Markets remain on edge as trade tensions, erratic headlines, and shifting currency dynamics drive sharp moves across asset classes. While some signs of optimism emerge, risks to the US dollar and commodity-linked currencies persist, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Oil prices witnessed something of a relief rally this morning. Yet risks are still skewed to the downside as President Trump threatens an additional 50% tariff on Chinese goods if it doesn’t lift its 34% retaliatory tariff today. It's unlikely that China will reverse the policy.
The consensus for 2025 was a 12.3% gain in the S&P 500 by year-end but we are now down more than 20% from the ATH. Here's why you should always ignore such predictions.
Euro (EUR) is likely to trade between 1.0860 and 1.1030. In the longer run, decrease in momentum indicates the chance for EUR to rise has diminished; a breach of 1.0850 would suggest EUR has entered a range-trading phase, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) bounces back to near 1.2800 against the US Dollar (USD) in Tuesday’s North American session from the monthly low of 1.2707 posted on Monday. The GBP/USD pair recovers as the US Dollar resumes its downside move after a short-lived recovery in the last two trading days.
The USD/CHF pair attracts some sellers to near 0.8550 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Swiss Franc (CHF) as the fears of a global recession heighten following US President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs on trading partners.
Trump escalated the trade war further threatening additional 50% tariffs on China effective tomorrow if they don't back off from the recent retaliatory tariffs. This move increased the risk of the yuan devaluation which could roil the markets if enacted.
The AUD/JPY cross jumps to 89.40, snapping the three-day losing streak during the early European session on Tuesday. The improving global risk sentiment and encouraging stimulus plans from China provide some support to the Aussie.
The EUR/USD pair regains positive traction during the Asian session on Tuesday, snapping a two-day losing streak and stalling the recent pullback from its highest level since September touched last week.
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains its bid tone above the $3,000 psychological mark through the first half of the European session on Tuesday as worries about an all-out global trade war continue to underpin demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
The NZD/USD pair attracts some buyers to around 0.5580 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. US President Donald Trump's tariffs on trade partners have raised fears of the potential recession in the United States, weighing on the Greenback.
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