 0.6445 against US Dollar (USD).
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBP/USD: Set to trade in a range of 1.3270/1.3345 – UOB Group
GBP/USD: Set to trade in a range of 1.3270/1.3345 – UOB Group
Pound Sterling (GBP) could trade in a range of 1.3270/1.3345. In the longer run, GBP is likely to trade in a 1.3140/1.3405 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
USD: Dovish momentum re-emerging – ING
USD: Dovish momentum re-emerging – ING
This week’s data flow has been quite dovish for the Federal Reserve. After the soft April CPI, PPI dropped by 0.5% month-on-month, against expectations of a 0.2% rise, with significant upward revisions for March data.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fed
EUR/USD: Likely to trade between 1.1145 and 1.1235 – UOB Group
EUR/USD: Likely to trade between 1.1145 and 1.1235 – UOB Group
Euro (EUR) is expected to continue to range trade, likely between 1.1145 and 1.1235. In the longer run, EUR is likely to consolidate between 1.1100 and 1.1290 for the time being, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
EUR: Tied to 1.12, but looking up – ING
EUR: Tied to 1.12, but looking up – ING
The Euro (EUR) has been only marginally impacted by domestic news this week. 1Q growth was revised a touch lower from 0.4% to 0.3% yesterday, although March industrial production figures were stronger than expected, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes
Banks
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Gold Technical Analysis – Are we done with the repricing?
Gold Technical Analysis – Are we done with the repricing?
The market is back at pricing just two rate cuts in 2025. What’s next?
Gold
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Extends the range play below 200-day SMA, 1.4000 mark
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Extends the range play below 200-day SMA, 1.4000 mark
The USD/CAD pair attracts some sellers for the second straight day on Friday, though it remains confined in a range held since the beginning of this week. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-1.3900s, down over 0.10% for the day amid a combination of negative factors.
USDCAD
Fed
Technical Analysis
Majors
Currencies
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests support zone near 162.50, ascending channel’s lower boundary
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests support zone near 162.50, ascending channel’s lower boundary
EUR/JPY extends its losing streak for the third successive session, trading around 162.80 during the Asian hours on Friday. Technical analysis of the daily chart shows the currency cross remains within an ascending channel, suggesting a bullish bias is in play.
EURJPY
Crosses
Technical Analysis
FX option expiries for 16 May 10am New York cut
FX option expiries for 16 May 10am New York cut
A look at what is on the board for today
US Dollar Index (DXY) Price Forecast: Seems vulnerable near 100.70; break below 200-period SMA on H4 awaited
US Dollar Index (DXY) Price Forecast: Seems vulnerable near 100.70; break below 200-period SMA on H4 awaited
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, trades with a negative bias for the second straight day on Friday, though the intraday downtick lacks bearish conviction.
DollarIndex
Technical Analysis
Currencies
AUD/NZD price analysis: Aussie holds steady near 1.0900 despite overbought signals
AUD/NZD price analysis: Aussie holds steady near 1.0900 despite overbought signals
The AUD/NZD pair remained stable around the 1.0900 zone on Thursday, reflecting a cautiously bullish tone as the market heads into the Asian session.
Crosses
Currencies
Technical Analysis
Australia
AUDNZD
AUD/USD edges lower as US Dollar steadies despite strong Aussie jobs data
AUD/USD edges lower as US Dollar steadies despite strong Aussie jobs data
The AUD/USD pair is trading near the 0.6400 zone, retreating from earlier highs as the US Dollar regains strength.
AUDUSD
Currencies
Majors
Technical Analysis
NZD/JPY price analysis: Cross holds bearish tone ahead of Asian session
NZD/JPY price analysis: Cross holds bearish tone ahead of Asian session
The NZD/JPY cross is trading near the 85.50 zone on Thursday, down approximately 1% as it sits mid-range within its recent fluctuation ahead of the Asian session.
Crosses
Technical Analysis
Currencies
NZDJPY
GBPUSD remains range bound but with a bullish tilt
GBPUSD remains range bound but with a bullish tilt
The 100-hour MA and the swing level at 1.32614
GBP/USD rises towards 1.3300 as UK economy grows above forecasts
GBP/USD rises towards 1.3300 as UK economy grows above forecasts
The Pound Sterling extended its gains against the US Dollar, driven by a positive reading of economic growth in the UK and softer-than-expected data in the US, which fueled speculation of a slower economic outlook. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3293, up 0.31%.
GBPUSD
Majors
Technical Analysis
GDP
Currencies
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds as buyers defend key support levels
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds as buyers defend key support levels
Silver prices are recovering from earlier lows, supported by renewed demand at technical support levels. 
Silver
XAGUSD
Technical Analysis
Commodities
Levels
EUR/USD price analysis: Euro steadies near 1.1200 amid mixed technical signals
EUR/USD price analysis: Euro steadies near 1.1200 amid mixed technical signals
The EUR/USD pair maintained a steady tone near the 1.1200 zone on Thursday, reflecting a cautiously bullish stance after the European session. Price action remains within the middle of its recent range, indicating balanced sentiment despite mixed short-term signals.
EURUSD
Majors
Technical Analysis
Currencies
EUR/JPY retreats for second day as Yen strengthens, Euro weighed by softer growth revision
EUR/JPY retreats for second day as Yen strengthens, Euro weighed by softer growth revision
EUR/JPY extended its pullback for a second consecutive session on Thursday, falling 0.5% to trade around 163.00, with the Japanese Yen (JPY) gaining traction on safe-haven flows.
EURJPY
Crosses
Japan
Eurozone
Technical Analysis
EUR/CHF price analysis: Cross maintains bearish tone near daily lows on Thursday
EUR/CHF price analysis: Cross maintains bearish tone near daily lows on Thursday
The EUR/CHF cross is trading around the 0.9400 zone on Thursday, maintaining a bearish tone as it approaches the lower end of its daily range. The cross remains under pressure as traders assess a mix of technical signals, suggesting further downside risk despite some short-term bullish momentum.
Crosses
Currencies
Technical Analysis
EURJPY
NZDUSD testing 200-bar MA on 4-hour chart and swing area down ot 0.5852 area
NZDUSD testing 200-bar MA on 4-hour chart and swing area down ot 0.5852 area
Buyers fail to hold breakout above 100-bar MA on 4-hour chart yesterday gave sellers the go-ahead to push lower. Now back testing technical support
NZD
USD
EURUSD capped by resistance at the 200 hour MA, presses back to key support at 100-hour MA
EURUSD capped by resistance at the 200 hour MA, presses back to key support at 100-hour MA
Sellers in control below 1.1213; break of 1.1176 opens the door for deeper downside
EUR
USD
Gold rallies as US stats and geopolitical shockwaves trigger haven demand
Gold rallies as US stats and geopolitical shockwaves trigger haven demand
Gold prices recovered some ground earlier on Thursday during the North American session after US economic data suggested that factory gate inflation continues decelerating. At the same time, consumer spending was debilitated due to US tariffs.
Gold
XAUUSD
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
Fed
AUDUSD stalls at 200-day MA for second time this week
AUDUSD stalls at 200-day MA for second time this week
Key resistance holds again at 0.6457; buyers eye cluster of MA swing area between 0.6419 and 0.6437.S tay below is more bearish
USDCAD holds above 200-bar MA on 4-hour chart, eyes key resistance cluster
USDCAD holds above 200-bar MA on 4-hour chart, eyes key resistance cluster
Buyers lean on 4-hour 200-bar MA support as focus shifts to 200-day MA and key resistance zone near 1.4026
CAD
USD
USDCHF stays between key support and key resistance targets
USDCHF stays between key support and key resistance targets
USDCHF struggles to break above resistance at 38.2% retracement at 0.8482, key support at 0.8318-0.8333 remains crucial for bullish momentum. Battle is on between the levels
CHF
USD
The USD is consolidating in up and down trading for the EURUSD/GBPUSD. The USDJPY is down.
The USD is consolidating in up and down trading for the EURUSD/GBPUSD. The USDJPY is down.
A heavy economic calendar awaits traders with the PPI, Retail sales, Initial and continuing claims, etc. etc. etc, on the docket