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USD/CAD climbs to near 1.3900 as Canadian inflation cools down
The USD/CAD pair jumped to near 1.3900 during North American trading hours on Tuesday as Statistics Canada reported that inflationary pressures cooled down in March.
China
BOC
USDCAD
UnitedStates
Inflation
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GBP pushes to fresh highs – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is performing well on the day with a 0.4% gain vs. the US Dollar (USD) and outperformance against most of the G10 currencies as it pushed to fresh highs at levels last seen in October, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD
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EUR quiet on mixed ZEW data ahead of ECB Thursday – Scotiabank
Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating within a relatively tight range around 1.1350, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD
Banks
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Canada March CPI +2.3% y/y vs +2.6% expected
Canadian March 2025 consumer price index data
CAD
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US March import prices -0.1% vs +0.0% expected
US import/export prices for March
USD
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Empire manufacturing index for April -8.10 versus -14.50 estimate
Empire manufacturing index for April 2025
Fed
USD
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Trump: All necessary permits will be expedited to Nvidia
Trump post on Truth Social
Stocks
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Forexlive European FX news wrap: Markets await new info on trade negotiations
Forex news from the European morning session on Apr 15, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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OPEC lowers its demand forecast only slightly – Commerzbank
OPEC revised its forecast for global oil demand slightly downwards in its monthly report published yesterday due to the expected impact of US tariffs. It now expects an increase of 1.3 million barrels per day for both this year and next.
Oil
OPEC
Energy
Banks
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China's Premiur Li: Currently, external situations have drastically changed
Chinese State Media reporting comments from China's Premier Li
market overview
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China imported significantly more crude oil in March – Commerzbank
China's crude oil imports rose to 12.1 million barrels per day in March, according to data from the customs authority, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Oil
Energy
Commodities
Banks
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Brent forward curve flattened significantly over the first 12 months – Commerzbank
In the wake of the sharp fall in oil prices, the time spreads, i.e. the price differentials along the forward curves, also narrowed significantly last week, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Oil
Brent
Energy
Banks
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AUD/USD Price Forecast: Revisits monthly high around 0.6390
The AUD/USD pair extends its winnings streak for the fifth trading day on Tuesday and revisits the monthly high of 0.6380.
AUDUSD
China
TradeWar
UnitedStates
DollarIndex
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GBP/USD rebounds sharply, eyes channel top – Société Générale
GBP/USD has bounced strongly from the 50-day moving average, clearing a key pivot and approaching the top of its multi-month channel.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD
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Gold continues to enjoy a tailwind – Commerzbank
The exemption of some electronics products from the reciprocal US tariffs has provided some relief on the stock market, although expectations were quickly dampened again by the threat that the products would soon be subject to sectoral tariffs, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Thu Lan Nguyen notes.
Banks
Gold
XAUUSD
Metals
Commodities
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USD/CNH: Unlikely to break above 7.3350 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could edge higher vs Chinese Yuan (CNH), but any advance is unlikely to break above 7.3350. In the longer run, sharp but short-lived price action has resulted in a mixed outlook; USD is likely to trade between 7.2430 and 7.3700 for now.
Technical Analysis
USDCNH
Banks
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HUF: S&P’s downgrades exerts additional pressure – Commerzbank
Last week after business hours on Friday, Standard & Poor’s issued a downgrade of outlook on Hungary’s sovereign debt from stable to negative. S&P already rates the issuer at 'BBB-/A-3', the lowest within investment grade, which highlights the significance of a negative outlook from here.
Hungary
Banks
EURHUF
SP500
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What are the interest rates expectations for G8FX?
Not much change since yesterday as markets consolidate awaiting new information on the tariffs front
market overview
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USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a 142.70/144.55 range – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a 142.70/144.55 range vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, USD could continue to decline, but given the deeply oversold conditions, it remains to be seen if 139.55 is within reach, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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Norges Bank likely to delay cuts until June – Commerzbank
Although the Norwegian inflation figures for March look a little better again after the significant upward surprise at the beginning of the year, Norges Bank is still likely to wait until June before lowering the key rate, Commerzbank's FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes.
EURNOK
Norway
Banks
USDNOK
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GBP/JPY trades higher to near 189.00 on upbeat UK employment data
The GBP/JPY pair rises to near 189.00 in Tuesday’s European session. The pair moves higher as the Pound Sterling (GBP) strengthens after the release of the upbeat United Kingdom (UK) employment data for three months ending February.
GBPJPY
Employment
UnitedStates
Japan
Inflation
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China’s Copper imports drop – ING
China’s preliminary trade data for metals, released yesterday, showed imports of unwrought Copper fell 1.4% YoY to 467kt in March, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Metals
China
Copper
Commodities
Banks
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AUD/USD: Chance to potentially test the key resistance at 0.6390 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to trade in a range vs US Dollar (USD), likely between 0.6270 and 0.6350. In the longer run, AUD is likely to trade with an upward bias, potentially testing the key resistance at 0.6390, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
AUDUSD
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Watch out for the first trade deals to lead the market expectations
The markets move on future expectations and the first trade deals could shape those expectations
market overview
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No concessions from Trump on China – Commerzbank
Where Trump is not willing to make concessions or give in, however, is on China. Here, the motto 'always more than you' seems to apply. The tariff spiral is in full swing, there are only a few exceptions, Commerzbank's FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes.
China
TradeWar
UnitedStates
Banks
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Fxstreet
Silver price today: Silver broadly unchanged, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) broadly unchanged on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
Commodities
Metals
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CAD: CPI today ahead of tomorrow's BoC – ING
The CPI print in Canada this afternoon can swing expectations for tomorrow’s Bank of Canada meeting, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Technical Analysis
Canada
BOC
USDCAD
Banks
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Fxstreet
Trump’s trade tactics erode global trust – Commerzbank
Obviously, there is a learning curve for the US president when he continues to backpedal on tariffs. But the damage is done, trust is destroyed. Trump may call all these actions “dealmaking”, but in my view he underestimates two things, Commerzbank's FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes.
TradeWar
UnitedStates
Politics
Banks
DollarIndex
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Fxstreet
EUR/USD weakens as US Dollar gains temporary ground
EUR/USD slides to near 1.1300 as the US Dollar (USD) gains a temporary cushion during North American trading hours on Tuesday.
ECB
EURUSD
Fed
UnitedStates
SEO
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Fxstreet
IEA cuts the 2025 world oil demand growth forecast to 730k b/d from 1.03 m b/d
In its monthly oil market report published on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) cut the 2025 world oil demand growth forecast to 730k barrels per day (b/d) from 1.03 million b/d.
Oil
TradeWar
WTI
Commodities
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Fxstreet
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Support appears at 1.3850 with potential corrective rebounds
The USD/CAD pair extends its decline for the fifth consecutive session, hovering around 1.3860 during European trading on Tuesday. Daily chart technical analysis highlights a dominant bearish trend, with the pair trending lower within a descending channel formation.
Technical Analysis
USDCAD
Majors
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Fxstreet
Eurozone Industrial Production rises 1.1% MoM in February vs. 0.2% expected
Eurozone’s industrial sector activity rose more than expected in February, the latest data published by Eurostat showed on Tuesday.
EURUSD
Eurozone
EconomicIndicator
IndustrialProduction
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Fxstreet
German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index slides to -14 in April vs. +9.3 expected
The headline German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index declined sharply to -14 in April from 51.6 in March, missing the market estimate of 9.3 by a wide margin.
Germany
EconomicIndicator
Sentiment
EURUSD
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Eurozone February industrial production +1.1% vs +0.3% m/m expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 15 April 2025
EUR
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Forex Live
Germany April ZEW survey current conditions -81.2 vs -86.8 expected
Latest data released by ZEW - 15 April 2025
EUR
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Fxstreet
GBP/USD turns positive towards 1.3290 – UOB Group
Outlook for Pound Sterling (GBP) has shifted to positive vs US Dollar (USD); the technical level to watch is 1.3290, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
GBPUSD
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DXY: Tentative stabilisation? – OCBC
US Dollar ) sell-off seen over the past few sessions showed tentative signs of stabilisation. DXY was last at 99.66 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Technical Analysis
Banks
DollarIndex
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Fxstreet
OPEC lowers demand estimates – ING
Oil prices rose marginally higher yesterday despite OPEC trimming demand estimates. ICE Brent settled just below US$65/bbl. The market is digesting fast-moving policy developments on the tariff front, while balancing them with nuclear talks between the US and Iran.
Oil
OPEC
Energy
Commodities
Banks
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Forex Live
Federal Reserve Governor Waller's strategy for dealing with tariffs
Yesterday's speech from Fed's Governor Christopher Waller summarised perfectly the current outlook while also providing the likely reaction under two possible scenarios
USD
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Fxstreet
EUR/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.1280 and 1.1400 – UOB Group
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range between 1.1280 and 1.1400 vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, further EUR strength is not ruled out, but it may first range-trade for a couple of days, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
EURUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks
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