Silver price (XAG/USD) falls sharply to near $32.30 during European trading hours on Friday. The white metal is down over 1% as investors become increasingly confident about a trade deal between the United States (US) and China.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has left its forecast for the increase in global Oil demand virtually unchanged. It expects growth of 740 thousand and 760 thousand barrels per day this year and next year respectively. However, demand momentum is expected to slow over the course of the year.
The UK government is aiming to build on recent momentum after trade deals with the US and India. The UK-EU summit on 19 May presents an opportunity to start reducing non-tariff barriers.
The Japanese economy has not gotten off to a particularly good start this year. According to GDP figures published this morning, economic output declined slightly in the first quarter, falling by 0.2% compared with the previous quarter.
US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a sideways range of 7.1970/7.2190. In the longer run, a breach of 7.2330 would indicate that the likelihood of USD declining to 7.1700 has faded, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/CNY fix continues to come in slightly softer (and below spot) for the whole week, last seen trading at 7.2057 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
EUR/USD slides to near 1.11500 during North American trading hours on Friday. The major currency pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) turns positive after recovering initial losses, following the release of the flash United States (US) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data for May.
Scope for USD to grind lower and test 144.95 vs Japanese Yen (JPY); a sustained break below this level seems unlikely. In the longer run, upward momentum has dissipated; USD is expected to consolidate in a range of 144.50/148.50 for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/JPY continued to trade lower amid decline in UST yields. Pair was last at 145.59 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
USD/RUB and EUR/RUB are not market-driven or floating exchange rates. Even so, at this time, these exchange rates are reflecting excessive optimism that the US administration will push for a peace treaty with Ukraine and this will involve some of the harsh sanctions on Russia being removed.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is under mild downward pressure against the US Dollar (USD); it could drift lower and test 0.5855. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; NZD is expected to trade in a 0.5835/0.6030 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US natural gas prices fell sharply after storage data from the EIA revealed a larger-than-average inventory build, reinforcing concerns over supply resilience despite year-on-year deficits, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
The oil market sold off yesterday following comments from President Trump that the US and Iran were moving closer towards a nuclear deal, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Pound Sterling (GBP) could trade in a range of 1.3270/1.3345. In the longer run, GBP is likely to trade in a 1.3140/1.3405 range, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The two main drivers of the repricing are growth and inflation. It's important to distinguish the main driver of the repricing because you can have different outcomes.
This week’s data flow has been quite dovish for the Federal Reserve. After the soft April CPI, PPI dropped by 0.5% month-on-month, against expectations of a 0.2% rise, with significant upward revisions for March data.
Gold (XAU/USD) price trades on the backfoot, trading at $3,178 at the time of writing on Friday while multiple questions and concerns arise in markets and amongst traders.
Euro (EUR) is expected to continue to range trade, likely between 1.1145 and 1.1235. In the longer run, EUR is likely to consolidate between 1.1100 and 1.1290 for the time being, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Euro (EUR) has been only marginally impacted by domestic news this week. 1Q growth was revised a touch lower from 0.4% to 0.3% yesterday, although March industrial production figures were stronger than expected, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes
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