US treasury auctions off $44 billion or 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.194%
- High yield 4.194%
- Wi level at the time of the auction 4.216%
- Tail -2.2 basis points. The six month average -0.8 basis points
- Bid to cover 2.69X. The six month average 2.64X
- Direct 23.64% versus the six month average of 21.4%
- Indirects 71.52% vs the six month average of 67.6%.
- Dealers 4.85% vs six month average of 11.0%.
Auction Details and Evaluation
Metric | Result | 6-Month Average | Commentary |
---|---|---|---|
High Yield | 4.194% | — | This was 2.2 bps through the 4.216% when-issued (WI) level, a strong tail indicating robust demand. |
Tail | -2.2 bps | -0.8 bps | Significantly better than average, confirming strong bidding interest. |
Bid-to-Cover Ratio | 2.69x | 2.64x | Slightly above average, supporting solid demand. |
Direct Bidders | 23.64% | 21.4% | Higher than average — positive sign of domestic demand. |
Indirect Bidders | 71.52% | 67.6% | Strong foreign interest — another sign of a healthy auction. |
Dealer Take | 4.85% | 11.0% | Dealers took far less than usual, meaning real demand absorbed the supply. |
Grade Justification: A
Why not A+? While all metrics are solid or better-than-average, the bid-to-cover was only modestly above average, not exceptional. A perfect score would typically require blowout figures across all categories.
Strengths: The deep tail, strong indirect and direct participation, and low dealer retention all point to very strong end-user demand — the market wanted this issuance.
Summary
This was a very strong auction with broad participation and pricing well through the WI. The only reason for not assigning a perfect "A+" is that the bid-to-cover wasn't exceptionally high — just slightly better than average. Still, an A grade reflects excellent overall execution.