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US Dollar under pressure as credit downgrade and policy uncertainty rattle markets
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, remains pinned near the 100.30 level to start the week, with bearish sentiment lingering after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating.
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Oleh
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EUR/GBP tests resistance ahead of G7 meeting, ECB and BoE guidance
The Euro (EUR) is strengthening against the British Pound Sterling (GBP) on Monday, as diverging drivers on both sides of the Channel shape market sentiment.
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Oleh
Fxstreet
Dow Jones Industrial Average shrugs off Moody's Treasury downgrade
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gained ground to kick off the new trading week, touching 42,800 for the first time in eight weeks as markets continue to push equity markets back into the high end following this year’s tariff-fueled stock rout.
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Oleh
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SNB's Schlegel: Switzerland is not a currency manipulator except when it needs to be
Chairman of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Martin Schlegel noted on Monday that uncertainty surrounding inflation has made it more difficult to actively manage foreign currency flows, noting that there are functionally no suitable alternatives for central banks to manage their holdings without US Tre
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Kremlin: Trump/Putin did not discuss ceasefire timeframe
Kremlin details from Trump/Putin call
USD
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Oleh
Fxstreet
Donald Trump announces Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks will begin again
United States (US) President Donald Trump, speaking via Truth Social posts, has again declared a moderate success on attempting to manage the Russia-Ukraine war.
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Fed's Kashkari: US economy entered the year strong, but lots of uncertainty now
According to Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari, although the year saw a strong start for the US economy, ongoing uncertainty at the hands of the Trump administration's trade policies has put a significant dent in investor sentiment, creating turbulence in markets and
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AUD/USD eyes 0.6500 hurdle as US Dollar weakens, RBA decision looms
The Australian Dollar (AUD) extends its rebound against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with AUD/USD climbing to 0.6455, trimming recent losses as sentiment turns against the Greenback.
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Oleh
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USD/CHF drops as US credit downgrade weighs on sentiment
The USD/CHF pair is trading 0.5% lower around 0.8330 during North American trading hours on Monday, reflecting a sharp drop in US Dollar sentiment after Moody's downgraded the United States' long-term credit rating from AAA to AA1.
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Oleh
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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair holds firm near 1.13 after sharp rise
The EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.13 zone on Monday, reflecting a strong intraday recovery as the market gains momentum after the European session. Despite the sharp upside move, the broader technical outlook presents a mixed picture, with conflicting signals across different timeframes.
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Oleh
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GBP/JPY halts three-day losing streak, rises to 193.60 as UK–EU reset lifts sentiment
GBP/JPY is trading modestly higher near 193.60 on Monday, snapping a three-day losing streak. The pair experienced some volatility early in the session, briefly falling to a low of 192.78 before paring losses.
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EUR/CHF Price Analysis: Cross holds near 0.94 amid mixed momentum signals
The EUR/CHF pair is trading near the 0.94 zone on Monday, reflecting minor gains as the market stabilizes within its recent range. Despite the modest upside, the pair remains constrained by a broadly neutral technical outlook, with mixed signals across multiple timeframes.
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Oleh
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GBP/USD rallies as Moody’s cut US credit rating, UK-EU "reset" relations
The Pound Sterling (GBP) posted solid gains on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) got battered due to Moody’s lowering US debt rating to Aa1, a headwind for the Greenback. At the time of writing, GBP/USD trades at 1.3360, up 0.71%.
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Oleh
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EUR/JPY snaps three-day losing streak, edges higher as Eurozone inflation holds steady
EUR/JPY trades modestly higher near 163.20 on Monday, snapping a three-day losing streak, as investors digest steady Eurozone inflation data, flexible policy signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ), and fresh geopolitical developments ahead of key economic releases.
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USD/CHF declines to near 0.8330 as US Dollar underperforms across the board
The USD/CHF pair trades 0.5% lower to near 0.8330 during North American trading hours on Monday. The Swiss Franc pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) faces a sharp selling pressure due to erosion in the United States (US) Sovereign Credit Rating.
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD edges higher as Moody’s downgrade forces USD lower
Silver (XAG/USD) is trading slightly higher on Monday, holding above the $32.00 level during the US session, as broader weakness in the US Dollar (USD) fuels demand for alternative safe-haven assets.
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The huge divergence between retail and fund managers continues
Who is right?
Stocks
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US leading index for April -1.0% versus -0.0% estimate
Leading Index for the month of April
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Chinese state banks will cut deposit rates on Tuesday
Reuters is reporting
China
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Euro area: Rome wasn’t built in a day – Standard Chartered
Q1 outperformance tells little about the remainder of 2025; growth momentum is likely to weaken. Growth forecast of 0.8% this year remains unchanged, but near-term recession risks are high. The 2026 growth has been revised down to 1.0% (1.2%) owing to the lingering effects of trade uncertainty.
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Fed's Jefferson: Will keep policy in a place to be sure inflation expectations remain anchored
Federal Reserve (Fed) Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson said on Monday that there are risks to both jobs and inflation and added that it is appropriate to wait and see on rate decisions, given the the uncertainty, per Reuters.
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NZD/USD recovers above 0.5900 as traders weigh US downgrade, mixed New Zealand data
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is recovering firmly above the 0.5900 mark agains the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, last seen trading around 0.5910, up nearly 0.50% on the day. The NZD/USD pair draws support from broad US Dollar weakness following Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating.
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USD/JPY can hold around 145 on a 1-to-3-month view – Rabobank
At the end of last week, Japanese Finance Minister Kato indicated that he would look to talk about FX with US Treasury Secretary Bessent this week. This has spurred investors to move back into long JPY positions.
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BOJ
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China: US undermines consensus reached in Geneva talks.
China reacts to US adjusting chip export controls
USD
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There is no stopping the US fiscal deficit train
Might as well throw more fuel on the fire
USD
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Oleh
Fxstreet
Fed’s Williams flags cautious optimism amid lingering uncertainty
New York Fed President John Williams struck a balanced tone in his latest remarks, highlighting strength in recent US data while acknowledging steady uncertainty around trade.
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White House’s Hassett: Moody’s decision is backward-looking
White House’s economic advisor, Kevin Hassett, hinted at the likelihood that further trade deals could be in the offing.
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US-EU trade discussion are being complicated by internal EU disagreement.
Meanwhile WH Hassett says would not be surprised more trade deals announced this week
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Oleh
Fxstreet
Mexican Peso strengthens amid US Dollar pressure, Fed signals, and higher yields
The Mexican Peso (MXN) remains firm against the US Dollar (USD) as markets react to renewed uncertainty following Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. The decision to lower the sovereign rating to AA1 from AAA has prompted a reassessment of the US Dollar’s status.
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More signs that the US-Japan trade agreement is on ice
Deal likely delayed until after July Japanese elections
JPY
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Oleh
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It's an official holiday in Canada (and an unofficial one)
Canadian markets closed today
CAD
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Oleh
Forex Live
Forexlive European FX news wrap: Rough day for USD and US Treasuries
Forex news from the European morning session on May 19, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
News Discussion Forum
Oleh
Fxstreet
US Dollar attempts to limit image dent with DXY down over 0.5%
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, stuck at the lower level for this Monday near 100.30 at the time of writing.
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Oleh
Fxstreet
WTI slumps to near $61 as Moody’s US downgrade sparks US bond yields
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, tumbles to near $61.00 on Monday. The Oil price faces selling pressure since opening the week due to a significant increase in US Treasury yields.
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