The Shanghai Composite Index recovered slightly today after diving by roughly 9% on Monday. China’s state fund manager, controlled by the Ministry of Finance, confirmed it had taken action to increase its holdings of stock market index funds and promised to buy more, BBH FX analysts report.
Expectations for the United States (US) economy to tip into recession this year gain traction following the introduction of aggressive tariffs by US President Donald Trump.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a 0.5500/0.5600 range vs US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, it is too early to expect the weakness to stabilise, but it remains to be seen if NZD can decline to the next support at 0.5450, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/CNH has rebounded after defending the 200-DMA at 7.22. Daily MACD has entered positive territory highlighting regain of upward momentum, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Gold price (XAU/USD) pops while Equities run higher after their nosedive move on Monday and past Friday. The precious metal trades just above the $3,000 mark at the time of writing on Tuesday. The bounce is supported by a technical element on the one hand and a geopolitical driver on the other.
Markets remain on edge as trade tensions, erratic headlines, and shifting currency dynamics drive sharp moves across asset classes. While some signs of optimism emerge, risks to the US dollar and commodity-linked currencies persist, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Oil prices witnessed something of a relief rally this morning. Yet risks are still skewed to the downside as President Trump threatens an additional 50% tariff on Chinese goods if it doesn’t lift its 34% retaliatory tariff today. It's unlikely that China will reverse the policy.
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Euro (EUR) is likely to trade between 1.0860 and 1.1030. In the longer run, decrease in momentum indicates the chance for EUR to rise has diminished; a breach of 1.0850 would suggest EUR has entered a range-trading phase, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) bounces back to near 1.2800 against the US Dollar (USD) in Tuesday’s North American session from the monthly low of 1.2707 posted on Monday. The GBP/USD pair recovers as the US Dollar resumes its downside move after a short-lived recovery in the last two trading days.
The USD/CHF pair attracts some sellers to near 0.8550 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Swiss Franc (CHF) as the fears of a global recession heighten following US President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs on trading partners.
Trump escalated the trade war further threatening additional 50% tariffs on China effective tomorrow if they don't back off from the recent retaliatory tariffs. This move increased the risk of the yuan devaluation which could roil the markets if enacted.
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